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Global Macro-Market Outlook

Mexico: Q3 2010 Outlook

By Bertrand Delgado
Jul 10, 2010 | Last Updated

Real GDP (% change y/y)
2010 2011
4.0 3.2
 
CPI (% change y/y)
2010 2011
4.6 4.3
  • External demand, mainly from the U.S.—continues to drive Mexico’s recovery—while domestic drivers are lagging, and base effects will wear off in H2 2010 and become a drag in H1 2011.
  • An improved inflation outlook and slow closing of the output gap suggest that Banxico will likely stay comfortably on hold for the rest of the year and only start the tightening cycle in 2011.
  • Worse-than-expected U.S. economic deceleration and poor global economic and[...]

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