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Economic Research

South Korea Economic Outlook, Q4 2009

Executive Summary

  • Due to weak domestic demand, a sustainable economic recovery requires revived export demand from China and advanced economies;
  • Any weakening of global risk appetite will put pressure on corporations, external balances and asset markets;
  • Fiscal policy will support the recovery while monetary tightening will be largely determined by the risk of asset bubbles.

The vulnerability of the South Korean economy rose in late 2008 due to sharp export contraction and massive capital outflows. Aggressive stimulus measures and increased manufacturing activity have helped[...]

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