Critical Issues
How Vulnerable Is Japan's Economy to High Oil Prices?
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Will An Increase in Hydrocarbon Prices Choke Off Any Recovery?
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Does Asian Countries' Cutting Fuel Prices Signal Shifting to More Market Prices?
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Falling Oil Prices, Depreciating Petrocurrencies
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Background:
The increase in the price of oil and other commodities contributes to an increase in inflation and may exacerbate economic weakness as it reduce demand for both oil products and other goods. Those countries that must import all or the vast majority of their energy sources also face a deterioration of their trade balances as they have to spend more on the imported fuel. Those that subsidize fuel also face fiscal deterioration. These trends were clearly visible in 2008 when an average oil price of US$100 per barrel contributed to the entry into global recession. European countries and Japan are less exposed to oil price spikes than the U.S. and China as their energy use per unit of GDP has been falling and they have higher taxes on petroleum.
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Associated Readings
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Economist Intelligence Unit
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Another oil price cut – so what?
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BNP Paribas
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Oil: the Trend and the Cycle
