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Briefing

GCC: Exchange Rate Regimes

Critical Issues

Background:

GCC currencies have long-standing links to the U.S. dollar. Kuwait exited its dollar peg in 2007, pegging instead to a basket in which the dollar dominates but the other countries maintain the pegs. While granting some macroeconomic stability, these pegs limit monetary autonomy as it implies that the real interest rates in the region are linked to U.S. rates. GCC countries have planned to create a monetary union loosely modelled on that of the EMU, but two of the six countries (Oman and UAE) have demurred from the process and the others have sought a deferral. Yet, officials have placed revaluation against the U.S. dollar off the table for the forseeable future.

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Associated Readings

News Financial Times Abeer Allam Jun 08, 2009 Gulf states sign agreement on monetary union News Arabian Business Tom Arnold Jun 08, 2009 2013 more realistic for Gulf monetary union - analysts News Forbes Donna Abu Nasr May 05, 2009 GCC leaders choose Riyadh to host regional bank Analysis Standard Chartered Middle East Daily May 20, 2009 UAE Withdraws from Monetary Union News Financial Times Abeer Allam May 06, 2009 Riyadh set as Gulf region’s central bank base News Bloomberg Glen Carey and Camilla Hall May 05, 2009 Gulf Arab Leaders Decide on Riyadh for Central Bank News The National Travis Pantin May 04, 2009 GCC leaders to decide on site of Gulf central bank Analysis Peterson Institute for International Economics Mohsin Khan April 2009 The GCC Monetary Union: Choice of Exchange Rate Regime News Zawya Dow Jones May 05, 2009 MARKET TALK: Gulf Ctrl Bk May Be In Saudi Due To SAMA News Zawya Dow Jones Newswires Dec 30, 2008 GCC Monetary Union Pact To Enter Into Force By Dec '09 Analysis National Bank of Kuwait Daniel Kaye Sep 28, 2008 Interpreting GCC Finance Ministers’ Agreement in Jeddah Analysis Dubai International Financial Centre Nasser Saidi and Dr. Fabio Scacciavillani September 2008 The Institutional Framework of The Gulf Central Bank Analysis The Peninsula Nasser Al Harthy Sep 17, 2008 Gulf Central Bank soon to be operational Analysis Citigroup Sep 10, 2008 GCC: Monetary Council will have to manage diverging goals News Khaleej Times Jan 14 2007 GCC mulls Fed model Analysis Financial Times Abeer Allam Sep 18, 2008 Gulf states approve monetary union plan Analysis National Bank of Kuwait Daniel Kaye September 2008 What would a Gulf Monetary Authority look like? Analysis Dubai International Financial Centre January 2008 Payments to support economic growth and international integration in the GCC and MENA