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France
Featured Content
RGE Analysis
EZ Election 2012/13 Special: National Politics and the European Debt Crisis
Feb 13, 2012
Macroeconomy
EU Banking System
Irish Banks: Deleveraging Continues, Recapitalization Needed, SME Lending Still Weak
Spanish Banks: Spain Prepares to Rescue Third Largest Lender
Eurozone : France : Advanced Economies : Europe : Finance and Banking : Macroeconomy : Banks : Systemic Risk, Vulnerabilities and Asset Bubbles :
France: Household Consumption
French Consumer Confidence Improves Marginally in April
Eurozone : France : Europe : Macroeconomy : Growth Outlook and Business Cycle :
France: Price Dynamics (Inflation/Deflation)
French Inflation Eases to 2.5% y/y in February
Eurozone : France : Europe : Macroeconomy : Monetary Policy and Inflation :
France: Labor Market
French Unemployment Rate Rises to 9.4% in Q4 2011
Eurozone : France : Europe : Macroeconomy : Labor Markets and Productivity :
Finance & Banking
EU Banking System
Irish Banks: Deleveraging Continues, Recapitalization Needed, SME Lending Still Weak
Spanish Banks: Spain Prepares to Rescue Third Largest Lender
Eurozone : France : Advanced Economies : Europe : Finance and Banking : Macroeconomy : Banks : Systemic Risk, Vulnerabilities and Asset Bubbles :
Geostrategy
French Security and Defense Policy
Entente Fiscale: France and the UK Ink Belt-Tightening Defense Pact
France : Europe : Geostrategy : Defense Policy and Terrorism : Foreign Policy and Geostrategic Risks :
France: Domestic Politics
France: Francois Hollande Wins the Presidential Elections
Eurozone : France : Europe : Geostrategy : Foreign and Domestic Political Risk :
French Foreign Policy
Coup in Niger: Uranium Market Implications?
Can EU-Russia Ties Shift From Energy Focus to Modernization?
France : Europe : Middle East and Africa : Geostrategy : Defense Policy and Terrorism : Development Challenges : Foreign Policy and Geostrategic Risks : International Organizations :
Key Indicators
HICP Annual Percentage Change
France 2005=100 - United Kingdom
France 2005=100 - United Kingdom
1.9, 1.9, 1.7, 1.9, 1.6
1.6
International Trade
Balance, European Union (26 partners), Million EUR, SA/WDA - France
Balance, European Union (26 partners), Million EUR, SA/WDA - France
-2058, -3360, -2461, -1791, -2036
-2,036
Industrial Production
Industry, SA/WDA (2005=100) - France
Industry, SA/WDA (2005=100) - France
8.38, 8.14, 5.41, 5.61, 3.25
3.25
Unemployment Rate by Sex and Age
Total, SA, % - France
Total, SA, % - France
9.6, 9.5, 9.3, 9.3, 9.2
9.2
Consumer Confidence Survey
Summary indicator, Balance, WDA/SA % - France
Summary indicator, Balance, WDA/SA % - France
-36.73, -35.13, -33.85, -32.43, -36.17
-36.17
Government Consolidated Gross Debt
General Government, % of GDP - France
General Government, % of GDP - France
66, 67.4, 70.4, 73.9, 75.8
75.8
Gross domestic product at market prices
Mil of euro (chained 2000 prices), Real, SA, WDA - France
Mil of euro (chained 2000 prices), Real, SA, WDA - France
0.18, 0.68, 0.36, 0.36, 0.97
0.97
data by Factset
France Outlook: Keeping Its Head Above Water
The French economy now appears likely to avoid a technical recession in 2012, but will stagnate in H1 2012, before the economic climate gradually improves towards the end of the year. In particular, fiscal austerity and rising unemployment will weigh heavily on output. In 2013, economic activity will improve further, but remain well below precrisis trend levels. While the ECB’s three-year long-term refinancing operations (LTROs) have lessened the prevailing atmosphere of economic uncertainty and delayed the pace of bank deleveraging, there is little sign that increased liquidity is finding its way into the real economy. Credit supply for the private sector looks set to remain tight in 2012. While opinion polls currently point overwhelmingly towards a victory for Socialist candidate Francois Hollande in the May 6 presidential election second-round run-off, the race is likely to be close. If elected, Hollande will need to introduce an additional austerity budget if France is to meet its EU-agreed deficit targets.
Economic Research
Conference Call
Conference Call Replay: EZ Political Risks—Policy and Economic Implications; Navigating Stormy Waters
By Mar 13, 2012
Economic Research
EZ Election 2012/13 Special: National Politics and the European Debt Crisis
By Feb 13, 2012
Europe Weekly
EU Summit Special: Ratification Risks; UK Veto; IMF Fire Power; EZ Calendar
By Dec 16, 2011
Conference Call
Conference Call Highlights: Can the EZ Be Brought Back From the Brink?
By Nov 17, 2011
Economic Research
Waiting for the Wednesday Summit: Progress Report on EFSF Leverage Options, Bank Recaps and Greece
By Oct 24, 2011
Economic Research
Low Inflation in EZ Core Threatens Periphery’s Efforts to Regain Competitiveness
By Oct 21, 2011
Conference Call
Conference Call Replay: Eurozone in Crisis—More Than a Plan to Plan Needed
By Oct 21, 2011
Economic Research
Last Shot on Goal: Will Eurozone Leaders Succeed in Ending the Crisis?
By Oct 21, 2011
Europe Weekly
Germany's EFSF Ratification; Sarkozy's Dwindling Re-Election Hopes; Poland's Currency Intervention
By Sep 30, 2011
Europe Weekly
Inflation Concerns Easing in EZ, Switzerland, UK, Hungary and Czech Republic
By Aug 12, 2011
Economic Research
EZ Policy Makers Will Avoid Tough Decisions and Continue to Muddle Through for Now
By Jun 3, 2011
Economic Research
Much Ado About Relatively Little: Contagion Risks From an Orderly Greek Debt Restructuring Are Modest, Contained and Manageable
By May 24, 2011
Economic Research
DSK's Arrest: Implications for the IMF Succession and PIIGS' Bailouts
By May 16, 2011
Europe Weekly
Eurozone Core Comes Up Trumps in Q1; UK, EZ Periphery Moving at Half Speed
By May 13, 2011
Economic Research
Q2 2011 Geostrategy Note: The Scent of Jasmine, Japan's Mega-Crisis and Other Global Drama
By Mar 24, 2011
Economic Research
An Orderly Market-Based Approach to the Restructuring of Eurozone Sovereign Debts Obviates the Need for Statutory Approaches
By Nov 15, 2010
Economic Research
Q4 2010 Geostrategic Risk Note: Asia on the Boil, U.S.-Europe Reap Anti-Incumbent Backlash
By Oct 7, 2010
Economic Research
Europe Weekly Spotlight: Greek Loan Review; Depressed French Consumers; UK Financial Reform
By Aug 6, 2010
Economic Research
Q3 2010 Geostrategy Note: Nascent Nukes, Portly PIIGS and the Taliban
By Aug 4, 2010
Economic Research
Europe Weekly Spotlight: Growth in Turkey, Austerity Beyond (even France)
By Jun 25, 2010
EconoMonitors
Europe Channel
President Hollande Should Propose an Ambitious Growth and Integration Agenda for the Eurozone
May 6, 2012
Europe Channel
Spain’s Investment-Grade Status, France’s AAA at Risk as Crisis Escalates
Apr 27, 2012
Peterson Institute for International Economics
Will the French Elections Derail the Fiscal Compact in Europe?
Mar 14, 2012
Europe Channel
Chaney Says 'Recession Has Already Started in Europe,' Talks to Euro-TARP
Oct 14, 2011
Geostrategy Channel
German Responsible for Stability and Growth Pact Wants to Bail Greece Out
Mar 5, 2010
Don't Shoot the Messenger
The French Rebound Continues In October While Germany Moves Sideways
Oct 28, 2009
Daily Digest
Analysis
Report on the public consultation on the European Commission Green Paper on the feasibility of introducing Stability Bonds
EU Commission May 15, 2012
Analysis
France: Resilient economic growth so far, slow recovery ahead
European Commission May 11, 2012
Analysis
Markit France Services/Composite PMI – final data (April 2012)
Markit Economic May 04, 2012
News
In February, the cold spell drove households’ consumption in goods up (+3.0%)
INSEE Mar 30, 2012
Analysis
World Economic Outlook: Growth Resuming, Dangers Remain (April 2012)
International Monetary Fund (IMF) Apr 17, 2012
News
In February 2012, manufacturing output strongly decreased (-1.2%) while output in total industry was stabilized by the cold spell (+0.3%)
INSEE Apr 10, 2012
News
In 2011, the deficit amounted to 5.2% of GDP, the debt notified to 85.8% of GDP
INSEE Mar 30, 2012
Analysis
Monthly Economic Report (March 2012): The French economy provides a pleasant surprise in the last quarter of 2011
la Caixa March 2012
Analysis
Markit France Services/Composite PMI – final data (February 2012)
Markit Economic Mar 05, 2012
Opinions
The Proust index- Advanced economies have gone backwards by a decade as a result of the crisis
The Economist Feb 25, 2012
Analysis
Commission's first Alert Mechanism Report: tackling macroeconomic imbalances in the EU
European Commission Feb 14, 2012
Analysis
France needs policies aimed at stimulating supply: Which political party will dare to implement them?
Natixis Bank Jan 31, 2012
Analysis
Markit France Services/Composite PMI – final data (January 2012)
Markit Economic Feb 03, 2012
Analysis
French Nuclear Power to Become More Expensive Than Wind Power
European Wind Energy Association Feb 03, 2012
Opinions
Germany now stands alone. But its power may weaken the euro zone
The Economist Jan 21, 2012
News
European Financial Stability Facility Long-Term Ratings Cut To 'AA+'; Short-Term Ratings Affirmed; Outlook Developing
Standard & Poor's Ratings Services Jan 16, 2012
RESEARCH AND STRATEGY FIXTURES
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Top 10 Most Read
Featured Economic Research and Market Strategy
Featured Analysis
European Central Bank: Action Likely in June
“Despite the resurgence of the sovereign debt crisis, we do not foresee another multiyear long-term refinancing operation (LTRO) in our base case.”
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