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Briefing

OPEC Oil Supply

Critical Issues

OPEC Still on Hold but Discipline Waning?

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How Well Are OPEC Members Complying with Cuts?

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Saudi Arabia Still the Central Bank of Oil?

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Is Resource Nationalism Back?

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What Is Iran's Impact on the Oil Market?

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Nigerian Content Law a Case of Resource Nationalism?

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Background:

The Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) cartel whose members account for 40% of global oil production and a majority of proven reserves has cut production since late 2008 in an effort to bring the oil market fundamentals into balance. Their cuts, led by Saudi Arabia, and helped by reductions in non-OPEC production, reduced some of the excess supply but inventories remain well above their historical levels. However, despite what OPEC and many analysts see as an oversupplied market, the oil price has been supported by an improved risk appetite, dollar weakening and nascent global economic recovery, which may limit the downside risk.

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