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Romania
Featured Content
Macroeconomy
Eastern Europe: External Accounts
Capital Inflows to Emerging Europe Brace for a Slowdown
Baltics : Commonwealth of Independent States : Czech Republic : Emerging Europe and CIS : Eurozone : Hungary : Poland : Romania : Russia : Russia, CIS and the Caucasus : Southeast Europe : Europe : Macroeconomy : Capital Flows, FDIs, Capital Controls : Current Account : Trade and External Balance :
Eastern Europe: Public Finances
Czech Fiscal Policy: More Spending Cuts in the Pipeline
Poland: The Coalition Partners Reach Compromise on Pension Reform
Baltics : Czech Republic : Emerging Europe and CIS : Eurozone : Hungary : Poland : Romania : Southeast Europe : Europe : Macroeconomy : Fiscal Policy :
Central and Eastern European Demographics
Central and Eastern European Demographics: Impact Of Greying And Emigration
Baltics : Czech Republic : Emerging Europe and CIS : Eurozone : Hungary : Poland : Romania : Southeast Europe : Europe : Geostrategy : Macroeconomy : Demographics : Labor Markets and Productivity :
Romania: Economic Profile
Romanian Monetary Policy: April CPI Slumps to a Record-Low of 1.8% y/y
Romania Macro View: Economy Enters Technical Recession in Q1
Emerging Europe and CIS : Romania : Southeast Europe : Emerging Markets : Europe : Frontier Markets : Macroeconomy : Growth Outlook and Business Cycle :
IMF's Role in Central and Eastern Europe
Romania: New Government Wins IMF Backing for Wage Rises
Baltics : Czech Republic : Emerging Europe and CIS : Eurozone : Hungary : Poland : Romania : Serbia : Southeast Europe : Europe : Macroeconomy : Current Financial Crisis : IMF and International Economic Institutions : Systemic Risk, Vulnerabilities and Asset Bubbles :
Euro Adoption Path for EU Newcomers
EU Newcomers' Euro Adoption: Delays Expected Due to Eurozone Debt Crisis
On the Back of Euro Adoption, Estonia Re-elects Coalition Government
Baltics : Czech Republic : Emerging Europe and CIS : Eurozone : Hungary : Poland : Romania : Southeast Europe : Europe : Frontier Markets : Macroeconomy :
EU Newcomers: Monetary Policy
Hungary Monetary Policy: Headline Inflation Accelerates to 5.7% y/y in April
Romanian Monetary Policy: April CPI Slumps to a Record-Low of 1.8% y/y
Emerging Europe and CIS : Hungary : Poland : Romania : Southeast Europe : Emerging Markets : Europe : Macroeconomy : Monetary Policy and Inflation :
Geostrategy
NATO's Future Role
NATO in Afghanistan: Obama Unwinds Troop Increase
U.S.-Afghan Relations: Tensions Mount
Baltics : Belgium : Emerging Europe and CIS : Eurozone : Nordics : Norway : Romania : Southeast Europe : Turkey : Europe : Geostrategy : Foreign Policy and Geostrategic Risks : International Organizations :
Central and Eastern European Demographics
Central and Eastern European Demographics: Impact Of Greying And Emigration
Baltics : Czech Republic : Emerging Europe and CIS : Eurozone : Hungary : Poland : Romania : Southeast Europe : Europe : Geostrategy : Macroeconomy : Demographics : Labor Markets and Productivity :
Political Risk in Eastern Europe
Czech Politics: Government Survives Confidence Vote
Romania: New Government Wins IMF Backing for Wage Rises
Baltics : Commonwealth of Independent States : Czech Republic : Emerging Europe and CIS : Eurozone : Hungary : Poland : Romania : Russia, CIS and the Caucasus : Southeast Europe : Emerging Markets : Europe : Frontier Markets : Geostrategy : Foreign and Domestic Political Risk :
Key Indicators
Consumer Price Index
Index Number - Romania
Index Number - Romania
4.38, 7.14, 7.58, 7.77, 7.73
7.73
Unemployment Rate
Romania
Romania
8.1, 7.7, 7.4, 7.4, 7.4
7.4
Gdp At 2000 Prices
Millions Of Romanian Leu - Romania
Millions Of Romanian Leu - Romania
34724.7, 36916.6, 22459.1, 27224.6, 33866.8
33,866.8
data by Factset
Romania Outlook: It Will Get Worse Before It Gets Better
Brighter economic prospects in the core eurozone (EZ) economies, a lessening of banking risks and more accommodative monetary policy mean that the growth deceleration will be softer than we forecast in December. Despite ongoing fiscal consolidation efforts, the government’s plan to tap €6 billion in EU funds (4.4% of GDP) this year will boost planned infrastructure investment and offset a sluggish private investment outlook. Benign inflation outlook in the near term, along with stable currency and flagging economic activity, will convince the Romanian central bank (NBR) to maintain its dovish stance and cut its policy rate by another 25 basis points to 5.25%.
Economic Research
Europe Weekly
ECB Meeting Preview; Italian Economic Headwinds; UK Manufacturing; Romanian Politics; EZ Calendar
By Feb 3, 2012
Europe Weekly
German Slump; French, Finnish Elections; Eastern Europe Monetary Policy; EZ Calendar
By Jan 13, 2012
Europe Weekly
EZ Crisis Response; Eastern Europe Banks; ECB Monetary Policy; Hungary and the IMF; Belgian Politics; EZ Calendar
By Nov 25, 2011
Europe Weekly
EZ PMIs; Greek Politics; UK Growth; Romanian Monetary Policy; Russian IP; Turkish Inflation; EZ Calendar
By Nov 4, 2011
Global Economic Outlook
Emerging Europe and CIS Outlook Update: Weaker Growth Across the Region
By Sep 16, 2011
Economic Research
Strengths and Vulnerabilities in Emerging Europe: A Balance Sheet Approach
By Aug 19, 2011
Europe Weekly
Turkish Credit Growth; UK Consumption; Russian Payroll Tax; Greek Crisis Impact on Romania; Finnish Growth Policy
By Jun 24, 2011
Economic Research
Eastern Europe: Are Higher Commodity Prices a Monetary Policy Game-Changer?
By Mar 21, 2011
Europe Weekly
Eastern Europe Monetary Policy; Icelandic Policy Rate; Irish Fiscal Challenges
By Mar 18, 2011
Economic Research
Romania’s Autumn of Discontent: No Stomach for IMF-Driven Austerity Measures?
By Oct 4, 2010
Economic Research
Europe Weekly Spotlight: Eurozone Q2 Growth; Is Germany Rebalancing?; Polls Near in Latvia and Sweden
By Aug 13, 2010
Economic Research
Europe Weekly Spotlight: Greek Loan Review; Depressed French Consumers; UK Financial Reform
By Aug 6, 2010
Economic Research
Q3 2010 Geostrategy Note: Nascent Nukes, Portly PIIGS and the Taliban
By Aug 4, 2010
Economic Research
Europe Weekly Spotlight: Merkel’s Worries Increase; Romania Ceases Monetary Easing
By Jul 2, 2010
Economic Research
Global Recession Watch: A Dozen Significant Economies are at Risk of a Hard Landing
By Jun 25, 2008
Daily Digest
Analysis
CEE Fixed Income Daily: Recent increase in interest rates on the Romanian money market (+100bp w/w)
Erste Group Research May 21, 2012
Analysis
Regional Economic Prospects in EBRD Countries of Operations: May 2012– Transition Economies in the Shadow of the Eurozone Crisis: Managing the Fallout
EBRD May 18, 2012
Analysis
CEE Insights: How will the GDP trajectory look like in the reminder of this year?
Erste Bank (free registration required) May 18, 2012
Analysis
Romania: Economic growth cooled off in 1Q12; Tensions in Eurozone sweeping over Romania
Erste Group Research May 17, 2012
News
Romania: Gross Domestic Product in the first quarter of 2012 –“flash” estimates
Romanian National Institute of Statistics May 15, 2012
Analysis
Romania Short Note: Short Note GDP slipped into negative territory for the second consecutive quarter
Erste Bank (free registration required) May 15, 2012
News
Romanian Prime Minister Victor Ponta: Seeking Growth With Stability in Romania
The Wall Street Journal (subscription required) May 14, 2012
Analysis
Central European Daily: Contagion from EMU brings regional sell-off; Czech leading indicator at crossroads
KBC Bank May 14, 2012
Analysis
CEE Fixed Income Daily: Hungary - Budget Deficit Forecast; Romania - Industrial Production
Erste Group Research May 14, 2012
Analysis
CEE Weekly - Poland: Risks to the optimistic GDP outlook increase; Hungary: New permanent tax measures; Czech Republic: Economy returns to slow growth in Q1; Romania: New government approved, budget deficit target revised
Raiffeisen Research May 11, 2012
Analysis
New Europe Economics & Strategy: Financial markets in the region trim part of their recent gains
EFG Eurobank May 11, 2012
Blogs
EU Sees Slowing Economy, Narrowing Budget Gaps Among New Members
WSJ Emerging Europe May 11, 2012
Analysis
CEE Insights: How realistic is the fiscal target outlined in the convergence/stability program?
Erste Group Research May 11, 2012
Analysis
Romania Short Note: Disinflation beats all expectations in April
Erste Group Research May 11, 2012
Analysis
CEE Fixed Income Daily: Romania - Bond auction went well, Czech Republic - First industrial production y/y contraction since Nov. 2009
Erste Group Research May 11, 2012
Analysis
CEE Fixed Income Daily: Hungary - Budget and Interest Rates; Poland - Interest Rates
Erste Group Research May 10, 2012
News
Press Release: Statement by the WB, EC, and the IMF on the Review of Romania’s Economic Program
International Monetary Fund May 09, 2012
News
Romania: Estimated data – The international trade of goods in March and Quarter I 2012
Romanian National Institute of Statistics May 09, 2012
Analysis
CEE Fixed Income Daily: Romania's inflation report; Hungary's industrial production suprises to the downside; Liquidity in CEE fixed income markets slows to trickle
Erste Bank (free registration required) May 09, 2012
Analysis
CEE Macro/Fixed Income Daily: Hungary’s IMF Loan Talks; Romania’s New Government
Erste Bank (registration required) May 08, 2012
Analysis
CEE Financial Market Report: Economic Expectations for the CEE Region Reversed
ZEW (Centre for European Economic Research) and Erste Bank May 04, 2012
Analysis
CEE Weekly: Poland: Rate hike next week unlikely; Hungary: Bumpy ride ahead in EC/IMF talks; Czech Republic: 1% VAT hike in 2013 almost certain; Romania: Parliament votes Monday on the Ponta cabinet
Raiffeisen Research May 04, 2012
Analysis
CEE Insights: Which part of the yield curve currently looks relatively undervalued?
Erste Group Research May 04, 2012
Analysis
CEE Fixed Income Daily: Czech rates unchanged, successful bond auctions in Hungary
Erste Group Research May 04, 2012
Analysis
CEE Fixed Income Daily: Romania- March retail sales confirm slight recovery; CEE Fixed income
Erste Bank (free registration required) May 03, 2012
News
Romania: Industrial production price index- March 2012
Romania National Institute of Statistics May 03, 2012
Analysis
CEE Fixed Income Daily: Romanian monetary policy; CEE bonds have another solid session; Croatia- T-bills; Slovakia- New budget program approved
Erste Bank (free registration required) May 03, 2012
News
Romania: Press Release of the Board- May 2, 2012 Monetary Policy Meeting
National Bank of Romania May 02, 2012
Analysis
Romania Short Note: Key rate unchanged at 5.25%
Erste Bank (free registration required) May 02, 2012
News
Romania’s PM designate Victor Ponta to meet with IMF a day ahead of naming his Cabinet
The Washington Post Apr 30, 2012
Analysis
CEE Fixed Income Daily: CEE Politics and FX; Romanian government loses no-confidence vote
Erste Bank (free registration required) Apr 30, 2012
Analysis
CEE Weekly: Poland: Wait-and-see policy of MPC; Hungary: 2012 Convergence Program; Czech Republic: Government likely to survive; Romania: NBR likely to cut the key rate again; Turkey: More frequent tightening
Raiffeisen Research Apr 27, 2012
Blogs
Romania: government falls amid public anger at austerity
Financial Times, Beyond Brics Apr 27, 2012
Analysis
CEE Insights: Czech Republic- Government should survive; Hungary gets green light from EU; Poland's deficit lower than expected; Romania's easing conditional upon stable political environment; Turkish Inflation; Ukraine funding
Erste Bank (free registration required) Apr 27, 2012
Analysis
Romania Short Note: Update on the fall of the Romanian government
Erste Bank (free registration required) Apr 27, 2012
Analysis
Romania Short Note: Romanian government toppled in the Parliament
Erste Bank (free registration required) Apr 27, 2012
News
Van Rompuy: I count on Romania's Parliament to ratify Fiscal Governance Treaty
Agerpres Apr 26, 2012
News
Premier Wen Says China is ready to lend $10 billion for infrastructure projects in central and eastern Europe
Bloomberg Apr 26, 2012
Analysis
Central European Daily: EC gives blessing on Hungary’s talks on EUR 20 bln stand-by loan
KBC Bank Apr 26, 2012
Analysis
CEE Banks: Earnings preview 1Q 2012
Erste Group Research (free subscription required) Apr 26, 2012
News
Eurostat: Romania's budget deficit drops from 9pct of GDP in 2009 to 5.2pct of GDP in 2011
Romania News Agency Apr 24, 2012
News
Romania: the government lowers the growth targets for GDP and anticipates the increase of the commercial deficit
Romanian Business News - ACTMedia Apr 23, 2012
News
Decision due by mid-2013 if Romania's central bank solely responsible for financial stability
Romanian Business News - ACTMedia Apr 23, 2012
RESEARCH AND STRATEGY FIXTURES
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