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Malaysia

Macro View

Markets

Finance & Banking

Geostrategic & Long Term Issues

Key Indicators

Gross Domestic Product
GDP at Purchasers' Prices
(Constant 2000 RM Mil., NSA)
135855,131236,121162,126901,134159 134,159
Consumer Price Index
All Groups
(2005=100, NSA)
112.1,112.4,112.5,112.8,113 113
Foreign Trade
Exports
(Millions of Malaysian Ringgits, NSA)
47830,47238.8,54280.6,50065.8,54670 54,670
Balance of Payments
Financial Account - Direct Investment in Malaysia
(Millions of Malaysian Ringgits, NSA)
344,4133,2761,863,3565 3,565
Foreign Trade
Gross Exports of Manufactured Goods - Total Electronics and Electricals
(Millions of Malaysian Ringgits, NSA)
22333.7,22035.6,21574.6,25156.8,23302.3 23,302.3
Gross Domestic Product
Gross Fixed Capital Formation
(Constant 2000 RM Mil., NSA)
31568,26042,25771,28278,29069 29,069
data by Moody's

Current Economic Outlook

Malaysia exited recession in Q2 2009 as fiscal stimulus helped private consumption move into positive territory. For the year, RGE expects the Malaysian economy to contract 3.3%, given sharp declines in exports and investment. Consumer and government spending will support growth in H2 2009. If this is complemented by the revival in inventory restocking, industrial activity and exports, economic growth will improve significantly toward the end of 2009. Given RGE’s baseline scenario of a U‐shaped U.S. recovery, Malaysia could be expected to witness a deep U‐shaped recovery, depending on the recovery of exports. RGE forecasts Malaysia to grow 3.1% in 2010. If the U.S. economy falls into a “double‐dip” recession in 2010, Malaysia’s exports and industrial production will take another hit, prolonging the economic slump. RGE attaches a very low probability to the risk of a W‐shaped recession in Malaysia. If the U.S. economy deleverages in the coming years, Malaysia can be expected to get back to 5%‐6% GDP growth rates of recent years only by 2012‐13. Growth prospects will be shaped by government efforts...

Read the latest RGE Global Economic Update.

RGE Analysis

EconoMonitors

Asia EconoMonitor

SEAsia: Turning a Corner or Turning Away?

Rumi Malott Morales Sep 24, 2009

Daily Digest

News

Malaysia: December factory output seen to be higher

The Star Online  Feb 9, 2010

Opinions

Malaysia politics: Less tolerant

EIU  Feb 9, 2010

News

Malaysia: Labour shortage affecting oil palm plantations

The Star Online  Hanim Adna Feb 9, 2010

News

The Malaysia Economy in Brief January 2010

Department of Statistics Malaysia  Feb 9, 2010

News

Single Asean market a step closer

Financial Times  Kevin Brown Feb 9, 2010

Opinions

Banyan: Asia's never-closer union

The Economist  Feb 4, 2010

News

Malaysia: Time for protection over, get used to it, says Najib

The Malaysian Insider  Wei Lian Lee Feb 8, 2010

News

2010 could be challenging year for M'sian stock market

The Star Online  Feb 8, 2010

News

Malaysia may be keen to take part in regional trade pact

Business Times  Rupa Damodaran Feb 9, 2010

Analysis

ASEAN: Outlining the Themes and Realigning our Views

Morgan Stanley  Chetan Ahya, Deyi Tan and Shweta Singh Feb 5, 2010

Opinions

Malaysia's ETF: Is More Growth on the Horizon?

Seeking Alpha  Tom Lydon Feb 5, 2010

News

Malaysia: Bursa Says Stock Market Listings to Double This Year

Bloomberg  Chan Tien Hin and Haslinda Amin Feb 5, 2010

News

Malaysia’s Exports Increase as Government Predicts 2010 Rebound

Bloomberg  Shamim Adam and Ranjeetha Pakiam Feb 5, 2010

News

Malaysia FDI set for moderate rebound this year

Business Times  Feb 5, 2010

News

Malaysia: Domestic investment to grow 40pc this year

Business Times  Feb 5, 2010

News

Preliminary Release of Malaysia External Trade Statistics December 2009

Department of Statistics Malaysia  Feb 5, 2010

News

Malaysia: International Reserves of BNM (01/29/10)

Bank Negara Malaysia  Feb 5, 2010

News

Malaysia sees fall in factory investments

Business Times  Feb 5, 2010

Opinions

A low note for Malaysia as Anwar trial starts

East Asia Forum  Ernest Z. Bower Feb 4, 2010

News

Malaysia 2009 Investment Approvals Fall in Recession

Bloomberg  Shamim Adam and Soraya Permatasari Feb 4, 2010

News

Asia to Drive 24% Growth in 2010 Global Sukuk Sales, CIMB Says

Bloomberg  Soraya Permatasari Feb 4, 2010

News

Malaysia: Palm oil industry to see continuous attacks

The Borneo Post  Feb 3, 2010

Opinions

Is M'sia a dumping ground for third rate China firms?

The Star Online  Risen Jayaseelan Feb 3, 2010

News

Malaysia, other Asian countries facing fiscal challenges

The Malaysian Insider  Feb 3, 2010

Opinions

A holistic approach to reforming Malaysia’s economy

East Asia Forum  Mohamed Ariff Feb 3, 2010

Opinions

Malaysia politics: Anwar on trial

EIU  Feb 3, 2010

Analysis

Banks in Asia (Excluding Japan): Outlook for 2010

Fitch Ratings (free registration required)  David Marshall et al Feb 2, 2010

News

Malaysia: Palm oil millers need more incentives to become green IPPs

The Star Online  Hanim Adna Feb 2, 2010

News

Gradual economic recovery seen for Malaysia

The Star Online  Kian Seong Lee Feb 2, 2010

News

Anwar threatens to subpoena Malaysia PM

Financial Times (registration required)  Kevin Brown Feb 2, 2010

News

Malaysia: BNM may hike OPR in March

The Edge  Joseph Chin Feb 2, 2010

News

A good time to be into rubber

Financial Times  Kevin Brown Feb 1, 2010

News

Malaysia: ‘2010 a promising year for sukuk market’

Arab News  Mushtak Parker Jan 25, 2010

Opinions

Is there a lesson for Malaysia from what happened in US last month?

The Star  Choong Khuat Hock Feb 1, 2010

News

Asia Monthly Chart Book, January 2010

BBVA  Serena Wang and Ramon de la Rocha Feb 1, 2010

News

Islamic finance to advance in 2010, says S&P

The Edge  Joseph Chin Feb 1, 2010

News

Malaysia Needs to Normalize Rates, Central Bank Says

Bloomberg  Manirajan Ramasamy and Ranjeetha Pakiam Jan 29, 2010

RGE Writings

Bremmer-Roubini 2010 Global Forecast

RGE Analysts' EconoMonitor  Nouriel Roubini and Ian Bremmer Jan 28, 2010

Analysis

Global economic outlook - 1st quarter 2010: After the recovery, New issues emerge

Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu  Ira Kalish et al Jan 26, 2010

Opinions

Malaysia: Policy of Growth

Oxford Business Group  Jan 28, 2010

News

Malaysian market "fundamentals bullish"

The Edge  Teoh Eng Sim Jan 28, 2010

News

M’sian investment scene shows stability: Survey

The Borneo Post  Jan 28, 2010

Analysis

Malaysia: Monetary and Financial Developments in December 2009

Bank Negara Malaysia  Jan 28, 2010

News

Economists see Malaysia raising key rate in H1

Business Times  Rupa Damodaran Jan 28, 2010

Opinions

Finding Unity in Malaysia's Diversity

Wall Street Journal (registration required)  Najib Razak Jan 26, 2010

News

Malaysia 2010 GDP may grow 3.7pc: MIER

Business Times  Jan 26, 2010

News

Malaysia MIER: Budget deficit to fall to 5.6pc

Business Times  Jan 26, 2010

News

Global sukuk sales seen down in 2010, Dubai crisis weighs

The Malaysian Insider  Jan 26, 2010

News

Palm oil exports from Malaysia to exceed RM100bil by 2020

The Star Online  Jan 26, 2010

News

Malaysia: Monetary Policy Statement, January 26, 2010

Bank Negara Malaysia  Jan 26, 2010

News

Malaysia Says Rates Can’t Stay Too Low, Signaling Earlier Move

Bloomberg  Shamim Adam Jan 26, 2010

News

Malaysia: Islamic banking gets foreign investments

The Borneo Post  Jan 25, 2010

Research

Shock Transmission Mechanism of the Economic Crisis in East Asia: An Application of International Input-Output Analysis

Institute for Developing Economies - Japan External Trade Organization  Kuroiwa Ikuo and Kuwarmori Hiroshi Jan 25, 2010

News

Expert: Malaysia's property market on the uptrend

Business Times  Jan 25, 2010

News

Malaysia’s economy to stay buoyant

The Borneo Post  Adrian Lim Jan 22, 2010

News

Malaysian consumers continue to save for a rainy day

The Star Online  Jan 22, 2010

News

Malaysia: International Reserves of BNM as at 15 January 2010

Bank Negara Malaysia  Jan 22, 2010

Analysis

Malaysia economy: Quick View - An end to deflation

Economist Intelligence Unit  Jan 21, 2010

News

Cross-border trade likely to rise 25% by 2013

The Nation  Petchanet Pratruangkrai Jan 21, 2010

News

M'sia needs to revive private investments

The Star Online  Jan 21, 2010

News

Deutsche sees 5.5pc growth for Malaysia

Business Times  Rupa Damodaran Jan 21, 2010

News

Malaysia inflation in 2010 seen at 1-2pc

The Malaysian Insider  Jan 21, 2010

News

Malaysia: Towards high-income economy

The Borneo Post  Ghaz Ghazali Jan 20, 2010

News

Malaysia may approve GST in March

Business Times  Jan 20, 2010

News

'Malaysia likely to raise key rates in H2'

Business Times  Jan 20, 2010

News

Malaysia’s 2010 Growth May Exceed 3.5%, Najib Says

Bloomberg  Bibhudatta Pradhan Jan 20, 2010

News

Malaysia’s Consumer Prices Rise as Economy Recovers

Bloomberg  Shamim Adam and Michael Munoz Jan 20, 2010

News

Consumer Price Index Malaysia December 2009

Department of Statistics Malaysia  Jan 20, 2010

Analysis

The Global Financial Crisis and the Asia-Pacific region: A Synthesis Study Incorporating Evidence from Country Case Studies

UNDP Regional Centre for Asia and the Pacific  Jayati Ghosh, Ajay Chhibber and Thangavel Palanivel Nov 1, 2009

News

Thailand, Indonesia ‘Comfortable’ on Rubber Price

Bloomberg  Supunnabul Suwannakij and Manirajan Ramasamy Jan 19, 2010

Opinions

More trade 'noodles'

Japan Times  Jan 18, 2010

Analysis

Mizuho Dealer’s Eye - January 2010

Mizuho Corporate Bank  Jan 1, 2010

Opinions

God as politics in Malaysia

Asia Times  Fabio Scarpello Jan 16, 2010

News

Malaysia: Khazanah’s portfolio net worth jumps 63pc

The Malaysian Insider  Jan 14, 2010

News

Malaysia External Trade Statistics November 2009 (Updated : 14/01/2010)

Department of Statistics Malaysia  Jan 14, 2010

News

Malaysia: Third stimulus package not needed, says Standard Chartered

The Star Online  Eugene Mahalingam Jan 13, 2010

News

Malaysia's economic growth this year expected to top 5pc

Business Times  Rupinder Singh Jan 14, 2010

Analysis

Asia review and outlook 2010

Aberdeen  Jan 12, 2010

News

Malaysia is world’s top sukuk listing destination

The Borneo Post  Jan 12, 2010