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Global Macro-Market Outlook

Japan: Q3 2010 Outlook

By Mikka Pineda
Jul 2, 2010 | Last Updated

Real GDP (% change y/y)
2010 2011
2.2 1.7
 
CPI (% change y/y)
2010 2011
-1.3 -0.3
  • Infrastructure investments and low inventories overseas will boost Japanese exports in 2010, but a self-sustaining recovery will not take root until private sector demand can stand on its own without government support.
  • Stirred by Greece's public finance woes, Japan's leaders swung back into fiscal consolidation mode but skimped on non-budgetary measures to restructure the economy.
  • Deflation will dog Japan well into 2010 and 2011, delaying rate hikes until[...]

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