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Briefing

United States: U.S. Dollar Short-Term

Critical Issues

Background:

There are a number of factors influencing the trajectory of the U. S. dollar in the near and medium-term. These factors include risk appetite, deleveraging, interest rates, repatriation, public debt, the current account, quantitative easing and shifts in bond yields. The fixed income market reaction to fiscal expansion will be key for the dollar in the near future, while status as a reserve currency may be the key in the long-term.

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Associated Readings

Research Bank of International Settlements Patrick McGuire and Robert N McCauley Dec 07, 2009 Dollar appreciation in 2008: safe haven, carry trades, dollar shortage and overhedging