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Central Europe Outlook Update: Austerity Bites

Growth remains below trend in all three Central European (CE-3) economies. Poland continues to be the regional leader, but a recovery in domestic demand will gradually lift growth rates in Hungary and the Czech Republic. Fiscal consolidation will dampen domestic demand in all three countries. In the Czech Republic, front-loaded fiscal tightening will hit growth in 2011, while Poland and Hungary will feel fiscal measures from 2012 onward. As negative supply shocks increase inflation across the region, monetary policy responses have differed depending on the strength of domestic demand and demand-side price pressures.

Read the latest Central Europe Outlook

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News

Russian GDP May Stall on Capital Flight

Bloomberg  Olga Tanas, Milda Seputyte Apr 15, 2014

News

Poland: M3 money supply grew by 1.1% in nominal terms in March 2014

National Bank of Poland  Apr 15, 2014

News

Hungary: No new government until end of May?

Portfolio.hu (free registration)  Apr 15, 2014

News

Hungary continues to issue debt above planned amount, Yields averaged at 2.66%

Portfolio.hu (free registration)  Apr 15, 2014

News

Ukraine raises rates as west discusses more sanctions

Financial Times (free registration)  James Fontanella-Khan, Andrew Jack, Roman Olearchyk Apr 15, 2014

Opinions

Can Turkey work miracle on current account deficit?

Al-Monitor  Mehmet Cetingulec Apr 15, 2014

News

Turkish January employment firm on strong manufacturing

Hurriyet Daily News  Apr 15, 2014

Analysis

Turkey Short Note: Budget - Budget remains strong thanks to one-off items

Erste Bank  Nilufer Sezgin Apr 15, 2014

News

Moody’s Threat Tempers Lira Support From Deficit: Turkey Credit

Bloomberg  Taylan Bilgic Apr 14, 2014

News

EU threatens Russia with more sanctions over Ukraine

Reuters  JUSTYNA PAWLAK; ADRIAN CROFT Apr 14, 2014

Analysis

EM FX: Ukraine takes the headlines again

Nordea Bank Research  Dmitry Savchenko, Deanie Marie Haugaard Jensen, Anders Svendsen Apr 14, 2014

News

FinMin improves Czech GDP growth to 1.7% this year

Prague Monitor  Apr 14, 2014

News

Volume of FDI reaches CZK 415bn since EU entry

Prague Monitor  Apr 14, 2014

News

Turkey Foreign debt increase breaks national record

Today's Zaman  Apr 14, 2014

News

Hungary: Agricultural producer prices decrease by 10.9% in February (y/y)

Hungarian Central Statistical Office  Apr 14, 2014

News

Israel in talks with Egypt, Turkey on major gas export deals

Hurriyet Daily News  Apr 14, 2014

News

Goldman Says Russian Energy-Export Sanctions Are Unlikely

Bloomberg  Isis Almeida Apr 14, 2014

News

Ukrainian Eurobonds Drop to Three-Week Low After Deadly Clashes

Bloomberg  Andras Gergely Apr 14, 2014

News

Hungary's reserves at 9-month high - HUF 1,787 billion at the end of March 2014

Portfolio.hu (free registration)  Apr 14, 2014

News

Turkey narrows current account deficit further in February

Hürriyet Daily News  Apr 11, 2014

News

Ukraine PM offers more powers for regions to end eastern standoff

Reuters  Lina Kushch, Thomas Grove Apr 11, 2014

News

Ukraine looks to Europe for gas as Russia ups pressure

Reuters  Natalia Zinets Apr 11, 2014

Analysis

Putin’s threat leaves CEE currencies calm

CSOB  Apr 11, 2014

News

Poland and Ukraine: A boost for Donald Tusk

The Economist  Apr 11, 2014

Analysis

CEE Weekly: CE markets shrug off revived tensions in Ukraine

Raiffeisenbank   Apr, 11 2014

News

Hungary: 0.1% inflation in March, Consumer prices, March 2014

Hungarian Central Statistical Office   Apr 11, 2014

News

Lithuania Dispatches Warship After Claiming Russian Disturbance

Bloomberg  Bryan Bradley Apr 11, 2014

News

Ukraine Sees $7 Billion IMF Funding This Year

Bloomberg  Daryna Krasnolutska, Anastasia Ustinova Apr 11, 2014

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