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Economic Research

Asia Week Ahead: Regional Divergences in Growth and Inflation Risks

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EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Next week, New Zealand’s retail sales data will show that March was but a blip in an otherwise bleak retail sales outlook. After a brief boost from Easter purchases, anemic growth in household credit, earnings and wealth will dampen discretionary spending. India's data will support our prediction that inflation, despite easing from its peak, will remain elevated in Q2 and Q3 amid rising wages and demand and continued supply-side inflation. This puts the central bank behind the curve in curbing the inflation spiral and overheating risks. Malaysia’s data will show[...]

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