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Briefing

Saudi Arabia: Fiscal Policy

Critical Issues

Background:

Despite a projected dramatic decline in revenues as the price of oil falls, the Saudi government boosted spending in 2009. The 2009 deficit was even larger than the SR65 billion projected; the first deficit since 2004. A large stock of foreign assets and low public debt (13.5% of GDP in 2008) meant Saudi Arabia was easily able to manage the deficit. Saudi Arabia's 2009 budget increased investment spending by 36%. Saudi Arabia has increased government spending significantly, especially on infrastructure projects and on social services. Higher government expenditure helped pick up some of the slack in the economy in 2009.

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Associated Readings

Analysis Middle East Economic Survey May 25, 2009 Saudi Arabia Maintains Ambitious Economic Plans Despite Slowdown Analysis Standard Chartered Middle East Daily May 25, 2009 Spending picks up in Saudi Arabia News Financial Times Andrew England and Abeer Allam Dec 23, 2008 Saudi Arabia to boost public spending Analysis Jadwa Investment Brad Bourland Dec 23, 2008 Saudi Arabia's 2009 Budget Opinions Gulf News John Sfakianakis Dec 23, 2008 Saudi Arabia: An expansionary budget that builds confidence Analysis SAMBA Financial Group Jan 26, 2009 Saudi Arabia: the 2009 Budget and Macroeconomic Prospects Analysis Standard Chartered Middle East Daily Dec 23, 2008 Saudi Arabia in 2008 and 2009 Analysis NCB Capital Dec 30, 2008 Saudi Arabia’s 2009 Budget Report: Fiscal Policy Remains Expansionary Analysis Riyad Bank Dec 29, 2008 Saudi Arabia: Government Expenditures and Output; A simple Multiplier Approach Analysis RGE Monitor Rachel Ziemba Dec 24, 2008 Saudi 2009 Budget: Deficit -Bound News Arab News P.K. Abdul Ghafour and Khalil Hanware Dec 23, 2008 King Unveils Visionary Budget Analysis IMF Oct 20, 2008 Regional Economic Outlook: Middle East and Central Asia October 2008 Analysis Merrill Lynch Oct 09, 2008 GCC Quarterly: big cushions help soft landing Research IMF Ludvig Söderling, Martin Petri, Manal Fouad, Wojciech Maliszewski, Martin Hommes and Hanan Morsy January 2007 Public Debt and Fiscal Vulnerability in the Middle East