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Global Macro-Market Outlook

Malaysia: 2011 Outlook

Global Economics Outlook, GDP and CPI data for Malaysia

  • We have revised up our 2011 growth forecast and see consumption and investment poised to fill the demand gap left by weaker manufacturing exports in Q1.
  • While sudden capital flight remains a risk, Malaysia’s financial vulnerabilities have moderated as firms and banks have deleveraged balance sheets away from external debt. 
  • Bank Negara Malaysia will resume interest rate normalization in Q2 2011 as both domestic and external demand pull the output gap into positive territory, stoking inflationary pressure.

Growth Dynamics: A Secular Rebalancing Toward Domestic Demand


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