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LatAm Weekly

Revising the Tightening Cycle in Brazil

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

In light of the April 28 hike, we now expect Brazil's COPOM to front-load the tightening cycle and raise the SELIC rate to 11.5% by September. Also in the past week, Mexico’s central bank revised up its GDP growth forecast for 2010 while keeping its temporary quarterly inflation targets for this year and next. In Argentina, the retail sector continued growing at a buoyant pace, supported by loose macroeconomic conditions, while in Chile, the earthquake had mixed effects on March economic activity indicators. In Colombia, the latest Gallup poll suggests that a second[...]

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