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Slovenia
Geostrategic & Long Term Issues
NATO's Future Role
NATO in Afghanistan: Obama Unwinds Troop Increase
U.S.-Afghan Relations: Tensions Mount
Baltics : Belgium : Emerging Europe and CIS : Eurozone : Nordics : Norway : Romania : Southeast Europe : Turkey : Europe : Geostrategy : Foreign Policy and Geostrategic Risks : International Organizations :
Central and Eastern European Demographics
Central and Eastern European Demographics: Impact Of Greying And Emigration
Baltics : Czech Republic : Emerging Europe and CIS : Eurozone : Hungary : Poland : Romania : Southeast Europe : Europe : Geostrategy : Macroeconomy : Demographics : Labor Markets and Productivity :
Russia and the EU
U.S.-Russia Ties: A New START
U.S. Scales Down Missile Shield in Eastern Europe
Baltics : Commonwealth of Independent States : Emerging Europe and CIS : Eurozone : Nordics : Russia : Russia, CIS and the Caucasus : Europe : Geostrategy : Energy Security and Policy : Foreign Policy and Geostrategic Risks :
RGE's Q2 2010 Eurozone Outlook
RGE's improved outlook is mostly concentrated in the manufacturing sector, where industrial production data for January and February registered a welcome bounce-back in line with the soaring PMIs. The March PMI reading finally crossed the 50 threshold although the hard data continue to disappoint. New orders for January are mixed, with only Germany clearly profiting from the improved external environment among the large economies. The effective euro depreciation of about 6% since H2 2009 will allow the eurozone, driven by Germany, to participate more comprehensively in strong world growth momentum through improved exports.
Manufacturing activity, however, accounts for only about 18% in the eurozone and the outlook for services, which are mostly driven by domestic demand, is much more subdued. Indeed, retail sales continue to decline and new car registrations have been slowing down sharply in view of the gradual phasing out of car scrappage schemes across different eurozone countries
Read the Q2 2010 Eurozone Outlook
Economic Research
Economic Research
An Orderly Market-Based Approach to the Restructuring of Eurozone Sovereign Debts Obviates the Need for Statutory Approaches
By Nov 15, 2010
EconoMonitors
Daily Digest
Analysis
Euro area and EU27 GDP: Flash estimates for the first quarter of 2010
Eurostat May 12, 2010
Analysis
Report on the lessons learned from the financial crisis with regard to the functioning of European financial market infrastructures
ECB Apr 19, 2010
Analysis
The Impacts of Enlargement on the Central and Eastern European Countries
Korea Institute for International Economic Policy (KIEP) December 2009
Analysis
The Impacts of Enlargement on the Central and Eastern European Countries
Korea Institute for International Economic Policy (KIEP) December 2009
Analysis
Wrongly labelled: The economic downturn has made it harder to speak sensibly of a region called “eastern Europe”
Economist Jan 07, 2010
Research
EU accession: A road to fast-track convergence? The period of EU accession made a significant difference to the growth performance of the New Member States
European Commission Dec 21, 2009
Analysis
Autumn forecast 2009-2011: EU economy on the road to a gradual recovery
European Commission Nov 03, 2009
Analysis
EU10 Regular Economic Report October 2009: From Stabilization to Recovery
World Bank October 2009
News
Slovenia's Credit Rating Is at Risk If Economy Deteriorates, Fitch Warns
Bloomberg Oct 02, 2009
RESEARCH AND STRATEGY FIXTURES
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What's on Nouriel's Mind: Don’t Be Fooled by the U.S. Data
“We are still in a world with significant tail risk, which makes investors, corporate firms and consumers cautious when deciding how much to invest in risky assets, how much capex and job hiring to do and how much to consume.”
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