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Eurozone
Featured Content
The ECB and the Eurosystem
ECB Leaves Main Rate Unchanged at 1%, Dampens Hopes for Further Nonstandard Measures
EU and EMU Institutional Framework
Greek EZ Precedent: Who Will Blink First in This Dangerous Game of Chicken?
Stabiltiy Bond Consultation Results: Yes, but...
RGE Analysis
Spain Will Be Forced to Restructure Its Debt; New Government Is No Game Changer
Nov 23, 2011
Macroeconomy
Spain: Economic Profile
Spain: Data Confirms Economy in Recession
S&P Downgrades Spain’s Sovereign Debt by Two Notches
Eurozone : Spain : Europe : Macroeconomy : Growth Outlook and Business Cycle :
The ECB and the Eurosystem
ECB Leaves Main Rate Unchanged at 1%, Dampens Hopes for Further Nonstandard Measures
Sovereign Crisis Returns: What Are the ECB's Options After the 3y LTROs?
Eurozone : Europe : Macroeconomy : Fiscal Policy : Monetary Policy and Inflation :
Finland: Economic Profile
Net Exports Cut Finnish Growth in Q4 2011
Eurozone : Nordics : Advanced Economies : Europe : Macroeconomy : Growth Outlook and Business Cycle :
Greece: Domestic Demand
Greek Q4 Unemployment Rate Reaches 20.7% y/y—Highest Since 1998
Eurozone : Greece : Europe : Macroeconomy : Labor Markets and Productivity :
Spain: Domestic Demand
Spanish Unemployment Reaches a New High in Q1 2012
Eurozone : Spain : Europe : Macroeconomy : Labor Markets and Productivity :
Greece: Price Dynamics
Greek Inflation Falls to 1.4% y/y in March
Eurozone : Greece : Europe : Macroeconomy : Monetary Policy and Inflation :
Spain: Price Dynamics
Spain: Inflation Rises Unexpectedly in April
Eurozone : Spain : Europe : Macroeconomy : Monetary Policy and Inflation :
Belgium: Economic Profile
Belgium Returns to Growth; Escapes Recession
Belgium Agrees Further Spending Cuts Under EU Pressure
Belgium : Eurozone : Europe : Macroeconomy : Growth Outlook and Business Cycle :
Germany: Economic Profile
German Economy Beats Expectations—GDP Grows by 0.5% q/q in Q1
German Economic Sentiment Deteriorates for the First Time Since December
Eurozone : Germany : Europe : Macroeconomy : Growth Outlook and Business Cycle :
Ireland: Fiscal Policy
Ireland: Leading Think Tank Calls for Faster Deficit Reduction
Further Stages of Ireland's 2011 Budget Passed Into Legislation
Eurozone : Ireland : Europe : Geostrategy : Macroeconomy : Fiscal Policy : Foreign and Domestic Political Risk : Growth Outlook and Business Cycle : Monetary Policy and Inflation : Real Estate :
Eastern Europe: External Accounts
Capital Inflows to Emerging Europe Brace for a Slowdown
Baltics : Commonwealth of Independent States : Czech Republic : Emerging Europe and CIS : Eurozone : Hungary : Poland : Romania : Russia : Russia, CIS and the Caucasus : Southeast Europe : Europe : Macroeconomy : Capital Flows, FDIs, Capital Controls : Current Account : Trade and External Balance :
Eastern Europe: Public Finances
Czech Fiscal Policy: More Spending Cuts in the Pipeline
Poland: The Coalition Partners Reach Compromise on Pension Reform
Baltics : Czech Republic : Emerging Europe and CIS : Eurozone : Hungary : Poland : Romania : Southeast Europe : Europe : Macroeconomy : Fiscal Policy :
Central and Eastern European Demographics
Central and Eastern European Demographics: Impact Of Greying And Emigration
Baltics : Czech Republic : Emerging Europe and CIS : Eurozone : Hungary : Poland : Romania : Southeast Europe : Europe : Geostrategy : Macroeconomy : Demographics : Labor Markets and Productivity :
Eurozone: Economic Profile
OECD: Eurozone to Contract by 0.1% in 2012
IMF Article IV Review of Euro Area Policies: Focus on EMU Stabilization and Contagion Prevention
Eurozone : Europe : Macroeconomy : Growth Outlook and Business Cycle :
EU Banking System
Irish Banks: Deleveraging Continues, Recapitalization Needed, SME Lending Still Weak
Spanish Banks: Spain Prepares to Rescue Third Largest Lender
Eurozone : France : Advanced Economies : Europe : Finance and Banking : Macroeconomy : Banks : Systemic Risk, Vulnerabilities and Asset Bubbles :
Lithuania: Economic Profile
Lithuania: Q3 2011 GDP Up 6.6% y/y
Baltics : Eurozone : Europe : Frontier Markets : Macroeconomy : Growth Outlook and Business Cycle :
Latvia: Economic Profile
S&P Returns Latvia to Investment Grade: Calling the End to the Adjustment?
Latvia: Q2 GDP Growth Accelerates, Recovery Still Fragile
Baltics : Eurozone : Europe : Macroeconomy : Current Financial Crisis : Growth Outlook and Business Cycle : Systemic Risk, Vulnerabilities and Asset Bubbles :
Currency Pegs in the Baltic States
Baltic Banking Systems: Will Regulatory Changes Impede Future Bank Lending?
Latvian Politics: More Coalition Blues, Majority Lost as Six Members Defect
Baltics : Eurozone : Europe : Frontier Markets : Macroeconomy : Markets : Currencies :
Estonia: Economic Profile
Estonia: Economy Expands 7.9% y/y in Q3 2011
On the Back of Euro Adoption, Estonia Re-elects Coalition Government
Baltics : Eurozone : Emerging Markets : Europe : Frontier Markets : Macroeconomy : Current Financial Crisis : Systemic Risk, Vulnerabilities and Asset Bubbles :
Portugal: Economic Profile
Portugal: GDP Growth Contracts by Better Than Expected 0.1% q/q in Q1 2012
Portugal PM and Rehn Concede Prospect for Additional Bridge Funding
Eurozone : Portugal : Europe : Macroeconomy : Growth Outlook and Business Cycle :
Greece: Economic Profile
Greek Economy Shrinks by 6.2% y/y in Q1 2012
Greece: Pikrammenos Takes Charge as Interim PM; Fresh Elections on June 17
Eurozone : Greece : Europe : Macroeconomy : Growth Outlook and Business Cycle :
IMF's Role in Central and Eastern Europe
Romania: New Government Wins IMF Backing for Wage Rises
Baltics : Czech Republic : Emerging Europe and CIS : Eurozone : Hungary : Poland : Romania : Serbia : Southeast Europe : Europe : Macroeconomy : Current Financial Crisis : IMF and International Economic Institutions : Systemic Risk, Vulnerabilities and Asset Bubbles :
Euro Adoption Path for EU Newcomers
EU Newcomers' Euro Adoption: Delays Expected Due to Eurozone Debt Crisis
On the Back of Euro Adoption, Estonia Re-elects Coalition Government
Baltics : Czech Republic : Emerging Europe and CIS : Eurozone : Hungary : Poland : Romania : Southeast Europe : Europe : Frontier Markets : Macroeconomy :
Greece: Fiscal Policy and Public Finances
Greek Parliament Passes Austerity Bill Despite Social Unrest
EU and IMF October Reviews of Greek Program: IMF Pushes for Greater Structural Reforms
Eurozone : Greece : Europe : Finance and Banking : Macroeconomy : Fiscal Policy :
Slovenia: Economic Profile
Slovenia Economic Outlook: Q2 GDP Contracts 9.3% Y/Y, Recovery Hinges on Upturn in Trading Partners
Eurozone : Europe : Macroeconomy : Growth Outlook and Business Cycle :
Italy: Economic Profile
Italy: Economy Continues to Contract in Q1, As Expected
Eurozone : Italy : Europe : Macroeconomy : Growth Outlook and Business Cycle :
Austria: Inflation
Upward Trend in Austria's Inflation Halts in February 2010
Eurozone : Europe : Macroeconomy : Monetary Policy and Inflation :
Germany: Price Dynamics (Inflation/Deflation)
German Inflation Rises Marginally in April
Eurozone : Germany : Europe : Macroeconomy : Monetary Policy and Inflation :
France: Household Consumption
French Consumer Confidence Improves Marginally in April
Eurozone : France : Europe : Macroeconomy : Growth Outlook and Business Cycle :
Eurozone: Monetary Policy
ECB Statements: What Is the ECB Thinking?
Should the ECB Change Its Collateral Framework?
Eurozone : Europe : Macroeconomy : Monetary Policy and Inflation :
Ireland: Economic Profile
Polls Point to Yes Vote on Irish Referendum, Long-Term Yields Shoot Back Up to 7.4%
Ireland: Q4 GDP Falls by 0.2%q/q
Eurozone : Ireland : Europe : Macroeconomy : Growth Outlook and Business Cycle :
France: Price Dynamics (Inflation/Deflation)
French Inflation Eases to 2.5% y/y in February
Eurozone : France : Europe : Macroeconomy : Monetary Policy and Inflation :
Russia: Consumption
Russian Consumption Slows in April
Russian Demographics and Labor Productivity: 'Hypermortality' Weighing on Growth?
Eurozone : Russia : Russia, CIS and the Caucasus : Europe : Geostrategy : Macroeconomy : Growth Outlook and Business Cycle : Trade and External Balance :
Germany: Export Sector
German Exports Increase by 11.4% y/y in 2011
Eurozone : Germany : Europe : Macroeconomy : International Trade and Globalization : Sectors and Industries :
Portugal: Fiscal Policy and Public Finances
Portugal PM and Rehn Concede Prospect for Additional Bridge Funding
Eurozone : Portugal : Europe : Macroeconomy : Fiscal Policy :
France: Labor Market
French Unemployment Rate Rises to 9.4% in Q4 2011
Eurozone : France : Europe : Macroeconomy : Labor Markets and Productivity :
Germany: Labor Market
German Unemployment Rate Remains Unchanged at 6.8% in March
Eurozone : Germany : Europe : Macroeconomy : Labor Markets and Productivity :
Unconventional Monetary Policy
UK: Bank of England Keeps Rates Unchanged; No Further QE
Eurozone : United Kingdom : United States : Advanced Economies : Europe : North America : Finance and Banking : Macroeconomy : Current Financial Crisis : Financial Regulation : Systemic Risk, Vulnerabilities and Asset Bubbles :
France: Fiscal Policy
French Budget Deficit Surpasses Government Expectations
Eurozone : France : Europe : Macroeconomy : Fiscal Policy :
Eurozone Cohesion
Adjustment in the EMU: Converging and Diverging Forces
What Are the Chances of an EMU Breakup?
Eurozone : Europe : Geostrategy : Macroeconomy :
Italy: Fiscal Position
Italy to Miss Deficit Targets for 2013; GDP Growth Revised Downward
Eurozone : Italy : Europe : Macroeconomy : Fiscal Policy : Growth Outlook and Business Cycle :
Spain: Fiscal Policy
Spanish 10y Bond Yields Rise Above 6%, Again
Spanish Banks: Spain Prepares to Rescue Third Largest Lender
Eurozone : Spain : Europe : Macroeconomy : Fiscal Policy :
Italy: Labor Market
Italian Unemployment Rate Rises to 9.8% in March—Highest in More Than a Decade
Eurozone : Italy : Europe : Macroeconomy : Labor Markets and Productivity :
Ireland: Inflation
Ireland's Inflation Falls to 1.3% y/y in January
Eurozone : Ireland : Europe : Macroeconomy : Monetary Policy and Inflation :
The Netherlands: Economic Profile
The Netherlands Gets a Minority Right-Wing Government
Dutch Economy Grows by 0.2% q/q in Q1 2010
Belgium : Eurozone : Europe : Geostrategy : Macroeconomy : Growth Outlook and Business Cycle :
Germany: Household Consumption
German Consumer Confidence Declines in April
Eurozone : Germany : Europe : Macroeconomy :
France: Economic Profile
French Economy Stagnates in Q1 2012
Eurozone : France : Europe : Macroeconomy : Growth Outlook and Business Cycle :
The Netherlands: Price Dynamics (Inflation/Deflation)
Has Dutch Inflation Reached its Trough?
Belgium : Eurozone : Europe : Macroeconomy :
Financial Integration in the Eurozone
Financial Integration and Current Account Imbalances: What Are the Links?
Eurozone : Europe : Macroeconomy :
Eurozone: Price Dynamics (Inflation/Deflation)
Is the ECB Right About Tracking the Money Supply?
Eurozone : Europe : Macroeconomy : Monetary Policy and Inflation :
Italy: Price Dynamics (Inflation/Deflation)
Italian HICP Stabilizes at 3.8% y/y in April
Eurozone : Italy : Europe : Macroeconomy :
Liquidity Traps
Eurozone : United Kingdom : Advanced Economies : Europe : Latin America : North America : Macroeconomy : Current Financial Crisis : Systemic Risk, Vulnerabilities and Asset Bubbles :
Austria: Economic Profile
Austrian Economy Remains Stagnant in Q1 2010
How Sustainable Is Austria's Economic Recovery?
Eurozone : Europe : Macroeconomy : Growth Outlook and Business Cycle :
Austria: Labor Market
Austria: How High will Unemployment rise?
Eurozone : Europe : Macroeconomy : Labor Markets and Productivity :
Austrian Fiscal Policy
What is the Outlook for Austria's Budgetary and Financial Position?
Eurozone : Europe : Macroeconomy : Fiscal Policy :
Germany: Fiscal Policy
Germany Set to Meet Deficit Reduction Target Ahead of Schedule in 2011 as Tax Revenues Beat Expectations
Eurozone : Germany : Europe : Macroeconomy : Fiscal Policy :
Markets
Currency Pegs in the Baltic States
Baltic Banking Systems: Will Regulatory Changes Impede Future Bank Lending?
Latvian Politics: More Coalition Blues, Majority Lost as Six Members Defect
Baltics : Eurozone : Europe : Frontier Markets : Macroeconomy : Markets : Currencies :
Sovereign Risk in the Eurozone
EU Summit: Leaders Sign the New Fiscal Compact Treaty
Spanish 10y Bond Yields Rise Above 6%, Again
Eurozone : Greece : Ireland : Italy : Spain : Europe : Markets : Fiscal Policy : Government Bonds : Government Bonds/Interest Rates :
Eurozone: The Euro
What Are the Chances of an EMU Breakup?
ECB Securities Markets Program: Push for Permanent Fiscal Solution via EFSF
Eurozone : Europe : North America : Markets : Currencies :
Finance & Banking
EU Debt Crisis Implications
Banks and EZ Debt Crisis: Bank Exposures and Loss Estimates
Spanish Banks: Spain Prepares to Rescue Third Largest Lender
Eurozone : Europe : Finance and Banking : Banks :
Financial Conditions and Liquidity
Central Banks' Collateral Frameworks and Non-Standard Measures
Bank Lending Surveys: Moderate Recovery in U.S. Loan Demand
Emerging Europe and CIS : Eurozone : Sub-Saharan Africa : United States : Asia/Pacific : Europe : Latin America : Middle East and Africa : North America : Finance and Banking : Banks :
EU Banking System
Irish Banks: Deleveraging Continues, Recapitalization Needed, SME Lending Still Weak
Spanish Banks: Spain Prepares to Rescue Third Largest Lender
Eurozone : France : Advanced Economies : Europe : Finance and Banking : Macroeconomy : Banks : Systemic Risk, Vulnerabilities and Asset Bubbles :
Credit Rating Agencies
Credit Rating Agencies: Banks Warned About Move to Remove Ratings
Eurozone : United States : Europe : North America : Finance and Banking : Banks : Capital Market Intermediaries : Financial Regulation :
Greece: Fiscal Policy and Public Finances
Greek Parliament Passes Austerity Bill Despite Social Unrest
EU and IMF October Reviews of Greek Program: IMF Pushes for Greater Structural Reforms
Eurozone : Greece : Europe : Finance and Banking : Macroeconomy : Fiscal Policy :
Greece: Banking Sector
Greece Taps Rescue Fund to Nationalize Proton Bank
Major Central Banks Cut Dollar Swap Rates to Ease EZ Funding Stress
Eurozone : Greece : Europe : Finance and Banking : Banks :
Unconventional Monetary Policy
UK: Bank of England Keeps Rates Unchanged; No Further QE
Eurozone : United Kingdom : United States : Advanced Economies : Europe : North America : Finance and Banking : Macroeconomy : Current Financial Crisis : Financial Regulation : Systemic Risk, Vulnerabilities and Asset Bubbles :
Geostrategy
Political Risk in the Baltics
Latvian Politics: More Coalition Blues, Majority Lost as Six Members Defect
Lithuania: Fiscal Consolidation Continues
Baltics : Eurozone : Europe : Frontier Markets : Geostrategy : Foreign and Domestic Political Risk :
Ireland: Domestic Politics
Ireland's Interest Rate On Bailout Loans Reduced to 3.5%
What Are the Effects of Ireland’s Harsh Spending Cuts?
Eurozone : Ireland : Europe : Geostrategy : Foreign and Domestic Political Risk :
Russia and the U.S.
U.S.-Russia Ties: A New START
U.S. Scales Down Missile Shield in Eastern Europe
Baltics : Commonwealth of Independent States : Emerging Europe and CIS : Eurozone : Russia : Russia, CIS and the Caucasus : United States : Europe : North America : Geostrategy : Defense Policy and Terrorism : Foreign Policy and Geostrategic Risks : Nuclear Proliferation :
Ireland: Fiscal Policy
Ireland: Leading Think Tank Calls for Faster Deficit Reduction
Further Stages of Ireland's 2011 Budget Passed Into Legislation
Eurozone : Ireland : Europe : Geostrategy : Macroeconomy : Fiscal Policy : Foreign and Domestic Political Risk : Growth Outlook and Business Cycle : Monetary Policy and Inflation : Real Estate :
Portugal: Domestic Politics
Portugal's Center-Right Sweeps to Power After June 5 Election
Eurozone : Portugal : Europe : Geostrategy : Foreign and Domestic Political Risk :
Greece: Domestic Politics
Greece: Pikrammenos Takes Charge as Interim PM; Fresh Elections on June 17
Economic Woes Build on Election Speculation in Greece
Eurozone : Greece : Europe : Geostrategy : Foreign and Domestic Political Risk :
NATO's Future Role
NATO in Afghanistan: Obama Unwinds Troop Increase
U.S.-Afghan Relations: Tensions Mount
Baltics : Belgium : Emerging Europe and CIS : Eurozone : Nordics : Norway : Romania : Southeast Europe : Turkey : Europe : Geostrategy : Foreign Policy and Geostrategic Risks : International Organizations :
Europe's Neutrals
What Are the Effects of Ireland’s Harsh Spending Cuts?
Swiss Manufacturing PMI In Contraction Zone, Contrary to Economic Barometer Reading
Eurozone : Nordics : Sweden : Europe : Geostrategy : Foreign Policy and Geostrategic Risks :
Central and Eastern European Demographics
Central and Eastern European Demographics: Impact Of Greying And Emigration
Baltics : Czech Republic : Emerging Europe and CIS : Eurozone : Hungary : Poland : Romania : Southeast Europe : Europe : Geostrategy : Macroeconomy : Demographics : Labor Markets and Productivity :
Reform of the European Union
Belgium Takes the EU Helm on July 1: Financial Oversight Dominates Policy Challenges
EU Politics: Lisbon Treaty Comes into Force
Czech Republic : Emerging Europe and CIS : Eurozone : Poland : Europe : Geostrategy : Foreign and Domestic Political Risk : Foreign Policy and Geostrategic Risks : International Organizations :
Italy: Domestic Politics
Mario Monti's New Technocratic Italian Government Takes Power
Eurozone : Italy : Europe : Geostrategy : Foreign and Domestic Political Risk :
France: Domestic Politics
France: Francois Hollande Wins the Presidential Elections
Eurozone : France : Europe : Geostrategy : Foreign and Domestic Political Risk :
Spain: Domestic Politics
Spain Elects New Center-Right Government
Basque ETA Declares 'Permanent' Cease-Fire, Spain Wants 'Definitive End'
Eurozone : Spain : Europe : Geostrategy : Foreign and Domestic Political Risk :
Belgium: Domestic Politics
Belgium: Political Parties Form New Coalition Government
Belgium : Eurozone : Europe : Geostrategy :
Political Risk in Northern Ireland
Has Peace Become Permanent in Northern Ireland?
Eurozone : Ireland : United Kingdom : Europe : Geostrategy : Defense Policy and Terrorism : Foreign and Domestic Political Risk :
Germany: Domestic Politics
Germany: Huge Electoral Setback for Chancellor Merkel
Germany: Regional Elections Curb Merkel's Power
Eurozone : Germany : Europe : Geostrategy : Foreign and Domestic Political Risk :
Political Risk in Eastern Europe
Czech Politics: Government Survives Confidence Vote
Romania: New Government Wins IMF Backing for Wage Rises
Baltics : Commonwealth of Independent States : Czech Republic : Emerging Europe and CIS : Eurozone : Hungary : Poland : Romania : Russia, CIS and the Caucasus : Southeast Europe : Emerging Markets : Europe : Frontier Markets : Geostrategy : Foreign and Domestic Political Risk :
Russia: Consumption
Russian Consumption Slows in April
Russian Demographics and Labor Productivity: 'Hypermortality' Weighing on Growth?
Eurozone : Russia : Russia, CIS and the Caucasus : Europe : Geostrategy : Macroeconomy : Growth Outlook and Business Cycle : Trade and External Balance :
Eastern European Energy Security
Russia Launches Nord Stream Pipeline: European Clients to Receive Gas by November
Russian Deal With Ukraine Eases Fears of Another Winter Gas War
Commonwealth of Independent States : Emerging Europe and CIS : Eurozone : Nordics : Poland : Russia : Russia, CIS and the Caucasus : Serbia : Southeast Europe : Europe : Geostrategy : Commodities : Energy : Energy Security and Policy : Foreign Policy and Geostrategic Risks : Natural Gas : Oil and Energy :
Eurozone Cohesion
Adjustment in the EMU: Converging and Diverging Forces
What Are the Chances of an EMU Breakup?
Eurozone : Europe : Geostrategy : Macroeconomy :
EU Climate Change Policy
What’s Brewing in EU Climate Policy After Copenhagen?
EU Solar Energy: Can Southern Europe Come to the Rescue?
Eurozone : Europe : Geostrategy : Climate Change and Clean Energy : Climate Change and Natural Resources : Energy Security and Policy :
Russia and the EU
U.S.-Russia Ties: A New START
U.S. Scales Down Missile Shield in Eastern Europe
Baltics : Commonwealth of Independent States : Emerging Europe and CIS : Eurozone : Nordics : Russia : Russia, CIS and the Caucasus : Europe : Geostrategy : Energy Security and Policy : Foreign Policy and Geostrategic Risks :
Eurozone Outlook: Recession Hits, ECB Buys Time
After eurozone (EZ) GDP expanded by an estimated 1.5% in 2011, we expect a mild contraction in 2012 followed by stagnation in 2013. Our latest forecasts represent a significant upgrade from our last EZ Outlook, owing to recent Europe-wide policy measures; we now expect the core to stabilize while the periphery continues to contract significantly. Domestic demand will be a significant drag on economic performance over the next two years as governments implement austerity programs; banks continue to undergo deleveraging; consumer and business confidence plummet; and unemployment rises further. We expect that Greece will default and exit the EZ as early as the end of 2013. If further defaults and EZ exits occur, it would most likely be beyond our forecast period as the firewall that policy makers have erected with the ECB’s liquidity operations and European and IMF bailout resources will buy time for countries to implement structural reforms.
Read the latest eurozone Outlook
Market Strategy
Market Strategy
Equity Strategy Weekly: ‘Merhollande’ Renew Vows but Valuations Belie Fundamentals
By May 16, 2012
Market Strategy
Finance and Banking Monthly: The Evolution of Financial Subordinated Debt
By Apr 12, 2012
Market Strategy
Are CDS Worthless Because Greece's Exchange Won't Trigger a Credit Event?
By Nov 2, 2011
Market Strategy
Damned If You Do, Doomed If You Don't: Life After Greece's Mega-Exchange (If it Actually Happens)
By Sep 16, 2011
Market Strategy
Mapping the Possibilities: Using Options to Derive Probability Distributions for Traded Markets
By Sep 9, 2011
Market Strategy
Reduced Tail Risk Allows Selective Risk On, Despite Unanswered Questions and Moral Hazard
By Jul 27, 2011
Market Strategy
EM BRICS vs. EZ Mortar: Global Ramifications of a Big EM Ask—Select the IMF MD on Merit!
By May 25, 2011
Market Strategy
States of Despair Part II: Labors of Sisyphus—EZ Sovereign and U.S. State Debt Woes
By Apr 14, 2011
Market Strategy
EZ Does It! Part 2: Radiating From EZ Ground Zero to Global Asset Classes
By Nov 24, 2010
Cross Asset Monthly
The Big Picture: Necessary but Insufficient Policies for Interesting Times
By Oct 29, 2010
Market Strategy
Quantum(s) of Solace: A QE2 Scenario Analysis and Assessment of the Limits of Fed Policy
By Oct 25, 2010
Emerging Markets Quarterly
The Big Picture: East is East; South is South; West is West; North is North...Yet the Twain Seem to Meet…
By Oct 22, 2010
Market Strategy
Japanese Yen: BoJ Intervention—Short-Term Success, Long-Term Headwinds
By Sep 15, 2010
Market Strategy
Q3 2010 Scenario Analysis: Macroeconomic Factors & Asset Class Investment Implications
By Aug 2, 2010
Market Strategy
Cross Asset Monthly: A Summer of Discontent: Navigating the Tug of War Between Greed and Fear
By Jul 27, 2010
Market Strategy
Fixed Income: Relief Rallies European Bond Markets, But Now for the Hard Part
By May 10, 2010
Economic Research
Economic Research
What’s on Nouriel’s Mind: A Growth Compact—A 12-Point Plan to Jump-Start Eurozone Growth
By May 21, 2012
Economic Research
What’s on Nouriel’s Mind: Greece Should Default and Exit the Eurozone Through an Orderly Divorce Process
By May 14, 2012
Economic Research
What’s on Nouriel’s Mind: 12 Drivers of the Eurozone’s Slow-Motion Train Wreck
By May 1, 2012
Economic Research
Conference Call Replay: The IMF and Spain—How to Keep the Elephant in the Room From Getting Shot?
By Apr 30, 2012
Economic Research
All Washed Up in Washington: Key Takeaways From an Unscripted IMF Spring Meeting
By Apr 24, 2012
Economic Research
What’s on Nouriel’s Mind: The Eurozone Needs More Than Austerity to Restore Growth
By Apr 12, 2012
Economic Research
What’s on Nouriel’s Mind: A Balance-Sheet Recession Calls for Monetized Fiscal Deficits, Not Fiscal Austerity
By Apr 3, 2012
Conference Call
Conference Call Replay: EZ Political Risks—Policy and Economic Implications; Navigating Stormy Waters
By Mar 13, 2012
Global Economic Outlook
Italy Outlook: Monti’s Reforms Do Not Alter Short-Term Growth Prospects
By Mar 7, 2012
Economic Research
What’s on Nouriel’s Mind: A Sweet Greek PSI Deal Transfers the Bulk of Future Losses to the Official Sector
By Mar 6, 2012
Global Economic Outlook
Greece Outlook: Immediate Disaster Thwarted, Growth Prospects Still Grim
By Mar 5, 2012
Economic Research
EZ Election 2012/13 Special: National Politics and the European Debt Crisis
By Feb 13, 2012
Europe Weekly
ECB Rate Cuts Delayed; Greek Deadline Worries; Turkish Credit Drought; Russian Disinflation Drivers; EZ Calendar
By Feb 10, 2012
Europe Weekly
ECB Meeting Preview; Italian Economic Headwinds; UK Manufacturing; Romanian Politics; EZ Calendar
By Feb 3, 2012
Economic Research
EZ Divorce: The Negotiation Phase—The Political-Economy of an Amicable Divorce
By Jan 31, 2012
Economic Research
EZ Divorce: Implementation Phase—Macroeconomic Management of EZ Exits
By Jan 31, 2012
Economic Research
EZ Divorce: Financial and Real-Economy Impact—Managing the Financial System
By Jan 31, 2012
Europe Weekly
Greek PSI and the ECB; EZ Yield Curves; EZ PMIs; UK Double Dip; Hungarian Monetary Policy; EZ Calendar
By Jan 27, 2012
Conference Call
Conference Call Replay: EZ State of Play—Another Summit, More Skepticism
By Jan 27, 2012
Europe Weekly
Reassessing the EFSF; Hungarian Politics; Turkish Fiscal Policy; EZ Calendar
By Jan 20, 2012
Economic Research
What's on Nouriel's Mind: The Deteriorating Economic Outlook for the Eurozone
By Jan 17, 2012
Europe Weekly
German Slump; French, Finnish Elections; Eastern Europe Monetary Policy; EZ Calendar
By Jan 13, 2012
Economic Research
German CDU's European Roadmap Revisited: EMU Exit Clause in the Cards?
By Jan 9, 2012
Europe Weekly
ECB Meeting Preview; Spain’s Crucial Fiscal Consolidation; Hungary Risks; Turkish Monetary Policy; EZ Calendar
By Jan 6, 2012
Economic Research
Italy's Long-Term Bond Auction on December 29: Start-Gun For a Challenging Q1 2012
By Dec 28, 2011
Europe Weekly
EZ Pitfalls in 2012; Italian GDP; New Spanish Government; Swedish Monetary Policy; Hungarian, Polish Banks; EZ Calendar
By Dec 23, 2011
Europe Weekly
EU Summit Special: Ratification Risks; UK Veto; IMF Fire Power; EZ Calendar
By Dec 16, 2011
Europe Weekly
ECB Meeting; EZ Crisis Impact on UK; Russian Elections; Turkish Inflation; Italian Fiscal Austerity; EZ Calendar
By Dec 9, 2011
Europe Weekly
German, Global Central Bank, ECB Moves to Solve EZ Crisis; EZ Yield Curves; Hungarian Monetary Policy; Scandinavian Growth; EZ Calendar
By Dec 2, 2011
Economic Research
Macro Adjustment, the Geyser Way: Icelandic Lessons for the EZ Periphery
By Nov 25, 2011
Europe Weekly
EZ Crisis Response; Eastern Europe Banks; ECB Monetary Policy; Hungary and the IMF; Belgian Politics; EZ Calendar
By Nov 25, 2011
Economic Research
Spain Will Be Forced to Restructure Its Debt; New Government Is No Game Changer
By Nov 23, 2011
Europe Weekly
EZ GDP; Spanish Politics; Eastern Europe Growth Fears; Russian Slowdown; EZ Calendar
By Nov 18, 2011
Conference Call
Conference Call Highlights: Can the EZ Be Brought Back From the Brink?
By Nov 17, 2011
Europe Weekly
Eurozone Contagion; Italian Politics; UK Asset Purchases; Danish, Polish Monetary Policy; EZ Calendar
By Nov 11, 2011
Economic Research
Why the ECB's Monetary Policy Threatens the Eurozone, and Why It Needs a Higher Inflation Target
By Nov 9, 2011
Conference Call
Conference Call Replay: EZ Recession in 2012 and Falling Global Growth Expectations—What Are the Asset Class Implications?
By Nov 8, 2011
Europe Weekly
EZ PMIs; Greek Politics; UK Growth; Romanian Monetary Policy; Russian IP; Turkish Inflation; EZ Calendar
By Nov 4, 2011
Economic Research
Four Options to Address the Eurozone's Stock and Flow Imbalances: The Rising Risk of a Disorderly Break-Up
By Nov 1, 2011
Global Economic Outlook
Germany Outlook Update: From Supercharged Growth to Near-Stagnation
By Oct 31, 2011
Europe Weekly
EZ Summit Questions; ECB’s Next Rate Move; German Obstacles; Swedish Rate Cuts; Resilient Polish Consumption; Italian Politics; EZ Calendar
By Oct 28, 2011
Conference Call
Conference Call Replay: Eurozone in Crisis: Summit Response–What Really Can We Expect?
By Oct 27, 2011
Economic Research
Waiting for the Wednesday Summit: Progress Report on EFSF Leverage Options, Bank Recaps and Greece
By Oct 24, 2011
Economic Research
Low Inflation in EZ Core Threatens Periphery’s Efforts to Regain Competitiveness
By Oct 21, 2011
Europe Weekly
UK’s MPC Meeting; Norway’s Monetary Policy; Portugal’s Budget Plan; Hungary’s Credit Rating; Russia’s Retail Sales; EZ Calendar
By Oct 21, 2011
Conference Call
Conference Call Replay: Eurozone in Crisis—More Than a Plan to Plan Needed
By Oct 21, 2011
Economic Research
Last Shot on Goal: Will Eurozone Leaders Succeed in Ending the Crisis?
By Oct 21, 2011
Europe Weekly
Slovakia Ratifies EFSF; EZ Inflation Peaks; UK Unemployment to Rise; Poland’s Fiscal Overhaul
By Oct 14, 2011
Economic Research
The Age of Crisis: Down and Out Depression in D.C.—RGE on the IMF/WB Annual Meetings
By Sep 26, 2011
Economic Research
A Radical Policy Response to the Rising Risks of a Depression and Financial Crisis
By Sep 13, 2011
Economic Research
German Parliament to Back New EFSF Powers, But an Increase Is Unlikely and Eurobonds a Fantasy
By Sep 2, 2011
Europe Weekly
Finnish Collateral Demands, Polish Consumption, Czech Rating Upgrade, EZ PMIs, Portuguese Consumption
By Aug 26, 2011
Central Bank Watch
Summary Table: RGE Policy Rate Forecasts and Market Interbank Rate Expectations
By Aug 19, 2011
Europe Weekly
Inflation Concerns Easing in EZ, Switzerland, UK, Hungary and Czech Republic
By Aug 12, 2011
Europe Weekly
Spanish Politics; EFSF Ratification; German Soft Landing; Czech Monetary Policy; Turkish Depreciation
By Jul 29, 2011
Europe Weekly
UK Monetary Policy; Eurozone Inflation; Swedish Households; Eastern European Banks; Turkish Consumer Confidence; Polish Manufacturing
By Jul 22, 2011
Economic Research
Brady Plan 2.0: RGE Proposal for an Orderly but Coercive Greek Debt Exchange Approved by the Eurozone and Private Sector
By Jul 22, 2011
Economic Research
Second Bailout Package for Greece and Stabilization of the EMU Framework—Options and Solutions
By Jul 21, 2011
Economic Research
High Time for an Orderly and Market-Oriented but Coercive Restructuring of Greece's Debt
By Jul 13, 2011
Economic Research
Despite Serious Vulnerabilities, Italy Is Not Greece; the Show Will Probably Go On
By Jul 13, 2011
Europe Weekly
Greek Debt; Volatile Turkish Inflation; Fragile Irish Growth; Russia's Weak Fixed Investment; Poland's Shale Gas Bonanza; Denmark's Bank Woes
By Jul 8, 2011
Europe Weekly
Risks and Growth Prospects Across the EZ, UK, Nordics, Emerging Europe and CIS
By Jul 1, 2011
Europe Weekly
Turkish Credit Growth; UK Consumption; Russian Payroll Tax; Greek Crisis Impact on Romania; Finnish Growth Policy
By Jun 24, 2011
Global Economic Outlook
Spain Outlook Update: Fiscal Housekeeping Shifts to Regional Governments
By Jun 23, 2011
Global Economic Outlook
Italy Outlook Update: Political Instability Preventing Structural Reforms
By Jun 17, 2011
Europe Weekly
Greek Crisis; German Banks Exposed; Irish Bondholders; Czech Banking Risks; Turkish Wage-Price Spiral
By Jun 17, 2011
Economic Research
EZ Policy Makers Will Avoid Tough Decisions and Continue to Muddle Through for Now
By Jun 3, 2011
Economic Research
From Reprofiling to Vienna Initiative 2.0: The Nonsense of Purely 'Voluntary' Bail-Ins of Greece's Sovereign Bank Creditors
By Jun 3, 2011
Europe Weekly
ECB Collateral Holdings; German Dynamics; UK Corporates; Turkish Monetary Policy; Polish Consumption; Hungarian Mortgage Relief
By May 27, 2011
Economic Research
Much Ado About Relatively Little: Contagion Risks From an Orderly Greek Debt Restructuring Are Modest, Contained and Manageable
By May 24, 2011
Economic Research
UK Financial Regulation: Pricing and Competitive Implications for Banks
By May 19, 2011
Economic Research
DSK's Arrest: Implications for the IMF Succession and PIIGS' Bailouts
By May 16, 2011
Europe Weekly
Eurozone Core Comes Up Trumps in Q1; UK, EZ Periphery Moving at Half Speed
By May 13, 2011
Economic Research
Why Inflation Is Not a Desirable or Likely Way to Reduce Unsustainable Debts
By May 10, 2011
Economic Research
A How-To Manual for Plan B: Options for Restructuring Greek Public Debt
By May 9, 2011
Europe Weekly
Shrinking Eurozone Liquidity; Russia's Banking Worries; Icesave Implications
By May 6, 2011
Economic Research
CDS and Debt Restructuring: Does the Existence of Credit Derivatives Make Restructuring Harder?
By Apr 21, 2011
Economic Research
Greek Debt Restructuring Debate: Is the Official Sector Converging Toward 'Plan B'?
By Apr 6, 2011
Economic Research
Global Financials Quarterly: Bank Earnings Face the Music as Stimulus Fades
By Mar 25, 2011
Economic Research
Q2 2011 Geostrategy Note: The Scent of Jasmine, Japan's Mega-Crisis and Other Global Drama
By Mar 24, 2011
Europe Weekly
Eastern Europe Monetary Policy; Icelandic Policy Rate; Irish Fiscal Challenges
By Mar 18, 2011
Economic Research
Central Europe: December PMIs Point to Strong Growth, Mounting Price Pressures
By Jan 7, 2011
Economic Research
2011 Geostrategy Note: The Roiling Pacific, Quagmiristan and EZ Targets
By Dec 29, 2010
Economic Research
Front-Loaded Stimulus, Back-Loaded Austerity: The Optimal Fiscal Austerity Path and the Risks of Other Routes
By Dec 2, 2010
Economic Research
Nordic Unemployment: Explaining the Divergent Trends During the Crisis
By Nov 30, 2010
Economic Research
Comparing Spain With Ireland and Other PIIGS: Better in Some Ways, More at Risk in Others
By Nov 25, 2010
Economic Research
An Orderly Market-Based Approach to the Restructuring of Eurozone Sovereign Debts Obviates the Need for Statutory Approaches
By Nov 15, 2010
Economic Research
Eurozone Periphery: Short-Term Sovereign Risk Amid Long-Term Restructuring Plans
By Nov 11, 2010
Europe Weekly
EZ's Head and Tailwinds; Acute Portuguese Crisis; Stalling Russian Growth
By Nov 5, 2010
Economic Research
Q4 2010 Geostrategic Risk Note: Asia on the Boil, U.S.-Europe Reap Anti-Incumbent Backlash
By Oct 7, 2010
Europe Weekly
EZ Current Accounts; Sweden's Hung Parliament Risk; Basel III Impact on German Banks
By Sep 17, 2010
Europe Weekly
Shrinking Russian Trade Surplus; the UK PMI Message; Czech Banks Still Solid
By Sep 10, 2010
Europe Weekly
Q2 GDP in the Eurozone and UK; High-Flying Swiss Franc; Turkey's Referendum
By Sep 3, 2010
Economic Research
Europe Weekly Spotlight: Eurozone Q2 Growth; Is Germany Rebalancing?; Polls Near in Latvia and Sweden
By Aug 13, 2010
Economic Research
Europe Weekly Spotlight: Greek Loan Review; Depressed French Consumers; UK Financial Reform
By Aug 6, 2010
Economic Research
Q3 2010 Geostrategy Note: Nascent Nukes, Portly PIIGS and the Taliban
By Aug 4, 2010
Economic Research
Europe Weekly Spotlight: EZ Corporate Credit Conditions; Inflation Risks in Russia
By Jul 30, 2010
Economic Research
Europe Weekly Spotlight: Germany Peaks; Slovakia Relents; UK House Price Indexes Diverge
By Jul 16, 2010
Economic Research
Europe Weekly Spotlight: Multi-Speed Eurozone Recovery; Strong UK Gilts; Confident Nordics
By Jul 9, 2010
Economic Research
Europe Weekly Spotlight: Merkel’s Worries Increase; Romania Ceases Monetary Easing
By Jul 2, 2010
Economic Research
Europe Weekly Spotlight: Growth in Turkey, Austerity Beyond (even France)
By Jun 25, 2010
Economic Research
Adjustment Dynamics in Spain: Will Belt-Tightening Cinch Off Growth?
By Jun 10, 2010
Economic Research
Eurogroup Ready to Provide €30 Billion at around 5%, IMF €15 Billion at Lower Rates
By Apr 12, 2010
Economic Research
The Greece Dilemma: Sovereign Debts Imperiling the Euro and Challenging EU Ties
By Jan 19, 2010
Economic Research
It is Time for a Special Insolvency Regime for Systemically Important Financial Institutions (Non-Bank Financial Firms and Bank Holding Companies)
By Mar 25, 2009
Economic Research
Global Recession Watch: A Dozen Significant Economies are at Risk of a Hard Landing
By Jun 25, 2008
EconoMonitors
Geostrategy Channel
Which Nations Will Make Wise Decisions Under Stress? Who Will Screw-Up and Fail?
May 23, 2012
Peterson Institute for International Economics
Implementing Basel III in the European Union: A Deeply Flawed Compromise
May 22, 2012
Europe Channel
Turning Periphery Economies Around: Moving from Austerity to Economic Growth
May 22, 2012
Peterson Institute for International Economics
Endgame in Greece: Don’t Look for an Imminent 'Grexit'
May 21, 2012
Nouriel Roubini's Global EconoMonitor
Bartiromo One on One with Nouriel Roubini: Trouble Ahead for Economy
May 21, 2012
Global Macro Channel
WHAT’S ON YOUR MIND? Thoughts from EconoMonitor's Alpert, Hugh, Deliveli, and Dolan
May 20, 2012
Europe Channel
Europe’s Depressing Prospects: Two Reasons Why Spain Will Leave the Euro
May 18, 2012
Europe Channel
President Hollande Should Propose an Ambitious Growth and Integration Agenda for the Eurozone
May 6, 2012
RGE Analysts
Bloomberg Video with RGE's Megan Greene: Spain is Insolvent, Bailout to Come
May 2, 2012
Europe Channel
The Dutch Left’s Embrace of the Austerity Suicide Pact: It’s Necessary for the Children!
Apr 30, 2012
Europe Channel
Spain’s Investment-Grade Status, France’s AAA at Risk as Crisis Escalates
Apr 27, 2012
Europe Channel
Steve Keen: The Maastricht Treaty Is a Suicide Pact for European Leaders
Apr 25, 2012
Ed Dolan's Econ Blog
What Happened When Poland’s Fixed Exchange Rate Experiment Failed: Lessons for a Euro Divorce
Apr 12, 2012
Nouriel Roubini's Global EconoMonitor
Jim O'Neil and Nouriel Roubini on Global Economic Recovery
Apr 10, 2012
RGE Analysts
RGE's Christian Menegatti and Megan Greene Chat about the EZ - Fewer Headlines, Just as Many Problems
Mar 29, 2012
Europe Channel
Europe's 'Success Story' Double Dips: Irish Economy Re-Contracts, As Predicted
Mar 22, 2012
RGE Analysts
RGE's Arnab Das CNBC Video and Report: Europe Deleveraging to Cause Recession?
Mar 21, 2012
Europe Channel
Replacing Recession and Austerity with Growth and Solidarity Across Euroland
Mar 20, 2012
Peterson Institute for International Economics
Is the Risk Free Status of Euro Area Sovereign Debt in Tatters?
Mar 16, 2012
Europe Channel
The Irish Begin to Wake Up to the Fact That They Are Repaying Money That Is Then Burned
Mar 15, 2012
Peterson Institute for International Economics
Why President Obama Can Stop Worrying About Europe
Mar 13, 2012
Nouriel Roubini's Global EconoMonitor
CNBC Video and Report - Portugal to Fall, Greece to Leave Euro Zone: Roubini
Mar 12, 2012
Don't Shoot the Messenger
Portugal Gradually Shuffles Its Way Towards the Front of the Debt Queue
Mar 11, 2012
Peterson Institute for International Economics
An Alternative for Greece: An Incomes Policy to Achieve Internal Devaluation
Feb 28, 2012
Peterson Institute for International Economics
Brinkmanship in Brussels, Sturm and Drachma for Greece and Europe
Feb 27, 2012
The Wilder View
All of the Euro Area Usual Competitiveness Suspects in One Chart...But with a Twist
Feb 24, 2012
Europe Channel
Europe Has Chosen a Harsh Future. All the Paths for Greece Lead into Darkness.
Feb 24, 2012
RGE Analysts
RGE's Christian Menegatti CNBC Video - Bailout Won't Save Greece's Solvency
Feb 14, 2012
Europe Channel
Handelsblatt Warns Insufficient PSI Participation Will Lead to Greek Default
Feb 14, 2012
Peterson Institute for International Economics
Europe’s Fiscal Union Still Lacks a Blueprint
Feb 13, 2012
Europe Channel
Greece Responds to Troika Deal with Immediate Two Day Strike, Threatens with "Social Uprising"
Feb 9, 2012
Dan Alpert's Two Cents
Tinkerbell Economics - The Confidence Fairy, Pixie Dust and a Sleeping Dragon
Feb 6, 2012
Peterson Institute for International Economics
How Euro Brinkmanship Is Beginning to Succeed
Feb 5, 2012
Global Macro Channel
How to Exit the Danger Zone: IMF Update on Global Financial Stability
Jan 31, 2012
Peterson Institute for International Economics
Lessons for Europe’s Fiscal Union from US Federalism
Jan 30, 2012
Nouriel Roubini's Global EconoMonitor
Draghi, Soros, Geithner, Roubini, Calderon, Merkel: In Their Own Words From the WEF on the Europe Crisis Via Bloomberg
Jan 30, 2012
Europe Channel
Hot News! The Wehrmacht Failed to Take Greece. Now Germany Tries Again, With a Different Method.
Jan 29, 2012
Nouriel Roubini's Global EconoMonitor
Roubini and Rogoff with CNBC's Bartiromo - Recession in Europe, SOTU, Global Growth Risks
Jan 25, 2012
Europe Channel
ECB/Fed Support for the European Banking System - 750 Billion USD, and Counting ...
Jan 5, 2012
Daily Digest
News
Flash consumer confidence indicator for EU and Euro Area (May 2012)
European Commission May 22, 2012
Analysis
Article IV Consultation with Italy- Concluding Statement of the IMF Mission (May 2012)
IMF May 16, 2012
News
Nigeria: FG Signs N33.4 Billion Power Agreement With France, Japan
Leadership (Nigeria) May 16, 2012
News
Quarterly Spanish National Accounts. Base 2008 First quarter of 2012
National Statistics Institute (INE) May 17, 2012
Analysis
ZEW Indicator of Economic Sentiment: Expectations Deteriorate (May 2012)
Centre for European Economic Research May 15, 2012
News
Remarks of European Commission Vice-President Rehn at the Eurogroup press conference of 14 May 2012
European Commission May 14, 2012
Analysis
Report on the public consultation on the European Commission Green Paper on the feasibility of introducing Stability Bonds
EU Commission May 15, 2012
News
Flash estimate for the first quarter of 2012 Euro area and EU27 GDP stable
Eurostat May 15, 2012
Analysis
France: Resilient economic growth so far, slow recovery ahead
European Commission May 11, 2012
Analysis
Germany: Domestic demand to drive growth over the forecast horizon
European Commission May 11, 2012
Analysis
Germany Article IV Consultation: Concluding Statement of the IMF Mission (May 2012)
IMF May 08, 2012
News
IMF Managing Director Christine Lagarde Calls for Anchoring Stability to Sustain Higher and Better Growth
IMF May 07, 2012
Analysis
Markit Germany Services/Composite PMI– final data (April 2012)
Markit Economic May 04, 2012
Analysis
Markit France Services/Composite PMI – final data (April 2012)
Markit Economic May 04, 2012
Analysis
Spanish Services PMI and Unemployment claims: Another round of bad news
BNP Paribas May 04, 2012
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