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North America Weekly

U.S. Labor Market and Monetary Policy; Canada Employment

Last week’s U.S. employment report for October showed the labor market moving in no conclusive direction: net payroll creation of 80,000 was slightly above RGE expectations for a 70,000-jobs gain, but there was no sign of a pickup in the job market, as the pace of job creation slowed from that in prior months. Canadian labor market conditions deteriorated notably in October, registering a steep 54,000-jobs drop in employment, nearly erasing all of September’s impressive 60,900-jobs gain. Although the sharp decline seems overdone (against RGE and consensus expectations of a small monthly gain), overall weakening in labor conditions is broadly in line with our expectations of hiring trends realigning with tepid underlying economic activity.

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