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Briefing

Gold Markets

Critical Issues

Gold Prices: Is Bullion's Spring Surge Tapering Off?

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Have Central Banks Renewed Their Interest in Gold Reserves?

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Will European Central Banks Dump Gold?

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Will IMF Gold Sales Disrupt the Market?

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Is Gold a Reliable Inflation Hedge?

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How Significant is Chinese Gold Demand?

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Background:

Gold is the world’s pre-eminent physical store of value, and as such it usually rises in price at times of economic or political stress, and when investors expect high inflation. The gold price has been rising fairly consistently since the onset of the 2008-2009 global financial crisis, passing the $1,000/ounce mark in late 2009 as investors turned to gold in the face of a weakening US dollar and rising fears about future inflation as government deficits and future borrowing needs are set to increase sharply. A partial recovery of demand for physical gold in jewelry, especially in India, has also driven the gold price (jewelry consumption accounts for more than half of all physical gold demand, followed by investment demand; industrial and dental applications are also significant).

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Associated Readings

Analysis World Gold Council (free subscription required World Gold Council Nov 19, 2009 Gold Demand Trends: Third Quarter 2009 Analysis World Gold Council Natalie Dempster, John Mulligan and Juan Carlos Artigas Oct 26, 2009 Gold Investment Digest - October 2009 Analysis Erstebank Ronald-Peter Stöferle July 2009 Special Report Gold – July 2009: In Gold we trust Analysis Barron's Allen Sykora Jul 20, 2009 Gold Still Has That Glitter Analysis BNP Paribas Jun 11, 2009 Gold: Does the Buck Stop at USD 1000/oz? | Oil: Trading the S&P 500 Analysis Resource Capital Research Jun 03, 2009 Gold could see the price above US$1,000/oz in 2010 Analysis Fortis Bank Carl Firman, Matthew Turner and Gary Mead May 27, 2009 Official gold - does share of reserves matter? | Demand for base metals will contract Analysis Citigroup Alan Heap and Alex Tonks May 22, 2009 Commodity Heap: Gold Analysis LFB Forex May 2009 Gold At $5000 If Reserves Are Counted Correctly Blogs Seeking Alpha Mark O'Byrne May 11, 2009 Gold Remains Undervalued vs. the Dollar Analysis Alliance Bernstein Anthony Chan May 04, 2009 China’s FX Reserves Diversification Is Positive for Gold Price and RMB Blogs Marc Chandler Apr 27, 2009 How Does $9000 Gold Sound? Analysis UBS John Reade Apr 13, 2009 Gold & The Greenback Analysis Banc of America Merrill Lynch March 2009 Commodities and inflation: a framework for asset allocation