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Commonwealth of Independent States
Featured Content
Macroeconomy
Belarus: Economic Profile
Belarus's External Sector Troubles: Only Short-Term Fixes?
Commonwealth of Independent States : Emerging Europe and CIS : Russia, CIS and the Caucasus : Europe : Geostrategy : Macroeconomy : Growth Outlook and Business Cycle :
The Caucasus: Economic Profiles
Has Azerbaijan's Energy Sector Peaked?
Russia-Georgia Relations and U.S. Senate Approval of Resolution Supporting Georgia
Commonwealth of Independent States : Emerging Europe and CIS : Russia, CIS and the Caucasus : Europe : Geostrategy : Macroeconomy : Growth Outlook and Business Cycle :
Central Asia: Economic Profiles
Kazakhstan: Economy Continued to Grow in 2011
Mongolia: Economy Booming
Commonwealth of Independent States : Emerging Europe and CIS : Russia, CIS and the Caucasus : Europe : Geostrategy : Macroeconomy :
The IMF Rescues the CIS
Ukraine Hopes to Defer IMF Payments: Financing Pressures Mount
Commonwealth of Independent States : Emerging Europe and CIS : Russia : Russia, CIS and the Caucasus : Europe : Macroeconomy : Current Financial Crisis : IMF and International Economic Institutions : Systemic Risk, Vulnerabilities and Asset Bubbles :
Eastern Europe: External Accounts
Capital Inflows to Emerging Europe Brace for a Slowdown
Baltics : Commonwealth of Independent States : Czech Republic : Emerging Europe and CIS : Eurozone : Hungary : Poland : Romania : Russia : Russia, CIS and the Caucasus : Southeast Europe : Europe : Macroeconomy : Capital Flows, FDIs, Capital Controls : Current Account : Trade and External Balance :
Russia: Economic Profile
Russian Economy Set to Slow?
Russian Industrial Production Weak in April
Commonwealth of Independent States : Emerging Europe and CIS : Russia : Russia, CIS and the Caucasus : Emerging Markets : Europe : Macroeconomy : Growth Outlook and Business Cycle :
Kyrgyzstan: Economic Profile
Commonwealth of Independent States : Emerging Europe and CIS : Russia, CIS and the Caucasus : Europe : Macroeconomy : Growth Outlook and Business Cycle :
Kazakhstan: Economic Profile
Kazakhstan: Inflationary Pressures Further Eases to 5.9 y/y in January
Cracks Appearing in Kazakhstan's Political Scene?
Commonwealth of Independent States : Emerging Europe and CIS : Russia, CIS and the Caucasus : Europe : Macroeconomy : Growth Outlook and Business Cycle :
Azerbaijan: Economic Profile
Has Azerbaijan's Energy Sector Peaked?
Commonwealth of Independent States : Emerging Europe and CIS : Russia, CIS and the Caucasus : Europe : Macroeconomy :
Ukraine: Economic Profile
Ukrainian Industrial Output Is Set to Slow in 2012
Ukraine's External Deficit Set to Widen in 2012
Commonwealth of Independent States : Emerging Europe and CIS : Russia, CIS and the Caucasus : Europe : Frontier Markets : Geostrategy : Macroeconomy : Growth Outlook and Business Cycle : Monetary Policy and Inflation :
CIS Countries: Economic Profiles
CIS Macro View: Growth Picks Up
CIS Inflation Watch 2011
Commonwealth of Independent States : Emerging Europe and CIS : Russia, CIS and the Caucasus : Europe : Geostrategy : Macroeconomy : Growth Outlook and Business Cycle :
Ukraine and the IMF
Ukraine Hopes to Defer IMF Payments: Financing Pressures Mount
Ukraine's President Vetoes New Tax Code Amid Protests
Commonwealth of Independent States : Emerging Europe and CIS : Russia, CIS and the Caucasus : Europe : Frontier Markets : Geostrategy : Macroeconomy : Current Financial Crisis : IMF and International Economic Institutions : Systemic Risk, Vulnerabilities and Asset Bubbles :
Markets
Central Asia: Energy Sector
Cracks Appearing in Kazakhstan's Political Scene?
Has Azerbaijan's Energy Sector Peaked?
Commonwealth of Independent States : Emerging Europe and CIS : Russia, CIS and the Caucasus : Europe : Geostrategy : Markets : Commodities : Energy : Energy Security and Policy : Natural Gas : Oil : Oil and Energy :
Ukraine: The Hryvnia (currency)
Commonwealth of Independent States : Emerging Europe and CIS : Russia, CIS and the Caucasus : Europe : Markets : Currencies :
Russia: Energy Sector
Changes in Russian Gas Taxes Add Uncertainty
Russia's Oil Production: Is Recovery Sustainable?
Commonwealth of Independent States : Emerging Europe and CIS : Russia : Russia, CIS and the Caucasus : Europe : Geostrategy : Markets : Commodities : Energy : Energy Security and Policy : Oil and Energy :
Finance & Banking
CIS: Banking Sector
Russia: Industrial Output Continues To Plunge
Russian Banking System: Revival in Credit Growth
Commonwealth of Independent States : Emerging Europe and CIS : Russia, CIS and the Caucasus : Europe : Frontier Markets : Finance and Banking : Banks :
Geostrategy
Belarus: Economic Profile
Belarus's External Sector Troubles: Only Short-Term Fixes?
Commonwealth of Independent States : Emerging Europe and CIS : Russia, CIS and the Caucasus : Europe : Geostrategy : Macroeconomy : Growth Outlook and Business Cycle :
The Caucasus: Economic Profiles
Has Azerbaijan's Energy Sector Peaked?
Russia-Georgia Relations and U.S. Senate Approval of Resolution Supporting Georgia
Commonwealth of Independent States : Emerging Europe and CIS : Russia, CIS and the Caucasus : Europe : Geostrategy : Macroeconomy : Growth Outlook and Business Cycle :
Central Asia: Economic Profiles
Kazakhstan: Economy Continued to Grow in 2011
Mongolia: Economy Booming
Commonwealth of Independent States : Emerging Europe and CIS : Russia, CIS and the Caucasus : Europe : Geostrategy : Macroeconomy :
Russia and the U.S.
U.S.-Russia Ties: A New START
U.S. Scales Down Missile Shield in Eastern Europe
Baltics : Commonwealth of Independent States : Emerging Europe and CIS : Eurozone : Russia : Russia, CIS and the Caucasus : United States : Europe : North America : Geostrategy : Defense Policy and Terrorism : Foreign Policy and Geostrategic Risks : Nuclear Proliferation :
Russia: Domestic Politics
Putin's Cabinet: New Entrants But Little Scope For Reform?
How Serious Is Putin's Reform Push?
Commonwealth of Independent States : Emerging Europe and CIS : Russia : Russia, CIS and the Caucasus : Europe : Geostrategy : Foreign and Domestic Political Risk :
Russia: Foreign Policy
Can Sino-Russian Ties Extend Beyond Resource Codependence?
Can EU-Russia Ties Shift From Energy Focus to Modernization?
Commonwealth of Independent States : Emerging Europe and CIS : Russia : Russia, CIS and the Caucasus : Emerging Markets : Europe : Geostrategy : Energy Security and Policy : Foreign Policy and Geostrategic Risks :
Central Asia: Energy Sector
Cracks Appearing in Kazakhstan's Political Scene?
Has Azerbaijan's Energy Sector Peaked?
Commonwealth of Independent States : Emerging Europe and CIS : Russia, CIS and the Caucasus : Europe : Geostrategy : Markets : Commodities : Energy : Energy Security and Policy : Natural Gas : Oil : Oil and Energy :
Ukraine: Economic Profile
Ukrainian Industrial Output Is Set to Slow in 2012
Ukraine's External Deficit Set to Widen in 2012
Commonwealth of Independent States : Emerging Europe and CIS : Russia, CIS and the Caucasus : Europe : Frontier Markets : Geostrategy : Macroeconomy : Growth Outlook and Business Cycle : Monetary Policy and Inflation :
Turkey: Foreign Policy
Turkey's Foreign Policy: Mending Ties With France; Genocide Bill Deemed Unconstitutional
Palestinian UNESCO Membership Takes Away the Possibility of Renewed Talks
Commonwealth of Independent States : Emerging Europe and CIS : Russia, CIS and the Caucasus : Turkey : Europe : Geostrategy : Foreign and Domestic Political Risk : Foreign Policy and Geostrategic Risks :
Political Risk in Eastern Europe
Czech Politics: Government Survives Confidence Vote
Romania: New Government Wins IMF Backing for Wage Rises
Baltics : Commonwealth of Independent States : Czech Republic : Emerging Europe and CIS : Eurozone : Hungary : Poland : Romania : Russia, CIS and the Caucasus : Southeast Europe : Emerging Markets : Europe : Frontier Markets : Geostrategy : Foreign and Domestic Political Risk :
CIS Countries: Economic Profiles
CIS Macro View: Growth Picks Up
CIS Inflation Watch 2011
Commonwealth of Independent States : Emerging Europe and CIS : Russia, CIS and the Caucasus : Europe : Geostrategy : Macroeconomy : Growth Outlook and Business Cycle :
Ukraine: Domestic Politics
Tymoshenko Verdict Reflects Worsened Domestic Political Situation
Ukraine: Tilting Between Russia and EU
Commonwealth of Independent States : Emerging Europe and CIS : Russia, CIS and the Caucasus : Emerging Markets : Europe : Geostrategy : Energy Security and Policy : Foreign and Domestic Political Risk :
Russia: Energy Sector
Changes in Russian Gas Taxes Add Uncertainty
Russia's Oil Production: Is Recovery Sustainable?
Commonwealth of Independent States : Emerging Europe and CIS : Russia : Russia, CIS and the Caucasus : Europe : Geostrategy : Markets : Commodities : Energy : Energy Security and Policy : Oil and Energy :
Eastern European Energy Security
Russia Launches Nord Stream Pipeline: European Clients to Receive Gas by November
Russian Deal With Ukraine Eases Fears of Another Winter Gas War
Commonwealth of Independent States : Emerging Europe and CIS : Eurozone : Nordics : Poland : Russia : Russia, CIS and the Caucasus : Serbia : Southeast Europe : Europe : Geostrategy : Commodities : Energy : Energy Security and Policy : Foreign Policy and Geostrategic Risks : Natural Gas : Oil and Energy :
Ukraine and the IMF
Ukraine Hopes to Defer IMF Payments: Financing Pressures Mount
Ukraine's President Vetoes New Tax Code Amid Protests
Commonwealth of Independent States : Emerging Europe and CIS : Russia, CIS and the Caucasus : Europe : Frontier Markets : Geostrategy : Macroeconomy : Current Financial Crisis : IMF and International Economic Institutions : Systemic Risk, Vulnerabilities and Asset Bubbles :
Russia and the EU
U.S.-Russia Ties: A New START
U.S. Scales Down Missile Shield in Eastern Europe
Baltics : Commonwealth of Independent States : Emerging Europe and CIS : Eurozone : Nordics : Russia : Russia, CIS and the Caucasus : Europe : Geostrategy : Energy Security and Policy : Foreign Policy and Geostrategic Risks :
Georgia: Domestic Politics
Russia-Georgia Relations and U.S. Senate Approval of Resolution Supporting Georgia
Commonwealth of Independent States : Emerging Europe and CIS : Russia, CIS and the Caucasus : Europe : Geostrategy :
European Bank for Reconstruction and Development (EBRD)
EU to Offer Debt Relief to MENA Transitioning Countries
Multilateral Institutions Step Up Support to Eastern European Corporates and Banks
Commonwealth of Independent States : Emerging Europe and CIS : Emerging Markets : Europe : Geostrategy : Development Challenges : International Organizations :
Emerging Europe and CIS Outlook Update: Weaker Growth Across the Region
Economic growth across the region will be weaker than previously forecast. As advanced economies fall into recession, export-led recoveries will stall. Even economies that are more domestically driven will not be immune to the global slowdown. Policy space is limited for most economies in the region as weaker growth will make fiscal targets more challenging to meet, will raise financing costs and could test investor confidence. Large balance sheet mismatches, a lack of investor confidence and in some case above-target inflation imply limited room for monetary easing in the region.
Economic Research
Economic Research
Q4 2010 Geostrategic Risk Note: Asia on the Boil, U.S.-Europe Reap Anti-Incumbent Backlash
By Oct 7, 2010
EconoMonitors
RGE Analysts
Ukraine Political Appointment: Shuffling The Deck Does Not Change the Cards
Jan 20, 2012
Peterson Institute for International Economics
Washington and Kiev: Progress and Problems
Jul 13, 2011
Geostrategy Channel
Seven Pillars of Prosperity—Diversifying Economic Growth in the Caucasus and Central Asia
May 5, 2011
Daily Digest
Analysis
Emerging Markets Briefer: May 2012 – Greek and Chinese worries hit Emerging Markets hard
Danske Markets Research May 16, 2012
Analysis
Ukraine Macro Monthly: Growth and inflation slowing down
Erste Bank (free registration required) May 16, 2012
Analysis
Ukraine Fixed Income Monthly: MoF may finally issue Eurobonds
Erste Bank (free registration required) May 16, 2012
Analysis
Ukraine- Capital Markets Weekly: Markets troubled by Greece potential exit; Fitch downgrades Ukraine’s 2012 GDP forecast to 1.6%, below consensus
BNP Paribas May 15, 2012
Analysis
Ukraine Inflation is now almost down to zero due to the record-breaking 2011 harvest
ERSTE May 08, 2012
Analysis
Ukraine at the Crossroads: Between the EU DCFTA & Customs Union
Carnegie Endowment of International Peace May 04, 2012
Analysis
Ukraine: Preliminary 1Q12 real GDP growth; wages growth slows; gov't bond auctions in May
Investment Capital Ukraine May 03, 2012
Opinions
Russia’s Growing Influence in Ukraine: Economics and Energy
Jamestown Foundation May 02, 2012
Analysis
CEE Insights: Czech Republic- Government should survive; Hungary gets green light from EU; Poland's deficit lower than expected; Romania's easing conditional upon stable political environment; Turkish Inflation; Ukraine funding
Erste Bank (free registration required) Apr 27, 2012
Analysis
Economic focus: Back to normal? What a closer look on food and energy prices in the transition region reveals
European Bank for Reconstruction and Development Apr 23, 2012
Analysis
Economic focus: Back to normal? What a closer look on food and energy prices in the transition region reveals
European Bank for Reconstruction and Development Apr 23, 2012
Research
European Bank Deleveraging, Implications for Emerging Market Countries
The World Bank 2012-04-18 08:00:00
Analysis
Ukraine Macro Monthly: GDP structure is unstable
Erste Bank (free registration required) Apr 18, 2012
Analysis
Ukraine Fixed Income Monthly: State budget expenditures increased
Erste Bank (free registration required) Apr 18, 2012
Analysis
World Economic Outlook: Growth Resuming, Dangers Remain (April 2012)
International Monetary Fund (IMF) Apr 17, 2012
Analysis
New Europe Economics and Strategy: Financial markets enter consolidation phase after strong start in Q1
Eurobank EFG March 2012
Analysis
CEE Insights: Czech Republic- Government survived as expected; Hungary- CPI slows in March; Poland- Pension agreement reached; Romania- Weak February IP data; Turkey- CB shifts to tightening; Ukraine- Gov't increases expenditures 2% of GDP
Erste Bank (free registration required) Apr 13, 2012
Analysis
Ukraine: Daily Insight–Core CPI and bank sector in March; Naftogaz cuts bank liquidity; Moody’s on Ukraine’s top banks
Investment Capital Ukraine Apr 10, 2012
Analysis
CEE Fixed Income Daily: Hungary- Friday's Industrial Production and Trade Balance Data; Romania- T-Bills; Ukraine- Inflation continues to hit new lows
Erste Bank (free registration required) Apr 10, 2012
Analysis
Ukraine: Weekly T-Bonds Outlook - 10-Apr-12
Erste Bank (free registration required) Apr 10, 2012
Analysis
Reforming the Ukrainian Economy under Yanukovych: The First Two Years
Carnegie Endowment for International Peace Apr 02, 2012
Analysis
Ukraine Weekly T-Bonds Outlook - MoF started April with UAH 5.7bn hryvnia liquidity
Erste Bank Research (free registration) Apr 03, 2012
Analysis
EM Outlook– Poland: Rebalancing act; Hungary: IMF deal needed quickly; Czech Republic: Bottoming out; Romania: Easing cycle is over; Turkey: Hoping for a soft landing; Russia: As good as it gets; Ukraine: Hungry for financing
BNP Paribas Mar 28, 2012
Analysis
Ukraine: Back in the spotlight - S&P changes rating outlook to negativ
Raiffeisen Research Mar 20, 2012
Analysis
Emerging Markets Briefer: The end of fear, the gradual return of normality
Danske Bank Mar 16, 2012
Analysis
Russia: Ministry of Economic Development proposes to increase fuel oil export duty to 90%
Alfa Bank Mar 16, 2012
News
CEE: Press Release– Full Forum Meeting of the European Bank Coordination “Vienna 2.0” Initiative
EBRD Mar 13, 2012
Analysis
Ukraine– Daily Insight: Jan. merchandise trade; Feb. bank performance; auction results; liquidity volatile; UA Railways' hopes for new issues
Investment Capital Ukraine Mar 14, 2012
Analysis
Ukraine: Daily Insight: Azarov's maladroit comment on IMF loan; DTEK privatisation yields UAH1.2bn; auction news; liquidity falls
Investment Capital Ukraine via Cbonds Mar 13, 2012
News
Hungary has no Plan B in IMF/EU aid talks
portfolio.hu (free registration required) Mar 08, 2012
Analysis
CEE Fixed Income Daily: Polish rate decision today; Hungary T-bills and fiscal recommendation; Ukraine February CPI
Erste Bank (free registration required) Mar 07, 2012
Analysis
Ukraine: Government softens parameters of bonds for Naftogaz, closer to market ones
ING Markets Research Mar 06, 2012
Analysis
Ukraine: Decline in Chinese property market to hurt Ukrainian steel industry
Erste Bank (free registration required) Mar 06, 2012
Blogs
Kiev’s big shale gas tender kicks off with a whiff of controversy
Financial Times Feb 29, 2012
Analysis
A new ‘credit crunch’ in emerging Europe?
European Bank for Reconstruction and Development Feb 28, 2012
Analysis
Ukraine to Wait for Eurobond Window as $1 Billion March Debt Payment Safe
Bloomberg Feb 28, 2012
Analysis
CEE Insights: How is the government handling the call for fiscal austerity?
Erste Bank Research (free registration) Feb 24, 2012
News
Ukraine Fans Default Risk in Seeking Cheaper Russian Gas as Elections Near
Bloomberg Feb 22, 2012
Analysis
CEE Insights: How does the oil price affect inflation?
Erste Bank Research (free registration) Feb 17, 2012
Analysis
New Europe Economics and Strategy, January-February 2012: A challenging year for the region
Eurobank EFG Feb 16, 2012
Analysis
Ukraine: President continues government reshuffling: This time, pendulum swings to reformists?
ICU Feb 16, 2012
Analysis
Calls for Visa Black List and Sanctions on Ukraine Grow Louder
Jamestown Foundation Feb 10, 2012
RESEARCH AND STRATEGY FIXTURES
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China’s Local Government Debt Crisis: A Solutions Manual
“While local government debt accumulation slowed to 16.7% in 2011, it appears to be increasing at a faster pace in 2012.”
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