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Briefing

Political Risk in Eastern Europe

Appears in: Emerging Markets, Europe, Frontier Markets, Geostrategy, Baltics, Commonwealth of Independent States, Czech Republic, Emerging Europe and CIS, Eurozone, Hungary, Poland, Romania, Russia, CIS and the Caucasus, Southeast Europe, Foreign and Domestic Political Risk

Critical Issues

Background:

Political instability has been straining many economically troubled eastern EU member states where democratic regimes are not fully consolidated and the level of trust in political institutions is still fairly low. In the course of 2009, governments collapsed in Hungary, Latvia, Estonia, the Czech Republic and Romania. In a number of countries governments are struggling to enact unpopular austerity measures to keep their budget deficits in check and/or comply with the conditions of the IMF programs.  Such measures fan public dissatisfaction and bring the risk of early elections. In turn, rising political risk could unsettle the investors and hamper the recovery prospects in the region that is highly dependent on capital inflows.

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