skip to main content
Briefing

Argentina's Debt Default

Appears in: Government Bonds

Background:

Although it was once the darling of investment banks and the International Monetary Fund, in 2001 the country suffered a lengthy recession that culminated in the government halting debt repayments to its private creditors—a default on some US$95 billion in government debt, the largest sovereign default in history. A highly overvalued, fixed 1-to-1 exchange rate from 1991 and an excessive amount of foreign debt were the two primary causes of the Argentine crisis. The negative trade imbalance caused by an expensive local currency made it impossible for the country to earn the foreign reserves needed to pay the interest on its foreign debt. Argentina had to keep borrowing to pay interests, causing the debt to grow ever larger, eventually reaching 50% of GDP by late 2001. As became evident, Argentina could no longer borrow to meet its obligations and the government was forced to default and to devalue the peso, abandoning its former parity with the U.S. dollar in January 2002. The move essentially shut Argentina out of international markets and slowed the flow of investment into the country, with many creditors filing lawsuits against the government in courts. Eventually, the government struck a deal in 2005 to pay back approximately 75% of debt-holders at a deeply discounted rate of 30%. In June 2010, Argentina tried to restructure what remained of the debt with similar conditions to the one in 2005. This debt swap had a participation rate of approximately 70%, which, added to the previous restructuring, led to a total level of 90%. In order to gain total access to international capital markets, Argentina needs to settle its outstanding debt with the Paris Club nations—approximately US$7.5billion. On November 15, President Fernandez announced that the Argentine government and the Paris Club reached an agreement to start the renegotiation of the debt, on the condition—proposed by Argentina and accepted by the Paris Club—that there would be no intermediation by or presence of the IMF in the process.

Access to this content is restricted to RGE clients.

If you have a client code, please enter it here to activate your client account.

Click here for a free trial.

Learn About Our Services:

RGE Research

Our dynamic and intuitive research platform keeps you on top of the extraordinary shifts that transform our global economy, allowing users to uncover unique connections and insights. Discover the resource central banks and that 70% of the world's leading hedge funds, asset managers, PE firms, banks and corporations around the world depend on.

RGE Direct Access (includes RGE Research)

Sometimes, reading research is not enough. Many RGE clients participate at the Roubini Direct Access level to gain a deeper understanding of specific issues. Through interactive live sessions, we engage with world-class thinkers, encourage knowledge sharing, idea generation, risk identification and validation of client initiatives.

RGE Strategy (includes RGE Direct Access)

RGE market strategists build on the work of our macroeconomic research team, incorporating market dynamics to answer crucial questions and generate actionable investment recommendations. RGE's Market Research and Strategy team gives clients actionable insight across six key asset classes:

• Currencies • Commodities
• Credit • Equity • Rates
• Emerging Markets

Learn More »