Key Indicators
Gross Domestic Product
chained volume measures Seasonally adjusted
(SA)
317416,315523,315845,316837,328766
328,766
CPI INDEX 00
ALL ITEMS- estimated pre-97 2005=100
(NSA)
112.9,113.5,114.2,114.4,114.6
114.6
LFS
Unemployment rate UK All Aged 16 and over %
(SA)
7.8,8,8,7.9,7.8
7.8
Loans for House Purchase
Total Value of Loans
(Millions of British Pounds, NSA)
4700,5000,6300,5700,6000
6,000
Mix adjusted house price index - UK
(2002=100, NSA)
174.35,171.4,172.8,174.4,176
176
RSI
Volume seasonally adjustedAll RetailersAll Business Index
(SA)
112.1,112.6,112.5,112.7,113.1
113.1
data by Moody's
RGE's Q3 2010 United Kingdom Outlook
RGE maintains its forecast for the UK to post 1.1% y/y real GDP growth in 2010, which we first projected in our Q1 2010 Outlook. For 2011, RGE also projects modest growth at 1.1%. The main headwinds to growth are a weak outlook for consumer spending and export demand, slack in the labor market, high debt levels, constraints to household credit and a persistently high precautionary savings rate. Additional risks include elevated headline inflation, a steady increase in inflation expectations, policy uncertainties surrounding the new Conservative-Liberal coalition and the vulnerability of sterling. Fiscal consolidation tops the new government’s agenda; the government’s plan will enhance confidence in the UK’s public finances and will reduce the pressure on its triple-A rating.
Read the Q3 2010 United Kingdom Outlook.
CROSS ASSET MONTHLY
David Nowakowski Aug 31, 2010
CROSS ASSET MONTHLY
Shelley Goldberg Aug 31, 2010
CROSS ASSET MONTHLY
Natalia Gurushina Aug 31, 2010
CROSS ASSET MONTHLY
Arun Motianey Aug 31, 2010
CROSS ASSET MONTHLY
Gina Sanchez Aug 31, 2010
CROSS ASSET MONTHLY
Arnab Das Aug 31, 2010
CROSS ASSET MONTHLY
Jennifer Kapila Aug 31, 2010
By RGE's Europe Analyst Team Aug 27, 2010
RGE STRATEGY VIEW
By David Nowakowski and Natalia Gurushina Aug 25, 2010
RGE STRATEGY VIEW
By David Nowakowski and Natalia Gurushina Aug 25, 2010
By RGE’s Europe Analyst Team Aug 20, 2010
RGE STRATEGY VIEW
By Shelley Goldberg Aug 19, 2010
By Elisa Parisi-Capone, Katharina Jungen, Mary Stokes, Parul Walia, David Rogovic and Eric Persson Aug 13, 2010
RGE STRATEGY VIEW
By Jennifer Kapila, Elisa Parisi-Capone, Arnab Das and David Nowakowski Aug 12, 2010
By Elisa Parisi-Capone, Katharina Jungen, Parul Walia, Rachel Ziemba, David Rogovic, Mary Stokes and Frances Donald Aug 6, 2010
By Michael Moran Aug 4, 2010
RGE STRATEGY VIEW
By Christian Menegatti, Rachel Ziemba, Arnab Das, Arun Motianey, Gina Sanchez, Natalia Gurushina and David Nowakowski Aug 2, 2010
RGE STRATEGY VIEW
By Arnab Das, Natalia Gurushina, Arun Motianey, David Nowakowski, Gina Sanchez and Jennifer Kapila Jul 27, 2010
By Katharina Jungen, Mary Stokes, David Rogovic, Jelena Vukotic, Parul Walia and Mikko Forss Jul 23, 2010
By Katharina Jungen, Jelena Vukotic, Mary Stokes, Elisa Parisi-Capone, Mikko Forss and Parul Walia Jul 16, 2010
GLOBAL ECONOMIC OUTLOOK
By Parul Walia Jul 12, 2010
By Elisa Parisi-Capone, Katharina Jungen, Parul Walia, Jelena Vukotic and David Rogovic Jul 2, 2010
By Elisa Parisi-Capone, Mary Stokes, Katharina Jungen, Mikko Forss, Parul Walia and David Rogovic Jun 25, 2010
By Mikka Pineda and Gary Clark Jun 24, 2010
By Mary Stokes, Elisa Parisi-Capone, Katharina Jungen, Mikko Forss, Parul Walia and Jelena Vukotic Jun 18, 2010
By Nouriel Roubini Jun 16, 2010
GLOBAL ECONOMIC OUTLOOK
By Parul Walia Apr 12, 2010
By Michael Moran Mar 11, 2010
GLOBAL ECONOMIC OUTLOOK
By Elisa Parisi-Capone Jan 30, 2010
By Rachel Ziemba, Elisa Parisi-Capone, Christian Menegatti, Arpitha Bykere, Bertrand Delgado and Mikka Pineda Jan 21, 2010
By Arpitha Bykere, Elisa Parisi-Capone, and Katharina Jungen Jan 13, 2010
Christopher Mooney Oct 7, 2009
Salman Ahmed and Chris Mooney Aug 21, 2009
Christopher Mooney Jul 24, 2009
Nouriel Roubini Mar 25, 2009
Nouriel Roubini Jan 23, 2009
Nouriel Roubini Sep 29, 2008
Nouriel Roubini Jul 3, 2008
Nouriel Roubini Jun 25, 2008
RGE Analysts' EconoMonitor
Parul Walia
Aug 27, 2010
Global Macro EconoMonitor
Rebecca Wilder
Aug 23, 2010
Global Macro EconoMonitor
Rebecca Wilder
Aug 20, 2010
Global Macro EconoMonitor
Paolo Manasse
Jul 28, 2010
Global Macro EconoMonitor
Edward Hugh
Jul 14, 2010
Global Macro EconoMonitor
Rebecca Wilder
Jul 6, 2010
Nouriel Roubini's EconoMonitor
Nouriel Roubini
May 24, 2010
Global Macro EconoMonitor
Peter Boone and Simon Johnson
May 24, 2010
RGE Analysts' EconoMonitor
Joshua Glazer
May 12, 2010
Europe EconoMonitor
Barry Ritholtz
May 6, 2010
Europe EconoMonitor
David Smith
Apr 8, 2010
US EconoMonitor
Yves Smith
Apr 5, 2010
Europe EconoMonitor
Edward Hugh
Mar 16, 2010
RGE Analysts' EconoMonitor
Michael Moran
Mar 11, 2010
Europe EconoMonitor
Edward Hugh
Feb 2, 2010
Global Macro EconoMonitor
Rebecca Wilder
Feb 2, 2010
Nouriel Roubini's EconoMonitor
Nouriel Roubini
Jan 18, 2010
Europe EconoMonitor
David Smith
Jan 13, 2010
RGE Analysts' EconoMonitor
Arpitha Bykere
Jan 13, 2010
Europe EconoMonitor
David Smith
Jan 5, 2010
Global Macro EconoMonitor
Edward Harrison
Jan 4, 2010
Europe EconoMonitor
David Smith
Dec 29, 2009
Global Macro EconoMonitor
Edward Harrison
Dec 9, 2009
Global Macro EconoMonitor
Mark Thoma
Dec 4, 2009
Europe EconoMonitor
David Smith
Dec 3, 2009
Nouriel Roubini's EconoMonitor
RGE Analyst Team
Nov 25, 2009
US EconoMonitor
Edward Harrison
Nov 24, 2009
Europe EconoMonitor
David Smith
Nov 18, 2009
Europe EconoMonitor
David Smith
Nov 11, 2009
Global Macro EconoMonitor
Simon Johnson
Nov 3, 2009
Europe EconoMonitor
Edward Harrison
Oct 23, 2009
Europe EconoMonitor
David Smith
Oct 21, 2009
Europe EconoMonitor
David Smith
Oct 15, 2009
Europe EconoMonitor
David Smith
Sep 30, 2009
RGE Analysts' EconoMonitor
Rachel Ziemba
Sep 16, 2009
Europe EconoMonitor
David Smith
Sep 16, 2009
US EconoMonitor
Edward Harrison
Sep 14, 2009
US EconoMonitor
Rebecca Wilder
Sep 14, 2009
RGE Analysts' EconoMonitor
Rachel Ziemba
Sep 11, 2009
Europe EconoMonitor
David Smith
Sep 8, 2009
RGE Analysts' EconoMonitor
Elisa Parisi-Capone and Chris Mooney
Sep 2, 2009
Europe EconoMonitor
David Smith
Aug 31, 2009
Global Macro EconoMonitor
Jeffrey Frankel
Aug 31, 2009
Europe EconoMonitor
David Smith
Aug 27, 2009
RGE Analysts' EconoMonitor
Salman Ahmed and Chris Mooney
Aug 21, 2009
Europe EconoMonitor
David Smith
Aug 18, 2009
Europe EconoMonitor
David Smith
Aug 12, 2009
News
Reuters
Sep 02, 2010
Analysis
IMF
Carlo Cottarelli and Andrea Schaechter
Sep 01, 2010
News
Bloomberg
Aug 31, 2010
Analysis
Financial Times
Norma Cohen and Sharlene Goff
Aug 30, 2010
Analysis
IHS Global Insight
Aug 27, 2010
News
Reuters
Aug 27, 2010
Analysis
Office for National Statistics
Aug 27, 2010
News
Bloomberg
Scott Hamilton
Aug 27, 2010
Analysis
Barclays Capital
Laurence Boone, Søren Willemann and Laurent Reansolet
July 2010
News
FT
Nick Clegg
Aug 26, 2010
Analysis
Commerzbank Research
Aug 18, 2010
Analysis
Lloyds TSB
Trevor Williams
Aug 23, 2010
Blogs
FT Alphaville
Aug 24, 2010
Analysis
VoxEU
Carol Propper and Marty Gaynor
Aug 23, 2010
Analysis
Roubini Global Economics
RGE’s Europe Analyst Team
Aug 20, 2010
Analysis
Office for National Statistics
Aug 19, 2010
Analysis
Office for National Statistics
Aug 17, 2010
Analysis
Bank of England
Aug 16, 2010
News
Bloomberg
Aug 16, 2010
News
BNP Paribas
Aug 11, 2010
Analysis
ONS
Aug 11, 2010
Opinions
Bank of New York Mellon
Aug 11, 2010
News
The Independent
Martin Hickman
Aug 10, 2010
Blogs
Real Time Brussels, Wall Street Journal
Stephen Fidler
Aug 10, 2010
Research
Oxford Institute for Energy Studies
Patrick Heather
August 2010
News
The Economist
Aug 09, 2010
Analysis
Office for National Statistics
Aug 06, 2010
Analysis
RBS
Aug 06, 2010
News
BNP Paribas
Aug 06, 2010
Blogs
Research Recap / EIU
Aug 05, 2010
Analysis
Global Insight
Aug 05, 2010
Analysis
Lloyds Banking Group
Aug 04, 2010
Analysis
Northern Rock
Aug 03, 2010
News
FT via Lex
Aug 03, 2010
News
Financial Times
Jack Farchy
Aug 02, 2010
Analysis
HSBC
Aug 02, 2010
News
Financial Times
Sharlene Goff
Aug 02, 2010
Analysis
BNP Paribas
Raymond Van der Putten
Aug 02, 2010
Research
DIW Berlin
Guglielmo Maria Caporale, John Beirne and Nicola Spagnolo
Jul 31, 2010
News
Upstream
Jul 30, 2010
Analysis
Economist
Jul 29, 2010
Blogs
FT Energy Source
Akanksha Awal
Jul 28, 2010
News
Bloomberg
Jul 29, 2010
News
Global Insight
Jul 29, 2010
Analysis
OECD
Jul 28, 2010
Opinions
The National
Tamsin Carlisle
Jul 26, 2010
Research
Chatham House
John Mitchell and Nick Mabey
July 2010
Analysis
Center for American Progress
Faiz Shakir, Amanda Terkel, Matt Corley, Benjamin Armbruster, Zaid Jilani, Alex Seitz-Wald and Tanya Somanader
Jul 27, 2010
Analysis
IHS Global Insight
Jul 27, 2010
News
Bloomberg
Jul 23, 2010
Blogs
FT Alphaville
Jul 23, 2010
News
BNP Paribas
Jul 23, 2010
Analysis
Office for National Statistics
Jul 23, 2010
Analysis
Global Insight
Jul 23, 2010
Opinions
Energy Tribune
Peter C Glover
Jul 22, 2010
News
The Guardian
Terry Macalister
Jul 22, 2010
News
Telegraph
Harry Wilson
Jul 21, 2010
Analysis
Lloyds TSB
Adam Chester
Jul 19, 2010
News
BNP Paribas
Jul 20, 2010
Analysis
Office for National Statistics
Jul 20, 2010
Analysis
Center for Strategic and International Studies
Heather A. Conley and Rick "Ozzie" Nelson
Jul 20, 2010
Analysis
BNP Paribas
Ed and Philippe d’Arvisenet
Jul/Aug 2010
Analysis
Roubini Global Economics
Parul Walia
Jul 19, 2010
Analysis
Commerzbank
Jul 19, 2010
Analysis
TD Bank Securities
Andrew Spence et al
Jul 15, 2010
News
Wall Street Journal
Alessandro Torello, Carolyn Henson and David Tidmarsh
Jul 14, 2010
Analysis
Office for National Statistics
Jul 14, 2010
Research
Chatham House
Robin Niblett and Peter Kellner
July 2010
Opinions
Project Syndicate
Barry Eichengreen
Jul 13, 2010
