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Global Macro-Market Outlook

Egypt Outlook Update: Struggling to Make Ends Meet

By Ayah El Said
Jun 17, 2011 7:00:00 AM | Last Updated

  • Political risks and mixed messages will keep investors on the sidelines and undermine growth drivers.
  • External finance will facilitate government expenditure—the main driver of growth.
  • Monetary policy will remain on hold as weaker core inflation allows the central bank to maintain an expansionary stance.

Macroeconomic Dynamics: Still Hampered by Political Uncertainty

The political situation continues to cast a shadow over Egypt’s economic outlook and the country will—at best—grow by 0-1% in 2011 and 2.5% in 2012. Almost all components of economic growth plunged in H1 2011,[...]

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