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Global Macro-Market Outlook

Gulf Cooperation Council Outlook Update: Stability Focus Brings Economic Boom

  • Higher oil revenues support massive government expansion, with richer countries supporting more cash-strapped neighbors.
  • Property overhang dampens inflation in UAE and Qatar, while supply bottlenecks boost inflation in Kuwait and Saudi Arabia.
  • Credit growth is becoming more of a support as social transfers boost deposits, but public-sector borrowing needs raise the risk of crowding out the private sector.

Macroeconomic Dynamics: Government Leads the Way

Ample government spending and stronger hydrocarbon output sets the GCC countries on a path to far outperform the rest of the MENA[...]

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