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Israel

Macro View

Markets

Geostrategic & Long Term Issues

Key Indicators

National Accounts
Gross Domestic Product
(Millions of 2004 Israeli Shekels, SA Chained Data)
174038.7,172635.1,173060.8,173941.5,176244.5 176,244.5
Consumer Price Index
General Index
(2008=100, SA)
104,104.4,105.1,105.3,105.2 105.2
Share Price Index
Israel - TA 100 Index
(Index, NSA)
1140.45,1132.37,1142.94,1144.63,1143.48 1,143.48
Balance of Payments
Current Account Balances - Current balance
(Mil. $, NSA)
809.3,2528.7,2195.4,229.1,3335.7 3,335.7
Labor Force Survey
Unemployment Rate
(%, Trend)
7.9,7.6,7.7,7.5,7.4 7.4
data by Moody's

RGE's Q1 2010 Israel Outlook

Israel should continue to outperform most advanced economies in 2010, following roughly flat growth in 2009 (around 0.5%). RGE’s brighter forecast for Israel compared to its last outlook extends directly from the moderate improvement in the U.S and global economies and the increase in global trade. Despite the resilience of Israeli domestic demand, as illustrated by better labor market conditions and corporate sentiment, external factors will be a major key determinant of growth. Meanwhile the steady monetary tightening should help keep inflation in check without markedly slowing the economy.

Strong economic fundamentals and significant monetary stimulus helped cushion the Israeli economy during the recession and the end of destocking helped boost...

Read the Q1 2010 Israel Outlook.

RGE Analysis

EconoMonitors

Global Macro EconoMonitor

The End of the Beginning

Ajay Shah Aug 25, 2009

Daily Digest

Analysis

Economic Peace in the West Bank and the Fayyad Plan: Are They Working?

Middle East Institute  Adam Robert Green Jan 19, 2010

Analysis

Turkey-Israel Relations: Where to Next?

German Marshall Fund of the U.S.   Soli Ozel Mar 3, 2010

Analysis

Turkey and Israel: What Lies Behind the Recent Volte Face

Middle East Institute  Gonul Tol Feb 24, 2010

News

CPI down 0.3% in February in line with expectations

Globes  Adrian Filut Mar 15, 2010

News

Israel: Economic round table split on budget

Globes  Adrian Filut Mar 14, 2010

Analysis

Israel: Economic growth in 2009 was higher than previous estimates

Bank Leumi  Eyal Raz and Hagit Finder Mar 10, 2010

News

Israel: Further fall estimated for CPI in February

Globes  Adrian Filut Mar 14, 2010

Analysis

Israeli Inflation Probably Slowed in February for Second Month

Bloomberg  Alisa Odenheimer Mar 15, 2010

Analysis

Israel Monthly Macroeconomic Review- March 2010

Harel Finance  Mar 3, 2010

News

Meeting With Biden, Palestinians Stick to Plan for Talks

New York Times  Ethan Bronner Mar 10, 2010

News

Israel: GDP growth revised upward

Globes  Adrian Filut Mar 10, 2010

Analysis

Israel: Ahead of setting the interest rate

Bank of Israel  Mar 8, 2010

News

Israel’s Finance Minister: We Depend on Global Recovery

Globes  Adrian Filut Mar 8, 2010

News

Israel Seeks to Offer Euro-Denominated Bonds After 4-Year Lull

Bloomberg  David Wainer and Sonja Cheung Mar 8, 2010

News

Israel: Consumer confidence hits 10-year high

Globes  Avi Temken Mar 4, 2010

Analysis

Israel presses China over Iran sanctions

Financial Times  Geoff Dyer Mar 1, 2010

Analysis

Emerging Economies: overview of country risk

BNP Paribas  Guy Longueville - François Faure Jun 16, 2009

Analysis

Leumi Review: Israel Macroperspectives

Bank Leumi  Feb 1, 2010

News

Israel: New bad debt rules give banks three risk levels

Globes  Eran Peer Feb 25, 2010

Analysis

Does Mossad really make Israel safer?

Economist  Feb 25, 2010

Analysis

Syria: America Returns

Economist Intelligence Unit Viewswire  Feb 19, 2010

News

Israel Leaves Key Rate Unchanged as Inflation Slows

Bloomberg  Alisa Odenheimer Feb 22, 2010

Analysis

Israel: Assassinations

Economist  Feb 18, 2010

Opinions

Israel: Inflation isn't beaten yet

Globes  Avi Temken Jan 1, 1900

News

Israel Growth Accelerates to 4.4% in Fourth Quarter

Bloomberg  Alisa Odenheimer Feb 16, 2010

News

MENA Attempts to Increase Power Generation and Water Infrastructure

Alternative Energy Africa  Feb 7, 2010

News

Iran and Israel in Africa

Economist  Feb 4, 2010

Analysis

CEEMEA: Sensitive to Oil...but How Much?

Morgan Stanley  Oliver Weeks, Pasquale Diana and Tevfik Aksoy Feb 3, 2010

News

US deployment raises tensions in the Gulf

Telegraph  Ali Khalil Feb 2, 2010

RGE Writings

Bremmer-Roubini 2010 Global Forecast

RGE Analysts' EconoMonitor  Nouriel Roubini and Ian Bremmer Jan 28, 2010

News

Iran Is a Litmus Test for German-Israeli Ties

Spiegel online  Jan 28, 2010

News

Fischer: Foreign exchange intervention is temporary

Globes  Oriel Herman Jan 28, 2010

News

Fischer Likely to Leave Israel’s Key Rate Unchanged

Bloomberg  Calev Ben-David Jan 25, 2010

News

Israel: Number of new jobseekers falls

Globes  ShayNiv Jan 25, 2010

News

Welcome message at the Annual General Assembly of the Manufacturers Association of Israel

European Central Bank  Jean-Claude Trichet Jan 21, 2010

Analysis

Assessing Israel's Macroeconomic Framework

Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development  Jan 20, 2010

News

For Israel, Bumps on Path to Economic Club

New York Times  Ethan Bronner Jan 19, 2010

Analysis

The Economic Crisis and the Mediterranean: Mixed Effects, Longer-Term Questions

German Marshall Fund of the U.S.   Franco Zallio Jan 7, 2010

News

U.S. Foreign Aid to Israel

Congressional Research Reports for the People  Dec 1, 2009

Blogs

Israeli central bank buys dollars again

FT Money Supply  Emma Saunders Jan 15, 2010

News

Israel’s December Inflation Rate Probably Rose to 13-Month High

Bloomberg  Alisa Odenheimer Jan 14, 2010

News

Israel and Iran: The gathering storm

Economist  Jan 7, 2010

News

Israel Posts Deficit of 5.15% of GDP, Beating Target

Bloomberg  Alisa Odenheimer Jan 13, 2010

Analysis

Israel trade deficit hits 19-year low

Globes  Jan 13, 2010

News

Israel and NATO – Between Membership and Partnership

Project Syndicate  Shlomo Ben-Ami Jan 6, 2010

Analysis

Israel Capital Market Review

Bank Leumi  Dec 31, 2009

News

Israel Selling Part of Discount Bank Stake After Stock Gains

Bloomberg  Alisa Odenheimer and Susan Lerner Jan 11, 2010

News

Bank of Israel Raises GDP Forecast for 2010 to 3.5%

Bloomberg  Alisa Odenheimer Jan 11, 2010

Analysis

Israel’s foreign currency market in December 2009

Bank of Israel  Jan 10, 2010

News

Israel's economic growth beats even optimistic forecast

Globes  Adrian Filut Jan 5, 2010

News

Israel Bonds Gain as Rising Rates Stifle Inflation Expectations

Bloomberg  David Wainer Jan 4, 2010

News

Israel opens second banned highway to Palestinians before Mitchell visit

Christian Science Monitor  Ben Hancock Dec 30, 2009

News

Israel and Egypt eye movement on peace process

The Christian Science Monitor  Ilene R. Prusher and Liam Stack Jan 1, 2010

News

White House slams e. Jerusalem plans

Jerusalem Post  Hilary Leila Krieger, Herb Keinon and Abe Selig Dec 28, 2009

News

Tel Aviv Stock Exchange Plans to Create New Indexes

Bloomberg  David Wainer and Ronit Goodman Dec 28, 2009

Analysis

Bank of Israel Raises Benchmark Rate for Third Time

Bloomberg  Alisa Odenheimer Dec 28, 2009

Analysis

Natural Gas and Israel's Energy Future

Rand Corporation  Keith Crane, Claude Berrebi, James Griffin, Thomas Light, Steven W. Popper and Endy Y. Min Jan 1, 1900

News

Israel: State of the Economy Index shows recovery continues

Globes  Adrian Filut Dec 22, 2009

News

Leumi: Israel's Inflation forecasts remain high

Globes  Yael Gruntman Dec 22, 2009

News

JP Morgan sees strong growth for Israel in 2011

Globes  Adi Ben-Israel Dec 2, 2010

News

Citi: Israel's Inflation to get worse

Globes  Jan 1, 1900

Analysis

Israel: More Bad CPI Bad News to Come

Citigroup Emerging Markets Daily  Dec 17, 2009

News

IMF finds Israel gaining safe haven status

Globes  Adrian Filut Dec 14, 2009

News

Turkey and Israel: Ends and Beginnings

International Relations and Security Network  Kerem Oktem Dec 11, 2009

News

Barclays: Israel's economy ready to roar

Globes  Dec 10, 2009

Analysis

Israel and the Palestinians: Prospects for a Two-State Solution

Congressional Research Service  Oct 1, 2009

Blogs

Israel's cleantech advantage

Business Week  Nov 26, 2009

News

Israel: Q3 unemployment below 8%

Globes  Adrian Filut Nov 25, 2009

Analysis

Israel economy: Quick View - Interest rates rise again

Economist Intelligence Unit  Nov 25, 2009

Analysis

Obama still has leverage over Israel

Financial Times  David Gardner Nov 23, 2009

Analysis

Israel's foreign currency market in October 2009

The Bank of Israel  Nov 11, 2009

News

Israel’s Gamble in a Prisoner Swap

New York Times Room for Debate  Daoud Kuttab, David Makovsky and Daniel Gordis Jan 1, 1900

News

Israeli Bond Yields Set to Climb as Rates Rise, Excellence Says

Bloomberg  David Wainer and Tal Barak Harif Nov 24, 2009

News

Fischer Raises Israeli Benchmark Rate for Second Time

Bloomberg  Alisa Odenheimer Nov 23, 2009

News

Bank of Israel springs surprise interest rate hike

Globes  Adi Ben-Israel Nov 23, 2009

News

Israel: Unemployment fell in October

Globes  Hillel Koren Nov 23, 2009

Opinions

World Citizen: The Middle East's Latin America Battles

World Politics Review - News/Commentary  Frida Ghitis Nov 20, 2009