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China Monthly

Wen Ex Machina

By Adam Wolfe and Rachel Ziemba
Sep 01, 2010 6:49:00 PM | Last Updated

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

China’s economic growth has decelerated in Q3 2010 as credit and fiscal policies put the brakes on investment and consumers remain reluctant to climb into the growth driver’s seat. In Q4, though, we still see the government shifting into a more supportive gear as the G7 stagnates, so we have only slightly adjusted our 2010 growth forecast in response to the Q3 dynamics. Higher food prices likely pushed the CPI further above the 2010 target rate of the People’s Bank of China (PBoC), which soon could lead to an adjustment of the deposit rate to keep real interest[...]

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