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Briefing

Macau: Economic Profile

Critical Issues

Background:

Macau’s economic output, dominated by tourism and gambling revenues, was battered by the global financial crisis. The economy contracted 13.6% y/y in H1 2009, with the slump accelerating in Q2 to 15.3% y/y. Being so small and open, Macau tends to have massive swings in output and investment, and Q3 was the start of a rebound, with 8.2% growth. China’s easing of travel restrictions and ample credit are providing a boost, as gambling revenues hit a record highs in H2 2009. Still, given the slack in the economy, Macau will have to grow above trend to close the output gap.

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Associated Readings

Analysis Citigroup Global Markets Anil Daswan Jun 08, 2009 Macau Gaming, May: Strongest VIP Rollings Since August 2008 News Global Gaming Business Desmond Lam Jun 2, 2009 Killing The Ills: The Year of the Rat was a tough one, but Macau still forged ahead Analysis Economist Jun 04, 2009 Gambling in Macau: Nightmare averted Analysis Colliers March 2009 Macau Economic and Property Outlook, Q1 2009 Opinions Wall Street Journal Jun 12, 2009 Macau's Rotten Borough: The future of Hong Kong? News Bloomberg Kelvin Wong Nov 11, 2008 Macau Will Take Over Any Bankrupt Casino, Ho Says Analysis Citigroup Global Markets Anil Daswani and George Choi et al Nov 04 2008 Macau Gaming: Still Negative YoY Growth Despite Golden Week News South China Morning Post Neil Gough Oct 05, 2008 Analysis Forbes Apr 24, 2008 Macao's 'Aa3' constrained by mix of macroeconomic, political factors - Moody's Analysis IMF Apr 14, 2008 Statement by Dr. Zhou Xiaochuan at the IMFC Opinions Bank for International Settlements Anselmo L S Teng Mar 11, 2008 Macao’s financial sector – exhibiting steady development Analysis Macau Business January 2008 Macau: Year in Review Analysis Bank of China Feb 28, 2008 Macao's GDP expected to grow by 13% in 2008 Opinions International Herald Tribune Philip Bowring Mar 20, 2007 Gambling on Macao