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North America Focus: Weak U.S. Data Spark 'Race to the Bottom'; Canada's Consumers Still Cool

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

We kick off our look at North America with the U.S., where incoming data reveal the vulnerabilities in the housing sector, and unemployment insurance claims and the manufacturing slowdown in August cast a shadow over the month’s payrolls report. This week will reveal an ugly revision to the Q2 2010 GDP estimate, which, together with the continued string of weak data, points to a weaker-than-expected second half of the year, as headwinds against the economy gather pace. Moving north to Canada, we expect retail sales to show some strength in June, but the growth will[...]

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