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Analysis

Approaching a Dangerous Stall Speed

By Nouriel Roubini, Christian Menegatti and Prajakta Bhide

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY The tailwinds of the first half of 2010 will become headwinds in the second half: The fiscal stimulus will turn into a fiscal drag; the inventory adjustment that boosted growth is done; and the base effects and the temporary Census hiring are gone. Most components of aggregate demand[...]

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