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Italy
Featured Content
RGE Analysis
Italy's Long-Term Bond Auction on December 29: Start-Gun For a Challenging Q1 2012
Dec 28, 2011
Macroeconomy
Italy: Economic Profile
Italy: Services PMI Shows Marginal Improvement in January
Eurozone : Italy : Europe : Macroeconomy : Growth Outlook and Business Cycle :
Italy: Fiscal Position
S&P Downgrades Italy by Two Notches to BBB+
Eurozone : Italy : Europe : Macroeconomy : Fiscal Policy : Growth Outlook and Business Cycle :
Markets
Finance & Banking
Geostrategy
Key Indicators
Harmonized CPI
All-items HICP - Italy
All-items HICP - Italy
2.09, 1.94, 2.12, 2.82, 2.89
2.89
Exports
Total, World, Trade Value, Mil of Euro, NSA - Italy
Total, World, Trade Value, Mil of Euro, NSA - Italy
15.23, 17.1, 22.76, 12.23, 31.6
31.6
Gross domestic product at market prices
Mil of euro (chained 2000 prices), Real, SA, WDA - Italy
Mil of euro (chained 2000 prices), Real, SA, WDA - Italy
0.53, 1.28, 1.1, 1.49, 1
1
Industrial production
Manufacturing, SA (2005=100) - Italy
Manufacturing, SA (2005=100) - Italy
8.31, 7.81, 8.69, 5.7, 10.33
10.33
10 Year Government Bond Yield
Percent - Italy
Percent - Italy
4.6, 4.6, 4.62, 4.65, 4.66
4.66
Retail Sales
Total, SA (2005=100) - Italy
Total, SA (2005=100) - Italy
-0.2, -0.79, 0.5, 0.7, 0.7
0.7
Harmonized unemployment rate
Both sexes, All Ages, SA - Italy
Both sexes, All Ages, SA - Italy
8.3, 8.3, 8.1, 8.3, 8.3
8.3
Wages and salaries
Industry, Index, 2000=100 - Italy
Industry, Index, 2000=100 - Italy
2.72, 2.82, 3.16, 5.88
5.88
data by Factset
Italy Outlook: Prolonged Recession Ahead
The Italian economy is now experiencing a double-dip recession. In light of the worsening domestic and global economic climate and the pending introduction of additional rounds of front-loaded fiscal austerity, we expect the recession to last for the duration of 2012 and 2013. While RGE views the introduction of a new technocratic government as a welcome development, political instability will remain prominent in the short to medium term in light of deep divisions between domestic political actors. The sensitivity of Italian debt dynamics to the deepening recession and elevated borrowing costs will see a large increase in government debt over the forecast horizon, which will likely force Italy to restructure its sovereign debt by late 2013.
Read the latest Italy Outlook
Economic Research
Europe Weekly
ECB Meeting Preview; Italian Economic Headwinds; UK Manufacturing; Romanian Politics; EZ Calendar
By Feb 3, 2012
Economic Research
What's on Nouriel's Mind: The Deteriorating Economic Outlook for the Eurozone
By Jan 17, 2012
Economic Research
Italy's Long-Term Bond Auction on December 29: Start-Gun For a Challenging Q1 2012
By Dec 28, 2011
Europe Weekly
EZ Pitfalls in 2012; Italian GDP; New Spanish Government; Swedish Monetary Policy; Hungarian, Polish Banks; EZ Calendar
By Dec 23, 2011
Europe Weekly
ECB Meeting; EZ Crisis Impact on UK; Russian Elections; Turkish Inflation; Italian Fiscal Austerity; EZ Calendar
By Dec 9, 2011
Economic Research
Conference Call Highlights: Can the EZ Be Brought Back From the Brink?
By Nov 17, 2011
Europe Weekly
Eurozone Contagion; Italian Politics; UK Asset Purchases; Danish, Polish Monetary Policy; EZ Calendar
By Nov 11, 2011
Economic Research
Four Options to Address the Eurozone's Stock and Flow Imbalances: The Rising Risk of a Disorderly Break-Up
By Nov 1, 2011
Europe Weekly
EZ Summit Questions; ECB’s Next Rate Move; German Obstacles; Swedish Rate Cuts; Resilient Polish Consumption; Italian Politics; EZ Calendar
By Oct 28, 2011
Economic Research
Waiting for the Wednesday Summit: Progress Report on EFSF Leverage Options, Bank Recaps and Greece
By Oct 24, 2011
Economic Research
Low Inflation in EZ Core Threatens Periphery’s Efforts to Regain Competitiveness
By Oct 21, 2011
Economic Research
Conference Call Replay: Eurozone in Crisis—More Than a Plan to Plan Needed
By Oct 21, 2011
Economic Research
Last Shot on Goal: Will Eurozone Leaders Succeed in Ending the Crisis?
By Oct 21, 2011
Economic Research
The Age of Crisis: Down and Out Depression in D.C.—RGE on the IMF/WB Annual Meetings
By Sep 26, 2011
Europe Weekly
Inflation Concerns Easing in EZ, Switzerland, UK, Hungary and Czech Republic
By Aug 12, 2011
Economic Research
Despite Serious Vulnerabilities, Italy Is Not Greece; the Show Will Probably Go On
By Jul 13, 2011
Global Economic Outlook
Italy Outlook Update: Political Instability Preventing Structural Reforms
By Jun 17, 2011
Economic Research
EZ Policy Makers Will Avoid Tough Decisions and Continue to Muddle Through for Now
By Jun 3, 2011
Economic Research
Much Ado About Relatively Little: Contagion Risks From an Orderly Greek Debt Restructuring Are Modest, Contained and Manageable
By May 24, 2011
Economic Research
DSK's Arrest: Implications for the IMF Succession and PIIGS' Bailouts
By May 16, 2011
Europe Weekly
Eurozone Core Comes Up Trumps in Q1; UK, EZ Periphery Moving at Half Speed
By May 13, 2011
Economic Research
Q2 2011 Geostrategy Note: The Scent of Jasmine, Japan's Mega-Crisis and Other Global Drama
By Mar 24, 2011
Economic Research
2011 Geostrategy Note: The Roiling Pacific, Quagmiristan and EZ Targets
By Dec 29, 2010
Economic Research
Comparing Spain With Ireland and Other PIIGS: Better in Some Ways, More at Risk in Others
By Nov 25, 2010
Economic Research
An Orderly Market-Based Approach to the Restructuring of Eurozone Sovereign Debts Obviates the Need for Statutory Approaches
By Nov 15, 2010
Economic Research
Europe Weekly Spotlight: EZ Corporate Credit Conditions; Inflation Risks in Russia
By Jul 30, 2010
Economic Research
Global Recession Watch: A Dozen Significant Economies are at Risk of a Hard Landing
By Jun 25, 2008
EconoMonitors
Dan Alpert's Two Cents
Pete Tchir is Troubled by a Hole in the ECB's Phantom Bailout Bucket (Long Term Refinancing Operations)
Dec 23, 2011
Dan Alpert's Two Cents
On Sticky Wages and What Happens when Inflation is No Longer an Alternative
Dec 13, 2011
Dan Alpert's Two Cents
On Printing Euros and the Real German Fear (hint, it's not 1923)
Nov 17, 2011
Nouriel Roubini's Global EconoMonitor
Nouriel Roubini's 2006 Speech at Davos-WEF Warning That Italy and PIGS May Experience Debt Crisis and EZ Break-Up in 5 years; and Tremonti's Reaction to the Speech
Nov 8, 2011
Europe Channel
Chaney Says 'Recession Has Already Started in Europe,' Talks to Euro-TARP
Oct 14, 2011
Europe Channel
Chart of the Day: Greatest Credit Deterioration Focus - Belgium, Spanish Banking
Oct 14, 2011
Geostrategy Channel
Cross-Border Deleveraging and the Shifts in Europe's Bargaining Game
Nov 29, 2010
Nouriel Roubini's Global EconoMonitor
Roubini Hosts CNBC Squawk Box - Europe: Contagion 2.0
Nov 19, 2010
Geostrategy Channel
Spain Is the Perfect Example of a Country that Never Should Have Joined the Eurozone
May 17, 2010
Geostrategy Channel
The Escalating Greek Debt Crisis: What Has Been Happening and Where Is It Going?
May 6, 2010
Nouriel Roubini's Global EconoMonitor
Roubini Concerns About the Future of the EMU - World Economic Forum, Davos, 2006
May 5, 2010
Nouriel Roubini's Global EconoMonitor
Roubini Bloomberg Interview on Sovereign Debt and U.S. Outlook
Feb 6, 2010
Geostrategy Channel
The Minister's Ceiling to "Foreign Born" Students in Italian Schools
Jan 14, 2010
Geostrategy Channel
Berlusconi: Private Leisure and Public Costs of the “Sultan of Swing”
Aug 25, 2009
Daily Digest
News
Italy’s Jobless Rate Climbed to Eight-Year Highest in December Amid Cuts
Bloomberg Jan 31, 2012
Analysis
Spain vs. Italy: Will Spain pull out from the crisis more rapidly than Italy?
Natixis Bank Jan 17, 2012
News
Italian Business Confidence Falls to Two-Year Low Amid Austerity Measures
Bloomberg Dec 29, 2011
Analysis
Unicredit: 2012 Outlook-Gradually moving towards a better place
Unicredit Bank Dec 15, 2011
Analysis
OECD composite leading indicators continue pointing to slowdown in economic activity
OECD Dec 12, 2011
Analysis
Southern Europe and Ireland: The long road to sustainable public finance
Rabobank Dec 13, 2011
Analysis
The EBA publishes Recommendation and final results of bank recapitalisation plan as part of co-ordinated measures to restore confidence in the banking sector
European Banking Authority Dec 08, 2011
Analysis
Opportunities for Solar from Small Scale to Utility Scale
Renewable Energy World Nov 18, 2011
Analysis
Solar PV Could Become Competitive as Early as 2013 in Some Markets
European Photovoltaic Energy Association (EPIA) Nov 15, 2011
News
Crude Oil Trades Near Highest Since July on Economy; WTI Holds Below $100
Bloomberg Nov 14, 2011
Analysis
Italy: Two Super Marios could take Italy to the next level
Danske Bank Research Nov 14, 2011
Analysis
Europe in the wake of the worsening crisis-Results of the GfK consumer climate of Europe for the third quarter of 2011
GfK Oct 18, 2011
News
Yields Less Than Italy as Tusk Budget Cuts Elude Berlusconi: Poland Credit
Bloomberg Oct 14, 2011
RESEARCH AND STRATEGY FIXTURES
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