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Economic Research
Featured
Future Oil Supply (Part II): New Oil, Existing Fields
May 16, 2012
This is the second of three pieces exploring the investment challenges and opportunities of oil extraction from new and existing oil fields.
What’s on Nouriel’s Mind: Greece Should Default and Exit the Eurozone Through an Orderly Divorce Process
May 14, 2012
It is better to have rules to make a separation less costly to both sides rather than sticking with a broken marriage that causes growing and severe damage both sides.
Iran and Oil Scenarios Update: Cooling for Now
May 11, 2012
The interests of all major players are conspiring to keep tensions to a simmer.
Economic Research Fixtures
Forecast Center
North America
Recent Analysis:
A Soft U.S. Q1 GDP Report: Don’t Swear by a Q2 Rebound
No Hints of Easing From FOMC, But Low-Rates Gravy Train Keeps on Rolling
A Strategic Oil Reserve Release Can’t Save Us From High Prices
What’s on Nouriel’s Mind: Outlook for the Fed—More Easing Ahead
A Glossary of Crisis Programs
What’s on Nouriel’s Mind: The Coming U.S. Fiscal Austerity Cliff
Current Weekly:
U.S.: Watch Dim Retail Sales and FOMC Minutes
Current Regional Outlooks:
United States Outlook: Sticking to Our Story
Canada Outlook: Deleveraging Ahead
Europe
Recent Analysis:
United Kingdom Outlook: Under the Weather
What’s on Nouriel’s Mind: Greece Should Default and Exit the Eurozone Through an Orderly Divorce Process
No End in Sight for Greek Political Instability
Spain Scenarios: Bring on the Bailout
Current Weekly:
France—What Next?
Current Regional Outlooks:
United Kingdom Outlook: Under the Weather
Turkey Outlook: Weaker Consumption Dampens Growth
Russia Outlook: Growth Boost From Putin 3.0
Poland Outlook: Still Outperforming the Region
Asia/Pacific
Recent Analysis:
India’s Challenge: Harnessing Demographics for Long-Term Growth
What’s on Nouriel’s Mind: Reforms on Hold in China
The Sun Sets on China’s Red Star
Current Weekly:
Asia’s Trade Data Still Look Ugly in April
Current China Monthly:
China’s Local Government Debt Crisis: A Solutions Manual
Current Regional Outlooks:
Singapore Outlook: Better Growth Prospects, But Inflation Is Here to Stay
China Outlook: Calling the Bottom (for Now)
Indonesia Outlook: From Risk to Reality Check
Asia Outlook: Quantum of Solace
Latin America
Recent Analysis:
What’s on Nouriel’s Mind: Brazil Trip Report—A Reality Check to the Hype
Current Weekly:
Different Stages of Business Cycles in LatAm
Current Regional Outlooks:
Venezuela Outlook: A Crucial Year
Latin America Outlook: A Renewed Domestic Focus
Middle East and Africa
Recent Analysis:
Iran and Oil Scenarios Update: Cooling for Now
South Africa Policy Debate to Amplify Economic Risks
Africa’s Balance Sheets: Strong for Now, But Don’t Ignore the Warning Signs
Syrian Conflict: A Very Ugly Power Struggle
Current Weekly:
MENA Domestic Divides Raise Risks to Growth—and Oil Prices
Current Regional Outlooks:
Gulf Cooperation Council Outlook: Still Booming, Multispeed
Sub-Saharan Africa Outlook: Another Strong Year in the Cards
Global Issues
Recent Analysis:
Future Oil Supply (Part II): New Oil, Existing Fields
Future Oil Supply (Part I): What Will It Look Like?
What’s on Nouriel’s Mind: Can the U.S. Consumer Remain the Spender of Last Resort in the Global Slowdown?
All Washed Up in Washington: Key Takeaways From an Unscripted IMF Spring Meeting
What’s On Nouriel’s Mind: Where Are the H2 Growth Drivers?
What’s on Nouriel’s Mind: A Balance-Sheet Recession Calls for Monetized Fiscal Deficits, Not Fiscal Austerity
Global Economic Outlook Conference Call Replay: Better, But No Cigar
Current Regional Outlooks:
Outlook Overview: No Such Thing as a Free Lunch
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