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Economic Research
Featured
Iran Scenario Analysis: Crude Posturing
Feb 22, 2012
The probability of a short-term supply shock (20%), initiated by Iran, or more protracted supply shortages has risen to a combined 35%.
What’s on Nouriel’s Mind: Brazil Trip Report—A Reality Check to the Hype
Feb 21, 2012
A sober reality check suggests that Brazil could disappoint in many ways in the next few years, unless significant structural reforms are undertaken.
On Life Support, for Now: A Greek Trip Report
Feb 20, 2012
The drama in Greece over the next few days and weeks before the PSI deal is agreed and implemented will be huge.
Economic Research Fixtures
Global Economic Outlook
February 2012
Central Bank Watch
Forecast Center
North America
Recent Analysis:
U.S. Financial Conditions: Close to an Inflection Point
Behind the FOMC Headlines, a Quiet Reiteration of Further Easing
A State of Union and Inequality: The Buffett Tax and Other Defining Issues
Mortgage Relief in Ireland and the U.S.: Crucial But Lacking
U.S. Housing Market: How's That Stock Problem Coming Along?
What's on Nouriel's Mind: Don't Be Fooled by the U.S. Data
Current Weekly:
Should We Worry About Headline CPI Upside?
Current Regional Outlooks:
United States Outlook: Calmer Headwinds and Better Growth Prospects
Canada Outlook: Domestic Demand Yields to External Risks
Europe
Recent Analysis:
On Life Support, for Now: A Greek Trip Report
Trip Report: Russian Spring or Structural Permafrost?
EZ Election 2012/13 Special: National Politics and the European Debt Crisis
What’s on Nouriel’s Mind: A Download From Davos’s Dystopia
Current Weekly:
European Growth: Reading the Tea Leaves
Current Regional Outlooks:
Turkey Outlook Update: Sharper Slowdown Ahead
Greece Outlook: Bailout Makes Everything Worse
Emerging Europe Outlook: Hit by the EZ
Hungary Outlook: Sinking Into Recession
Asia/Pacific
Recent Analysis:
Introducing RGE’s Financial Conditions Index for India
Optimism Meets Realism: Takeaways From Meetings With Senior Indian Policy Makers
The Game Begins: Prepare for North Korean Instability Under the 'Great Successor'
Chronicles of a Crash Foretold: Updating RGE’s Medium-Term Scenarios for China
Current Weekly:
Asian Property Markets: More Room for Correction?
Current China Monthly:
Where We Are and Whither We Are Tending
Current Regional Outlooks:
Thailand Outlook: The Dark Before the Dawn
Australia Outlook: Hunkering Down Under
Hong Kong Outlook: Where the Sidewalk Ends
Taiwan Outlook: Strait Jacket
Latin America
Recent Analysis:
What’s on Nouriel’s Mind: Brazil Trip Report—A Reality Check to the Hype
Argentina: Taking Stock of Investment Growth
Argentina: Peso Depreciation to Continue, Despite Capital Controls
Venezuela: Sprinkling Truth on Inflation Data
Current Weekly:
Decoding Brazil’s Disappointing Growth; Predicting Banrep’s Next Move
Current Regional Outlooks:
Colombia Outlook: Growth Peaks at 2006 Levels
Venezuela Outlook: All Eyes on the Election
Middle East and Africa
Recent Analysis:
Iran Scenario Analysis: Crude Posturing
Crude Oil Scenarios: Iran and the Risks Ahead
Egypt’s Reprieve Short-Lived
Conference Call Replay: Crude Oil—Conflicting Macroeconomic and Geopolitical Forces
Current Weekly:
A Year of Diverging Credit
Current Regional Outlooks:
Egypt Outlook: Transition of Power Is Key to Recovery
Gulf Cooperation Council Outlook: Weaker Oil Brings Slowdown
Global Issues
Recent Analysis:
Iran Scenario Analysis: Crude Posturing
What’s on Nouriel’s Mind: Why I’m Still Bearish
What’s on Nouriel’s Mind: A Download From Davos’s Dystopia
Crude Oil Scenarios: Iran and the Risks Ahead
What’s on Nouriel’s Mind: Takeaways From Policy Meetings in Europe
What’s on Nouriel’s Mind: Swimming in Liquidity but No Safe Shore in Sight
Conference Call Replay: Nouriel Roubini's Rundown from Davos
Current Regional Outlooks:
Outlook Overview: No Such Thing as a Free Lunch
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