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Briefing

Lithuania: Economic Profile

Background:

Similar to the other two Baltic states, Lithuania’s economy has gone from boom to bust over the course of the decade. After growing at an annual average rate of over 8% from 2003-07, the economy slowed sharply in 2008 and contracted almost 15% in 2009.

Accompanying the boom years was a build-up in external imbalances (e.g., double-digit current account deficits), which are now unwinding. Consumption represents the largest component of GDP, with its share almost two-thirds of total GDP. Lithuania is also a relatively open economy, as exports and imports both more than 50% of GDP.

Lithuania is the largest of the Baltic economies but is quite small compared to most other EU economies. Based on 2009 GDP, Lithuania is the 78th largest economy, ranking behind Sri Lanka and Tunisia, according to the World Bank. The population numbers 3.6 million.

Lithuania’s top export products include mineral products, chemicals, and machinery and equipment. In contrast to the other Baltics, Russia is by far Lithuania’s top trade partner, and the CIS is the destination for more than 20% of exports. Germany, Latvia and Poland rank among other large export destinations.

The Lithuanian currency is pegged to the euro under a currency board arrangement. The country eventually plans to adopt the euro, but adoption is unlikely to occur until 2014 or later due to mounting budget deficits.

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Associated Readings

Analysis IMF Oct 05, 2009 Lithuania—September 2009 Staff Visit, Concluding Statement Analysis UniCredit Group Q3 2009 Lithuania: Still getting worse... News Bloomberg Milda Seputyte Aug 27, 2009 Lithuania GDP Shrank Revised 20.2% in Second Quarter Analysis IMF Jun 23, 2009 Lithuania-2009 Article IV Consultation: Concluding Statement News Bloomberg Milda Seputyte May 28, 2009 Lithuanian Economy Shrank 13.6% in First Quarter, Most Since at Least 1995 Analysis European Commission May 04, 2009 Lithuania: Deepening recession leads to wider fiscal deficits Analysis Danske Bank Apr 28, 2009 Lithuania: Terrible GDP numbers News Financial Times Robert Anderson Mar 26, 2009 Vilnius may have to seek IMF loan Analysis Danske Bank Violeta Klyviene Mar 23, 2009 Lithuania: Sharp and continuous drop in industrial production