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United States: Consumption

U.S. Consumer Credit: Any Signs of a Slower Pace of Contraction?

United States: Labor Market

Job Losses in the U.S. Bottoming Out: Has the Unemployment Rate Peaked?

United States: Equities

U.S. Equities: Is the Rally Losing Steam?

Too-Big-To-Fail Banks

What Is the International Response to Obama's 'Volcker Rule'?

United States: Fiscal Policy

Will U.S. Sovereign Ratings Come Under Pressure?

U.S. Administration's FY2011 Budget: Are Fiscal Consolidation Plans Inadequate?

United States: Economic Profile

Inventory Cycle Pushed U.S. Growth to an Unsustainable 5.7% in Q4 2009

United States: Sectors

U.S. Service Sector: A Sluggish Recovery?

Macro View

United States: Consumption

U.S. Consumer Credit: Any Signs of a Slower Pace of Contraction?

U.S. Consumers: Will Personal Spending Pick Up?

United States : North America : Macro View :

United States: Industrial and Corporate Sector

U.S. Inventories: Has the Drawdown Come to a Close?

U.S. Industrial Production: Will the Expansion Gather Pace?

United States : North America : Macro View : Sectors and Industries :

The Group of Eight (G8)

G7 Ministers Focus on Financial Reform, Not Currencies

Has the G20 Superseded the G7/G8?

Canada : France : Germany : Italy : Japan : North East Asia : Russia : Russia and CIS : United Kingdom : United States : Asia/Pacific : Europe : North America : Macro View :

United States: Labor Market

Job Losses in the U.S. Bottoming Out: Has the Unemployment Rate Peaked?

Is the U.S. Economy Set for a Jobless Recovery?

United States : North America : Macro View : Labor Markets and Productivity :

United States: Residential Real Estate Sector

Are U.S. Housing Inventories Showing Signs of Easing?

U.S. Housing Demand: Can the Extended Homebuyer Tax Continue to Boost Sales?

United States : North America : Macro View : Real Estate and Mortgage Finance : Real Estate Sector : Residential :

United States: Sectors

U.S. Service Sector: A Sluggish Recovery?

U.S. Technology Sector: Will it be a Bright Spot?

North America : Geostrategic and Long Term Issues : Macro View : Sectors and Industries : Technological Change : United States :

United States: Fiscal Policy

Will U.S. Sovereign Ratings Come Under Pressure?

U.S. Administration's FY2011 Budget: Are Fiscal Consolidation Plans Inadequate?

United States : North America : Macro View : Fiscal Policy :

United States: Monetary Policy

When Will the Fed Hike Rates?

Senate Confirms Bernanke's Reappointment as Federal Reserve Chairman

United States : Advanced Economies : North America : Finance and Banking : Macro View : Monetary Policy and Inflation :

United States: Economic Profile

Inventory Cycle Pushed U.S. Growth to an Unsustainable 5.7% in Q4 2009

How Strong Will U.S. Economic Growth Be in 2010?

United States : Advanced Economies : North America : Geostrategic and Long Term Issues : Macro View : Growth Outlook and Business Cycle : Technological Change :

United States: Price Dynamics (Inflation/Deflation)

U.S. Consumer Prices: Deflation, Disinflation, Reflation or High Inflation?

Will the U.S. Avoid Hyperinflation and Deflation?

United States : North America : Macro View : Inflation Targeting : Monetary Policy and Inflation :

United States: Entitlement Reform

State of the Union: Rebranding the Domestic Agenda

U.S. Senate Passes Healthcare Reform Legislation: Are the Congressional Proposals Cost-Efficient?

United States : North America : Geostrategic and Long Term Issues : Macro View : Demographics, Retirement and Health Care : Fiscal Policy :

United States: External Sector

U.S. International Trade: Will Stronger Imports Continue to Widen the Deficit?

TIC Data: A Surge in Treasury Buying in November 2009

United States : North America : Macro View : Capital Flows, FDIs, Capital Controls : Current Account : External Balance : International Trade and Globalization :

Advanced Economies: Financial Sector Taxes

Responsibility Fee, Tobin Tax, or Bonus Tax? Bankers Support Systemic Risk Levy

Eurozone : Switzerland : United Kingdom : United States : Advanced Economies : Europe : North America : Finance and Banking : Macro View : Systemic Risk, Vulnerabilities and Asset Bubbles :

United States: Monetary Policy Exit Strategy

Fed Balance Sheet Size: Will the Fed Extend Its MBS Purchases?

Fed Balance Sheet Composition: Need for Quality Control?

United States : North America : Macro View : Current Financial Crisis : Domestic Politics and Political Risks : Growth Outlook and Business Cycle : Monetary Policy and Inflation : Systemic Risk, Vulnerabilities and Asset Bubbles :

The Troubled Asset Relief Program (TARP)

Large Banks Repay TARP Capital: What Has TARP Achieved?

United States : North America : Finance and Banking : Macro View : Banks and Risk Management : Current Financial Crisis : Systemic Risk, Vulnerabilities and Asset Bubbles :

United States: Financial Sector Compensation

Will Large Financial Sector Compensation and Bonuses Continue in the U.S. Despite Political Backlash?

Will the U.S. Treasury and Fed Measures to Regulate Financial Sector Compensation Yield Desirable Results?

United States : Finance and Banking : Macro View : Domestic Politics and Political Risks : Labor Markets and Productivity :

United States: Offshoring and Immigration

Immigration and Offshoring: How Have U.S. Workers Fared?

How to Assist U.S. Workers to Cope With the Effects of Globalization?

United States : North America : Macro View : International Trade and Globalization : Labor Markets and Productivity :

United States: Central Bank Independence

Will the Fed Lose Independence?

Fed Balance Sheet Composition: Need for Quality Control?

United States : North America : Macro View : Central Bank Independence : Monetary Policy and Inflation :

Collateralized Debt Obligations (CDOs) and Structured Products

Unwinding of Structured Products: Together they Stand and Fall?

Error-Prone Constant Proportion Debt Obligations (CPDOs) Ratings: Second Computer-Glitch At Moody's

United States : North America : Finance and Banking : Macro View : Securitization and Structured Finance : Systemic Risk, Vulnerabilities and Asset Bubbles :

Foreign Purchases of U.S. Assets

Will China Keep Buying US Assets?

TIC Data: A Surge in Treasury Buying in November 2009

United States : North America : Macro View : Current Account : External Balance : FX Reserves and Sovereign Wealth :

United States: Central Bank Transparency

Will the Fed Become an Inflation Targeter?

US: Is Bernanke's Forecast-Based Approach Reliable?

United States : North America : Macro View : Central Bank Transparency : Monetary Policy and Inflation :

United States: Future Federal Reserve Policy Regimes

Will the Fed Switch to a New Benchmark Interest Rate?

Who Should Be the Systemic Risk Regulator in the U.S.?

United States : North America : Macro View : Inflation Targeting : Monetary Policy and Inflation :

U.S. Commercial Real Estate

U.S. Commercial Real Estate: Following Housing With a Lag

U.S. Commercial Real Estate: Credit Crunch Compounding the Problem?

United States : North America : Finance and Banking : Macro View : Commercial : Real Estate and Mortgage Finance : Real Estate Sector : Systemic Risk, Vulnerabilities and Asset Bubbles :

United States: State Finances

Do U.S. States Need More Fiscal Stimulus to Fill Their Budget Gaps?

Will U.S. States' Fiscal Deficits Continue to Surge?

United States : North America : Macro View :

United States: Influence and the Global Economic Crisis

Timeline: Meltdown (2007-Present)

Timeline: Regulation & Deregulation (1880-Present)

United States : Advanced Economies : North America : Geostrategic and Long Term Issues : Macro View : Current Financial Crisis : Foreign Policy and Geostrategic Risks : Growth Outlook and Business Cycle :

Markets

United States: U.S. Dollar Long-Term

Central Banks Reserves Diversification: Shifting Away from the Dollar?

Ganging Up on the Dollar? Could Oil Exporters Move Away from Dollar Pricing?

United States : North America : Markets : Currencies :

United States: Equities

U.S. Equities: Is the Rally Losing Steam?

U.S. Equities Q4 2009 Earnings Season: How Strong Are Results?

United States : North America : Markets : Equities :

United States: Oil Production and Supply

Will the Obama Administration Succeed in Reducing Oil and Gas Subsidies?

Obama's Energy Agenda: What are the Priorities for U.S. Energy Policy?

United States : North America : Geostrategic and Long Term Issues : Markets : Domestic Politics and Political Risks : Energy Security and Supply Risks : Oil : Oil and Energy :

United States: Government Bond Pricing

Widest Spread between 2-year and 10-year U.S. Treasurys since 1981

Will U.S. Long-Dated Treasury Yields Move Above 4%?

United States : North America : Markets : Government Bonds :

Global Monetary System

Is It Time for a New Global Reserve Currency?

Euro as Reserve Currency

United States : North America : Finance and Banking : Markets : Currencies : FX Reserves and Sovereign Wealth : Government Bonds : Monetary Policy and Inflation : Reserve Diversification :

Dark Liquidity Pools

'Flash Orders' and 'Naked Access' as Niches of High-Frequency Trading: Should they be Banned?

High-Frequency Trading: Frontrunning or Just a Faster Car?

United States : Advanced Economies : Europe : North America : Finance and Banking : Markets : Equities : Hedge Funds and Private Equity :

Credit Default Swaps (CDS)

"Big Bang" and "Small Bang" in the CDS Market: Industry Group Adopts Standardized Rules for "Plain Vanilla" CDS

Credit Derivatives: Economic Risks and Benefits

United States : North America : Finance and Banking : Markets : Derivatives : Securitization and Structured Finance :

United States: U.S. Dollar Short-Term

What Is the Short-Term Outlook for the U.S. Dollar?

Central Banks Reserves Diversification: Shifting Away from the Dollar?

United States : North America : Markets : Currencies :

United States: Government Bond Supply

What Is the Future of Treasury Issuance Amounts, Maturity and Timing?

How Will the Fed Drain Liquidity?

United States : North America : Markets : Government Bonds :

United States: Government Bond Demand

TIC Data: A Surge in Treasury Buying in November 2009

Will Central Bank Demand for U.S. Agencies and Treasuries Keep Waning?

United States : North America : Markets : Government Bonds :

Petrodollars

Iran Dropping Dollar in Oil Sales and Foreign Exchange Reserves: Is the Euro Next?

Should GCC Countries De-peg from the Dollar?

United States : Latin America : Middle East and Africa : North America : Markets : Currencies : FX Reserves and Sovereign Wealth :

Finance & Banking

Leveraged Loans and Collateralized Loan Obligations (CLO)

Leveraged Loans and CLOs: Markets Stage a Comeback

How to Dispose of the US$100-200 Billion Leveraged Loan Overhang? Provide Financing To Buyer

United States : Advanced Economies : North America : Finance and Banking : Corporate Bonds and Leveraged Loans :

Government Sponsored Enterprises

Overview of Long-Term Solutions for Government-Sponsored Enterprises (GSEs): Moody's Recommends Nationalization

GinnieMae, GSE and FHA Program Extension: Litterbin of Last Resort?

United States : North America : Finance and Banking : Real Estate and Mortgage Finance :

High-Yield Bonds and Distressed Debt

The Empty Creditor Phenomenon: Does It Also Work In Reverse?

Covenant-Lite and Payment-In-Kind (PIK) Features: 'Zombie' Companies Delay Defaults, Hurt Recovery Rates

United States : North America : Finance and Banking : Corporate Bonds and Leveraged Loans :

Hedge Fund Performance

What's Driving Hedge Fund Performance?

Hedge Funds: Outlook for 2010

United States : North America : Finance and Banking : Hedge Funds and Private Equity :

United States: Monetary Policy

When Will the Fed Hike Rates?

Senate Confirms Bernanke's Reappointment as Federal Reserve Chairman

United States : Advanced Economies : North America : Finance and Banking : Macro View : Monetary Policy and Inflation :

Post-Crisis Regulatory Reforms in the U.S.

Tackling Too-Big-To-Fail: Overview of Proposals

Who Should Be the Systemic Risk Regulator in the U.S.?

United States : North America : Finance and Banking : Current Financial Crisis : Financial Systems and Regulation : Systemic Risk, Vulnerabilities and Asset Bubbles :

Advanced Economies: Financial Sector Taxes

Responsibility Fee, Tobin Tax, or Bonus Tax? Bankers Support Systemic Risk Levy

Eurozone : Switzerland : United Kingdom : United States : Advanced Economies : Europe : North America : Finance and Banking : Macro View : Systemic Risk, Vulnerabilities and Asset Bubbles :

United States: Commercial Real Estate Loans and Mortgage-Backed Securities (CMBS)

Commercial Real Estate Loss Estimates

Possible CMBS Trigger? Technical Default on Stuyvesant Town Debt on January 2010

United States : Advanced Economies : North America : Finance and Banking : Commercial : Real Estate and Mortgage Finance : Real Estate Sector :

U.S. Banking Sector Performance

U.S. Banks: Q4 Earnings Outlook

U.S. Credit Card Delinquencies Hit Record in December 2009: Turnaround Only After H2 2010?

United States : North America : Finance and Banking :

The Troubled Asset Relief Program (TARP)

Large Banks Repay TARP Capital: What Has TARP Achieved?

United States : North America : Finance and Banking : Macro View : Banks and Risk Management : Current Financial Crisis : Systemic Risk, Vulnerabilities and Asset Bubbles :

Repurchase Agreements

Review of the Tri-Party Repo System: Task Force Releases Infrastructure Progress Report

Fed Confirms Reverse Repo Tests and Term Deposit Facility Plans to Exit QE

United States : Advanced Economies : North America : Finance and Banking : Capital Market Intermediaries : Securitization and Structured Finance :

U.S. Corporate Bonds

Credit Markets: Outlook for 2010

Record Junk Bond Issuance in 2009 Amid Record Returns

United States : North America : Finance and Banking : Corporate Bonds and Leveraged Loans :

Global Monetary System

Is It Time for a New Global Reserve Currency?

Euro as Reserve Currency

United States : North America : Finance and Banking : Markets : Currencies : FX Reserves and Sovereign Wealth : Government Bonds : Monetary Policy and Inflation : Reserve Diversification :

Dark Liquidity Pools

'Flash Orders' and 'Naked Access' as Niches of High-Frequency Trading: Should they be Banned?

High-Frequency Trading: Frontrunning or Just a Faster Car?

United States : Advanced Economies : Europe : North America : Finance and Banking : Markets : Equities : Hedge Funds and Private Equity :

Credit Default Swaps (CDS)

"Big Bang" and "Small Bang" in the CDS Market: Industry Group Adopts Standardized Rules for "Plain Vanilla" CDS

Credit Derivatives: Economic Risks and Benefits

United States : North America : Finance and Banking : Markets : Derivatives : Securitization and Structured Finance :

United States: Financial Sector Compensation

Will Large Financial Sector Compensation and Bonuses Continue in the U.S. Despite Political Backlash?

Will the U.S. Treasury and Fed Measures to Regulate Financial Sector Compensation Yield Desirable Results?

United States : Finance and Banking : Macro View : Domestic Politics and Political Risks : Labor Markets and Productivity :

Hedge Funds and Private Equity as Leveraged Investors

The Empty Creditor Phenomenon: Does It Also Work In Reverse?

Covenant-Lite and Payment-In-Kind (PIK) Features: 'Zombie' Companies Delay Defaults, Hurt Recovery Rates

United States : North America : Finance and Banking : Hedge Funds and Private Equity :

Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation Guarantee Programs

Banks' Dash to Short-Term Financing: What is the Rollover Risk?

United States : North America : Finance and Banking : Banks and Risk Management : Financial Systems and Regulation :

Commercial Real Estate: Global Outlook Precarious

Bailing Out the U.S. Housing and Financial Sector: Fiscal Costs and Risks to Taxpayers Getting Bigger?

Outlook for Asian Real-Estate Market: Has the Worst Passed?

Australia : Eurozone : Japan : Pacific : United States : Asia/Pacific : Europe : Middle East and Africa : North America : Finance and Banking : Real Estate and Mortgage Finance :

Credit Defaults Swaps on Asset-Backed Securities (ABCDS)

Are ABX Derivatives Prices an Accurate Measure of Subprime RMBS and CDO Valuations?

United States : North America : Finance and Banking : Securitization and Structured Finance :

Counterparty Risk Management and Central Clearinghouse

Counterparty Risk Management: How Safe Are Central Clearinghouses?

ICE Launches Clearinghouse To Reduce Counterparty Risk in the Credit Default Swap (CDS) Market

United States : North America : Finance and Banking : Securitization and Structured Finance :

Monoline Insurance

Obama Ends Private Lender Subsidies Altogether: What Hope For The Student Loan Crunch in Auction-Rate Securities (ARS) Market?

Ambac Bond Insurer Loses AAA Rating at Fitch, Triggering Global Equity Selloff: Regulators Sounding Bail-Out

United States : North America : Finance and Banking : Capital Market Intermediaries : Muni Bonds and Insurers/Monolines :

Securitization

Financial Innovation and Securitizations: What Prospects after Reintermediation in 2010?

The Case Against Fix Retention Rules in Securitizations: BIS and IMF Global Financial Stability Report, Chapter II

United States : North America : Finance and Banking : Banks and Risk Management : Capital Market Intermediaries : Securitization and Structured Finance :

Commercial Paper

Asset Backed Commercial Paper (ABCP) Outlook: Inherently Unstable Market?

Is the Economic Reovery for Real? The Commercial Paper Test

United States : North America : Finance and Banking : Corporate Bonds and Leveraged Loans :

Auction-Rate Securities

The Auction-Rate Securities Double-Whammy: Renalty Rates and Hedges Gone Awry

United States : North America : Finance and Banking : Auction Rate Securities : Capital Market Intermediaries :

Special Purpose Vehicles (SPV)

Life After General Growth Properties Bankruptcy: Testing Bankruptcy Remoteness in Court

United States : North America : Finance and Banking : Securitization and Structured Finance :

CDS Trading Strategies

The CDS Basis-Trade: Why is the Spread Convergence Stalling?

The Empty Creditor Phenomenon: Does It Also Work In Reverse?

United States : North America : Finance and Banking : Securitization and Structured Finance :

SIVs, Conduits and Asset-Backed Commercial Paper (ABCP)

Structured Investment Vehicles (SIV): Asset Sales And Re-Intermediation Onto Bank/Insurers' Balance Sheets

Asset Backed Commercial Paper (ABCP) Outlook: Inherently Unstable Market?

United States : North America : Finance and Banking : Real Estate and Mortgage Finance : Securitization and Structured Finance :

Mark-To-Market Accounting

FAS 140 Revision Leads to Re-Intermeditation of up to US$900 Billion in Off-Balance-Sheet Vehicles Starting in 2010

New IASB/FASB Proposals Expand Fair Value Accounting: A Step Forward?

United States : Advanced Economies : North America : Finance and Banking : Banks and Risk Management :

Collateralized Debt Obligations (CDOs) and Structured Products

Unwinding of Structured Products: Together they Stand and Fall?

Error-Prone Constant Proportion Debt Obligations (CPDOs) Ratings: Second Computer-Glitch At Moody's

United States : North America : Finance and Banking : Macro View : Securitization and Structured Finance : Systemic Risk, Vulnerabilities and Asset Bubbles :

OTC Derivatives Regulation

OTC Derivatives in H2 2008: Total Notional Shrinks, Gross Credit Exposure After Netting Increases To $5 Trillion

The Future of OTC Derivatives Trading and Clearing: CPSS Issues Guidelines

United States : North America : Finance and Banking : Securitization and Structured Finance :

Cash Bond - CBS Basis Comparison

Default Recovery Swaps: What You Should Know When Betting on Recovery Rates

The CDS Basis-Trade: Why is the Spread Convergence Stalling?

United States : North America : Finance and Banking : Corporate Bonds and Leveraged Loans :

Hedge Fund and Private Equity Regulation

Hedge Fund Regulation: U.S. Finalized Draft Legislation

Brussels Intent on Regulating Hedge Funds: Will New Pay Rules Apply to Alternative Investment Managers As Well?

United States : North America : Finance and Banking : Hedge Funds and Private Equity :

Resolution of Troubled Financial Institutions

Will Unsecured Bank Creditors Take A Haircut Eventually? And Secured Ones?

Contingent Convertibles (CoCos) Against Too-Big-To-Fail: A Viable Tool?

United States : North America : Finance and Banking : Financial Systems and Regulation :

Loan Modifications

Treasury's Mortgage Modification Program Review: Servicers Face Conversion Drive

Are Servicers Standing in the Way of Mortgage Loan Modifications?

United States : North America : Finance and Banking : Real Estate and Mortgage Finance :

Pension Funds: Asset Allocation

Governance of Public Pension Funds: Angels, Monsters or Somewhere in Between?

Is It Wise For Pension Funds to Invest in the Hedge Fund, Private Equity, Alternative Assets Arenas?

Canada : United States : North America : Finance and Banking : Asset Management and Portfolio Choice :

Negative Equity and Lessons from Past Crises

Will an HOLC-Type Entity be More Effective than RTC/RFC in Alleviating the Mortgage Crisis This Time?

An RTC-II to Absorb the Tsunami of Distressed Debt?: Lessons From Previous Experience

United States : North America : Finance and Banking : Real Estate Sector :

Private Equity Performance

Private Equity: Outlook for 2010

Private Equity and the Credit Crunch: What To Do With US$500 - 1000 Billion in Undrawn Funds?

Eurozone : United Kingdom : United States : Advanced Economies : Europe : North America : Finance and Banking : Hedge Funds and Private Equity :

U.S. Financial Regulatory Reform

United States : North America : Finance and Banking : Financial Systems and Regulation : Hedge Funds and Private Equity :

U.S. Commercial Real Estate

U.S. Commercial Real Estate: Following Housing With a Lag

U.S. Commercial Real Estate: Credit Crunch Compounding the Problem?

United States : North America : Finance and Banking : Macro View : Commercial : Real Estate and Mortgage Finance : Real Estate Sector : Systemic Risk, Vulnerabilities and Asset Bubbles :

Private Investment in Public Equity (PIPE)

Final FDIC Rules for Private Equity Investment in Failed Banks: Carrots and Sticks

Private Equity/Hedge Fund Consortium Buys IndyMac: White Knights Or Indirect Access To Safety Net?

United States : North America : Finance and Banking : Hedge Funds and Private Equity :

Private Mortgage Insurers

MGIC, Radian Private Mortgage Insurers in Trouble: Another Hampered Business in the Subprime Aftermath?

United States : North America : Finance and Banking : Real Estate and Mortgage Finance :

Convexity

Mortgage Convexity Risk: Are Technical Factors Driving Long-Term Treasury Yields Higher?

United States : North America : Finance and Banking : Real Estate and Mortgage Finance :

Delinquencies and Foreclosures in the Residential Mortgage Market

Was the U.S. Mortgage Market Effectively Nationalized? Yes, As Early As Q3 2007

Delinquencies and Foreclosures in the U.S.: Where Do We Stand?

United States : North America : Finance and Banking : Real Estate and Mortgage Finance :

Covered Bonds

Plans For A U.S. Covered Bond Market: A Better Alternative to RMBS?

The European Covered Bond Market: Will The ECB Restore The Safe Haven?

United States : North America : Finance and Banking : Real Estate and Mortgage Finance :

U.S. Stress Tests and Additional Capital Needs

IMF Reduces Global Loss Estimate to US$3.4 Trillion

Stress Test Results: Banks Raise $65 Billion in Common Stock and Convert $20 Billion of Preferred Stock to Meet Requirement

United States : North America : Finance and Banking : Banks and Risk Management :

Fair Value Accounting

FAS 140 Revision Leads to Re-Intermeditation of up to US$900 Billion in Off-Balance-Sheet Vehicles Starting in 2010

Sifting Through Past FDIC Troubled Asset Auctions: Average 56 Cents on Dollar Value Implies Additional $1 Trillion Writedowns

United States : North America : Finance and Banking : Corporate Finance :

Public-Private Investment Program (PPIP) and TALF

Geithner's Financial Stability Plan: Background and Components

Toxic Asset Performance: Watch Maiden Lane

United States : North America : Finance and Banking : Asset Management and Portfolio Choice :

U.S. Credit Card Industry

U.S. Credit Card Delinquencies/Charge-Offs Start Receding: Is the Worst Over?

AmericanExpress Gets Access to TARP: Are Monolines, Insurers, Automakers, Hedge Funds Next?

United States : North America : Finance and Banking :

Speculation

United States : North America : Finance and Banking : Financial Systems and Regulation :

Geostrategic & Long Term Issues

The G20's Role in Economic Policymaking

Canada's G8/G20 Agenda

G20 Finance Ministers: Is the Agenda too Broad?

Argentina : Australia : Brazil : Canada : China : France : Germany : Gulf Cooperation Council : India : Indonesia : Italy : Japan : Mexico : North East Asia : Pacific : Russia : Russia and CIS : Saudi Arabia : South Africa : South Asia : South East Asia : South Korea : Turkey : United Kingdom : United States : Advanced Economies : Asia/Pacific : Emerging Markets : Europe : Latin America : Middle East and Africa : North America : Geostrategic and Long Term Issues : IMF and International Economic Institutions : International Organizations :

U.S. Defense Policy and Spending

Military Spending and the U.S. Budget

New Focus on Cybersecurity: How Real is the Threat?

Iraq : North East Asia : United States : Asia/Pacific : Middle East and Africa : North America : Geostrategic and Long Term Issues : Foreign Aid : Foreign Policy and Geostrategic Risks : Terrorism, Civil Strife and Security :

United States: Sectors

U.S. Service Sector: A Sluggish Recovery?

U.S. Technology Sector: Will it be a Bright Spot?

North America : Geostrategic and Long Term Issues : Macro View : Sectors and Industries : Technological Change : United States :

Russia and the U.S.

U.S.-Russia Ties: Nuclear Disarmament Treaty in Sight?

U.S. Scales Down Missile Shield in Eastern Europe

Baltics : Central Asia : Central Europe : Estonia : Kazakhstan : Latvia : Lithuania : Poland : Russia : Russia and CIS : Ukraine : United States : Europe : North America : Geostrategic and Long Term Issues : Foreign Policy and Geostrategic Risks : Nuclear Proliferation : Terrorism, Civil Strife and Security :

United States: Domestic Politics

State of the Union: Rebranding the Domestic Agenda

Off-Year Elections: What Significance for Obama?

United States : North America : Geostrategic and Long Term Issues : Domestic Politics and Political Risks :

U.S.-China Relations

Sino-U.S. Relations: Will Arms Sales to Taiwan Hinder Cooperation?

Will Obama's Visit Spark Closer Economic Relations with China?

China : North East Asia : United States : Asia/Pacific : North America : Geostrategic and Long Term Issues : Foreign Policy and Geostrategic Risks : International Trade and Globalization :

United States: Oil Production and Supply

Will the Obama Administration Succeed in Reducing Oil and Gas Subsidies?

Obama's Energy Agenda: What are the Priorities for U.S. Energy Policy?

United States : North America : Geostrategic and Long Term Issues : Markets : Domestic Politics and Political Risks : Energy Security and Supply Risks : Oil : Oil and Energy :

United States: Economic Profile

Inventory Cycle Pushed U.S. Growth to an Unsustainable 5.7% in Q4 2009

How Strong Will U.S. Economic Growth Be in 2010?

United States : Advanced Economies : North America : Geostrategic and Long Term Issues : Macro View : Growth Outlook and Business Cycle : Technological Change :

U.S. Climate Change Policy

EPA Rulings on CO2: Is Regulation the Right Answer?

How much will Cap-and-Trade cost in the U.S.?

United States : North America : Geostrategic and Long Term Issues : Climate Change : Climate Change and Natural Resources :

United States: Entitlement Reform

State of the Union: Rebranding the Domestic Agenda

U.S. Senate Passes Healthcare Reform Legislation: Are the Congressional Proposals Cost-Efficient?

United States : North America : Geostrategic and Long Term Issues : Macro View : Demographics, Retirement and Health Care : Fiscal Policy :

Biofuel

Can Alternative Fuels Challenge Oil?

Biofuels Fueling the Soaring Food Prices?

Brazil : China : North East Asia : United States : Asia/Pacific : Latin America : North America : Geostrategic and Long Term Issues : Climate Change : Climate Change and Natural Resources :

The U.S. Intelligence Community

U.S. Intelligence Agencies Again under Scrutiny

Money Laundering Financing Global Terrorism?

United States : North America : Geostrategic and Long Term Issues : Foreign Policy and Geostrategic Risks : Nuclear Proliferation : Terrorism, Civil Strife and Security :

The U.S. and the 'Wars of 9/11'

U.S. Intelligence Agencies Again under Scrutiny

New Afghan Plan: Financial Incentives to Give up Arms?

Iraq : Other South Asia : South Asia : United States : Asia/Pacific : Middle East and Africa : North America : Geostrategic and Long Term Issues : Foreign Policy and Geostrategic Risks : Terrorism, Civil Strife and Security :

Turkey and the U.S.

Is Turkey Moving Away from the West?

Turkey's New Diplomatic Confidence: Obstacles Remain For Turkey-Armenia Diplomatic Thaw

Turkey : United States : Europe : North America : Geostrategic and Long Term Issues : Foreign Policy and Geostrategic Risks :

Global Health: Pandemics

Swine Flu Epidemic: Impact on Mexico's Economy

H1N1 Declared an Emergency in U.S.: What Might the Economic Costs of a "Swine Flu Pandemic" Be?

Mexico : United States : Latin America : North America : Geostrategic and Long Term Issues : Climate Change and Natural Resources : Diseases and Natural Disasters :

China: Defense and Security Policy

Sino-U.S. Relations: Will Arms Sales to Taiwan Hinder Cooperation?

Will China Add Aircraft Carriers?

China : North East Asia : Pacific : South Asia : United States : North America : Geostrategic and Long Term Issues : Foreign Policy and Geostrategic Risks :

NATO's Future Role

NATO at 60: What Future Role For the Alliance?

New Afghan Plan: Financial Incentives to Give up Arms?

Canada : United States : North America : Geostrategic and Long Term Issues : Foreign Policy and Geostrategic Risks : International Organizations :

U.S. Foreign Policy Under Barack Obama

U.S. - India Relations: New Beginnings?

President Obama in Asia

United States : North America : Geostrategic and Long Term Issues : Domestic Politics and Political Risks :

What Ever Happened to the Nuclear Nonproliferation Treaty?

Will More Middle Eastern States Join the Nuclear Club?

Pakistan's Growing Nuclear Arsenal- A Growing Risk For The U.S.

Egypt : United States : Middle East and Africa : North America : Geostrategic and Long Term Issues : Nuclear Proliferation : Terrorism, Civil Strife and Security :

U.S.: Obama's Foreign Trips in 2009

President Obama in Asia

EU Launches Eastern Partnership Initiative: Boosting Influence in Moscow's Backyard?

United States : North America : Geostrategic and Long Term Issues : Foreign Policy and Geostrategic Risks :

The Group of Seven (G-7)

Has the G20 Superseded the G7/G8?

Canada : Japan : North East Asia : United Kingdom : United States : Asia/Pacific : Europe : North America : Geostrategic and Long Term Issues : International Organizations :

U.S.-China Strategic and Economic Dialogue

What's at Stake for the U.S.-China Strategic and Economic Dialogue?

Are U.S.-China Trade Tensions Worsening in 2010?

China : United States : Asia/Pacific : North America : Geostrategic and Long Term Issues : Foreign Policy and Geostrategic Risks :

United States: Influence and the Global Economic Crisis

Timeline: Meltdown (2007-Present)

Timeline: Regulation & Deregulation (1880-Present)

United States : Advanced Economies : North America : Geostrategic and Long Term Issues : Macro View : Current Financial Crisis : Foreign Policy and Geostrategic Risks : Growth Outlook and Business Cycle :

U.S.-Mexico Relations

Mexican Remittances and the Flow of Immigrants

U.S.-Mexico Relations and the War on Drugs

Mexico : United States : Latin America : North America : Geostrategic and Long Term Issues : Foreign Policy and Geostrategic Risks :

U.S. Hyperpower Status

Military Spending and the U.S. Budget

Will China Keep Buying US Assets?

United States : North America : Geostrategic and Long Term Issues : Foreign Policy and Geostrategic Risks :

U.S. Foreign Policy and Strategy

Timeline: U.S.-Mexico Relations

What's Ahead for Latin America-U.S. Ties in the Obama Era?

United States : North America : Geostrategic and Long Term Issues : Foreign Policy and Geostrategic Risks : Nuclear Proliferation : Terrorism, Civil Strife and Security :

U.S.-Iran Relations

Timeline: U.S.-Iran Relations Since World War II

Timeline: U.S.-Iran Contacts

Iran : United States : North America : Geostrategic and Long Term Issues : Foreign Policy and Geostrategic Risks :

U.S.-UK Relations

European Financial Sector: Double Exposure to Domestic and U.S. Housing Woes

Foreigners Hold 40% of All ABS Backed by U.S. Assets: EU Bank Writedowns Only Halfway Through

United Kingdom : United States : Europe : North America : Geostrategic and Long Term Issues : Foreign Policy and Geostrategic Risks :

Cap-and-Trade Legislation in the U.S.

Obama's Energy Agenda: What are the Priorities for U.S. Energy Policy?

Carbon Capture: Will It Ever Be Profitable?

United States : North America : Geostrategic and Long Term Issues : Climate Change : Climate Change and Natural Resources : Domestic Politics and Political Risks :

Key Indicators

Unemployment rate
 Total
 (%, SA)
9.8,10.2,10,10,9.7 9.7
CPI
 Urban Consumer - All items
 (1982-84=100, SA)
215.43,215.79,216.38,217.25,217.54 217.54
Net Exports Of Goods And Services
 (Bil. Ch. 2005 $, SAAR)
-470.9,-386.5,-331.8,-348.3,-341.1 -341.1
Interest Rates
 Federal Funds Effective Rate
 (% P.A., NSA)
0.14,0.13,0.14,0.13,0.13 0.13
Stock Price Index
 S&P 500
 (Index, NSA)
1103.32,1097.28,1063.11,1066.19,1056.74 1,056.74
S&P/Case-Shiller® Home Price Index - 10-metro composite
 (Jan 2000=100, 3 mo ending, SA)
154.69,156.4,157.07,157.56,157.66 157.66
data by Moody's

RGE's Q1 2010 United States Outlook

After a sharp contraction (of around 2.4%) in 2009, subpar GDP growth (below potential) will be the story for 2010. RGE estimates that U.S. real GDP will grow 2.7% in 2010, against a potential growth rate of around 3%. U.S. real GDP growth displayed a less-than-flattering 2.2% rate in Q3 2009, with 90% of this growth attributable to monetary easing and unprecedented government intervention (fiscal stimulus). Q4 2009 saw a stronger than expected inventory liquidation that pushed growth all the way to 5.7% (advanced estimate) against a consensus expectation of 4.5%. RGE expects growth momentum to continue into 2010. RGE expects “a year of two halves,” —with the first six months stronger (average quarterly annualized growth of 2.6%) than the second six (average quarterly annualized growth of 1.5%)—as the effects of stimulus and inventory restocking begin to show signs of fading out during H2 2010. Stronger growth in H1 2010 could bring further steepening of the yield curve, which is already historically steep. Weaker growth in the second half of the year will contribute to some flattening of the curve.

Read the Q1 2010 United States Outlook.

RGE Analysis

United States: Q1 2010 Outlook

By Arpitha Bykere, Prajakta Bhide, Mikka Pineda and Christian Menegatti Feb 09, 2010

On the Verge of Job Creation

By Christian Menegatti and Arpitha Bykere Feb 05, 2010

Comparing 2010 Growth Forecasts for Major Economies

By Rachel Ziemba, Elisa Parisi-Capone, Christian Menegatti, Arpitha Bykere, Bertrand Delgado and Mikka Pineda Jan 21, 2010

Housing Starts: No Reason to Expect a Strong Recovery in 2010

By Prajakta Bhide Jan 20, 2010

Sovereign Debt: The Developed World’s Next Big Problem?

By Arpitha Bykere, Elisa Parisi-Capone, and Katharina Jungen Jan 13, 2010

Carry Trade Hotspots: A Currency by Currency Forecast for 2010

By Mikka Pineda, Mary Stokes, Bertrand Delgado, Mikko Forss, Kavitha Cherian, Arpitha Bykere and Christian Menegatti Jan 04, 2010

Come to Mother: An RGE Strategy for the 2010 Carry Trade

Arnab Das, Natalia Gurushina, Jennifer Kapila, Elisa Parisi-Capone Jan 04, 2010

RGE Currency Outlook: The U.S. Dollar

By Mikka Pineda and Christian Menegatti Jan 01, 2010

U.S. Home Prices and Mortgage Loan Loss Severity

By Prajakta Bhide, Christian Menegatti and Wenbo Zhu* Dec 22, 2009

Deja Vu: Will the U.S. Undergo a Reprise of 1937?

Mikka Pineda Nov 16, 2009

U.S. Retail Sales Grow in October, But Watch the Holiday Season

Christian Menegatti and Prajakta Bhide Nov 16, 2009

Obama Sets New Myanmar Policy in Motion

Julie Ginsberg Nov 13, 2009

Another Bleak U.S. Labor Market Report

Arpitha Bykere and Christian Menegatti Nov 06, 2009

One Year After Obama's Election: Regulatory and Fiscal Challenges

Arpitha Bykere and Elisa Parisi-Capone Nov 04, 2009

The ‘Mother of All Carry Trades’ Fuels the Mother of All Asset Bubbles and Its Eventual Unavoidable Bust

By Nouriel Roubini Nov 01, 2009

U.S. Real GDP Growth: Should We Really Get Excited?

Nouriel Roubini and Christian Menegatti Oct 29, 2009

Global Imbalances Outlook, Q4 2009

Rachel Ziemba Oct 07, 2009

The Rising Sun also Sets

Michael Moran Oct 07, 2009

The Fed's Balance Sheet and Possible Exit Strategies

Mikka Pineda and Christian Menegatti Oct 01, 2009

For Obama's Diplomacy, the Going Gets Tough

Michael Moran Sep 30, 2009

Is the U.S. Housing Sector Bottoming Out?

Christian Menegatti and Prajakta Bhide Sep 29, 2009

The First-Time Homebuyer Tax Credit and Housing Vacancies

Christian Menegatti Sep 29, 2009

Seeking Answers on Oil Market Volatility

Monika Brown Sep 18, 2009

The July TIC Data: In for the Long Term?

Rachel Ziemba Sep 16, 2009

Ripples of 9/11 Continue 8 Years On

Rachel Ziemba Sep 11, 2009

Comparing Three Crises

Mikka Pineda Sep 09, 2009

On the Reappointment of Ben Bernanke

Nouriel Roubini Aug 25, 2009

Easing Job Losses Don't Change Weak Prospects for U.S. Recovery

Arpitha Bykere and Christian Menegatti Aug 08, 2009

Climate Change Outlook, Q3 2009

Kavitha Cherian & Rachel Ziemba Jul 24, 2009

What's on the Table at the U.S.-China Strategic and Economic Dialogue (S&ED)?

Rachel Ziemba and Adam Wolfe Jul 24, 2009

Global Imbalances Outlook, Q3 2009

Rachel Ziemba Jul 24, 2009

May TIC: Still Buying U.S. Assets, but, Just the Liquid Ones

Rachel Ziemba Jul 17, 2009

Roubini Statement on the U.S. Economic Outlook

Nouriel Roubini Jul 16, 2009

Mounting Job Losses Will Hurt Consumption, Housing, Banks’ Balance Sheets, Public Finances and Lead to Protectionist Pressures

Nouriel Roubini Jul 14, 2009

U.S. Job Report Suggests that Green Shoots are Mostly Yellow Weeds

Nouriel Roubini Jul 02, 2009

Labor Market Has Become a Leading Indicator for the U.S. Economy

Arpitha Bykere Jun 05, 2009

When the Public Debt Rubber Meets the Investors' Anxiety Asphalt

Nouriel Roubini May 28, 2009

Green Shoots or Yellow Weeds? A Trifecta of Risks to the Early Bottomg Out of the Recession and Short-Term Economic Recovery and to the Medium-Term Actual and Potential Growth Prospects of the Global Economy

Nouriel Roubini May 19, 2009

Are Australian Banks Better Off Than Those in the U.S. and EU?

Mikka Pineda May 14, 2009

Ten Reasons Why the Stress Tests Are "Schmess" Tests and Why the Current Muddle-Through Approach to the Bank Crisis May Not Succeed

Nouriel Roubini May 08, 2009

What the Stress Tests Didn't Tell Us

Christian Menegatti May 08, 2009

According to Press Reports, the IMF May Allegedly be Increasing its Estimate of Global Bank Losses to $4 Trillion, a Figure Consistent With Estimates by a Variety of Independent Bank Analysts

Nouriel Roubini Apr 10, 2009

Geithner Presents a Viable Plan to Dispose of the Toxic Assets... That Does Not Rule Out That Insolvent Banks Should be Taken Over

Nouriel Roubini Mar 25, 2009

Some Comments on the Fed's Latest Move

RGE Analyst Team Mar 19, 2009

Bernie Madoff is the Mirror of a Made-Off Ponzi Economy

Nouriel Roubini Mar 11, 2009

Obama's Homeowner Affordability and Stability Plan: A Band-Aid for the Foreclosure Crisis

Arpitha Bykere and Elisa Parisi-Capone Feb 26, 2009

The Worst Economic and Financial Crisis Since the Great Depression Reveals the Weaknesses of the Laissez Faire Anglo-Saxon Model of Capitalism

Nouriel Roubini Feb 19, 2009

Meeting the U.S. Financing Needs

Arpitha Bykere, Rachel Ziemba and Mikka Pineda Feb 18, 2009

The December TIC Data

Rachel Ziemba Feb 18, 2009

Treasury's Financial Stability Plan: Will it Work?

Arpitha Bykere and Elisa Parisi-Capone Feb 11, 2009

It Is Time to Nationalize Insolvent Banking Systems

Nouriel Roubini Feb 10, 2009

Is the U.S. a Japan 2? The Return of Japan's "Free Falling" Stag-Deflation and the Risks of a U.S. L-Shaped Depression

Nouriel Roubini Feb 09, 2009

U.S. Fiscal Stimulus: High Fiscal Cost, Little Bang for Buck?

Arpitha Bykere Feb 02, 2009

The Specter of Technical Insolvency

Nouriel Roubini and Elisa Parisi-Capone Jan 31, 2009

Obama's Presidential Honeymoon Faces Daunting Economic and Geo-Politiclal Tasks

Arpitha Bykere, Rachel Ziemba, Kavitha Cherian and Jelena Vukotic Jan 22, 2009

The Latest Bear Market Sucker's Rally is Losing its Steam as an Onslaught of Awful Macro and Earnings News Takes its Toll

Nouriel Roubini Jan 14, 2009

U.S. Housing Sector Far From Bottoming Out, Needs Government Intervention

Arpitha Bykere Jan 06, 2009

A Forecast of Write-Downs on 2009 U.S. Credit Card Debt

Mathias Kruettli Dec 31, 2008

Helicopter Ben goes ZIRP, QE and More… While the Global Economy Enters Stag-Deflation

Nouriel Roubini Dec 17, 2008

The U.S. Credit Card Industry in 2009

Mathias Kruettli Dec 12, 2008

Record Corporate Bond Spreads: A Buying Opportunity?

Elisa Parisi-Capone Dec 06, 2008

A Wakeup Call for the New Foreign Policy Team?

Rachel Ziemba, Kavitha Cherian, Jelena Vukotic and Christian Menegatti Dec 03, 2008

Focus on the U.S. Economy

Arpitha Bykere, Elisa Parisi-Capone and Rachel Ziemba Nov 28, 2008

Desperate Measures by Desperate Policy Makers in Desperate Times: the Fed Moves to Radically Unorthodox Policies as Economy Is in Free Fall and Stag-Deflation Deepens

Nouriel Roubini Nov 26, 2008

The Latest Bear Market Sucker’s Rally Has Gone Bust as We Are Headed Towards Stag-Deflation

Nouriel Roubini Nov 19, 2008

Obama's Asian Priorities

Arpitha Bykere, Rachel Ziemba and Kavitha Cherian Nov 18, 2008

Looking for the Bottom

Christian Menegatti Nov 16, 2008

20 Reasons Why the U.S. Consumer is Capitulating, thus Triggering the Worst U.S. Recession in Decades

Nouriel Roubini Nov 14, 2008

The Dismal Outlook for the U.S., Global Economy and the Financial Markets

Nouriel Roubini Nov 11, 2008

The Economic Mess and Financial Disaster that Obama Will Inherit

Nov 06, 2008

Barack Obama, the 44th President of the United States

Arpitha Bykere, Rachel Ziemba, Kavitha Cherian and Christian Menegatti Nov 05, 2008

The Rising Risk of a Hard Landing in China: The Two Engines of Global Growth – U.S. and China – are Now Stalling

Nouriel Roubini Nov 04, 2008

U.S. Home Prices Notes - How Far Will They Go

Christian Mennegatti Nov 03, 2008

Is the Worst Behind Us?

Christian Menegatti Oct 16, 2008

Governments Got Religion After Peering into the Systemic Meltdown Abyss: Aggressive and Comprehensive Policy Action is Now Likely but Significant Downside Risks to Markets Will Remain

Nouriel Roubini Oct 13, 2008

The World is at Severe Risk of a Global Systemic Financial Meltdown and a Severe Global Depression

Nouriel Roubini Oct 09, 2008

How Authorization to Recapitalize Banks via Public Capital Injections ("Partial Nationalization") Was Introduced - Indirectly Thorugh the Back Door - into the TARP Legislation

Nouriel Roubini Oct 09, 2008

U.S.-India Nuclear Accord: Nonproliferation Disaster or Landmark Deal?

Kavitha Cherian Oct 03, 2008

Financial and Corporate System is in Cardiac Arrest: The Risk of the Mother of All Bank Runs

Nouriel Roubini Oct 03, 2008

Can a Market Meltdown be Prevented?

Elisa Parisi-Capone Oct 01, 2008

The U.S. and Global Financial Crisis is Becoming Much More Severe in Spite of the Treasury Rescue Plan. The Risk of a Total Systemic Meltdown is Now as High as Ever

Nouriel Roubini Sep 29, 2008

Is Purchasing $700 billion of Toxic Assets the Best Way to Recapitalize the Financial System? No! It is Rather a Disgrace and Rip-Off Benefitting only the Shareholders and Unsecured Creditors of Banks

Nouriel Roubini Sep 28, 2008

HOME (Home Owners’ Mortgage Enterprise): A 10 Step Plan to Resolve the Financial Crisis

Nouriel Roubini Sep 24, 2008

We Need a New HOLC - More Than a New RTC or RFC - to Provide Massive Debt Relief to the Household Sector. We Need to Create the HOME (Home Owners' Mortgage Enterprise)

Nouriel Roubini Sep 19, 2008

U.S. Housing Retention Bill: How Effective in Stabilizing the U.S. Housing Market?

Arpitha Bykere and Christian Menegatti Sep 19, 2008

The Worst Financial Crisis Since the Great Depression

Nouriel Roubini Sep 17, 2008

The Transformation of the USA into the USSRA (United Socialist State Republic of America) Continues at Full Speed with the Nationalization of AIG

Nouriel Roubini Sep 17, 2008

The WEF’s Financial Development Report and Index: Why is the U.S. Ranked #1 in Spite of its Serious Financial Instability and Crisis?

Nouriel Roubini Sep 11, 2008

Comrades Bush, Paulson and Bernanke Welcome You to the USSRA (United Socialist State Republic of America)

Nouriel Roubini Sep 09, 2008

Fannie and Freddie's Bust and Deeply Flawed Government Bailout

Nouriel Roubini Sep 07, 2008

The Coming U.S. Consumption Bust: 12 Reasons Why the U.S. Consumer is in Serious Trouble and Faltering

Nouriel Roubini Sep 03, 2008

2008 US and Global Economic Outlook and Implications for Financial Markets

Nouriel Roubini Sep 01, 2008

U.S. Oil Production and Hurricanes: Insecurity of Demand Trumps Insecurity of Supply?

Rachel Ziemba Aug 30, 2008

Life Without Home Equity (Withdrawal) - Down to US$24 Billion in Q1 2008

Christian Menegatti Aug 28, 2008

The Decline of the American Empire

Nouriel Roubini Aug 13, 2008

U.S. Payrolls Indicate the Worst of the Labor Market is Yet to Come

Arpitha Bykere Aug 01, 2008

U.S. Labor Market Dynamics in a Slowing Economy

Arpitha Bykere Jul 31, 2008

So, Is This A U.S. Recession?

Christian Menegatti and Mikka Pineda Jul 30, 2008

Who is Going to Rescue the Hundreds of Busted U.S. Banks? Don’t Count on Suckering Again the Foreign Governments (the Sovereign Wealth Funds). And the Biggest Fire Sale in the History of Humanity…

Nouriel Roubini Jul 25, 2008

The Coming Systemic Bust of the U.S. Banking System: “Dead Stocks Rallying”

Nouriel Roubini Jul 20, 2008

American Un-Beauty: The Crisis of the Suburbian (McMansions and Gas-Guzzling SUVs) Way of Life

Nouriel Roubini Jul 17, 2008

Insolvency of the Fannie and Freddie Predicted Here Two Years Ago. What Happens Next? Or How to Avoid the “Mother of All Bailouts”

Nouriel Roubini Jul 11, 2008

Global Recession Watch: Recoupling Rather than Decoupling

Nouriel Roubini Jul 03, 2008

Cross-Border Bank Lending and International Exposures: Who is Most Exposed to the U.S.?

Elisa Parisi-Capone Jul 01, 2008

Global Recession Watch: A Dozen Significant Economies are at Risk of a Hard Landing

Nouriel Roubini Jun 25, 2008

Sovereign Wealth Fund Watch: U.S. Taxation and Banking Oversight

Rachel Ziemba Jun 17, 2008

Deepening Recession, Tumbling Equity Markets and Sky-High Oil Prices

Nouriel Roubini Jun 08, 2008

Why is Canada Growing More Slowly than the U.S.?

Rachel Ziemba Jun 05, 2008

Broad Support Among Economists and Experts of the Goal of Providing Mortgage Debt Relief to Distressed Borrowers

Nouriel Roubini May 15, 2008

Why the Frank-Dodd Proposal for Resolving the Mortgage Crisis Makes Sense and Why the Threatened Veto of This Legislation by the White House is Reckless

Nouriel Roubini May 13, 2008

Effects of the U.S. Recession on Asian Growth

Nouriel Roubini May 08, 2008

The Fed is Getting Desperate in Dealing with a Liquidity Crunch that Shows Little Signs of Relenting

Nouriel Roubini May 06, 2008

Natural Gas; Asian Equities; Japanese Exports; U.S. Inequality; Bolivian Referendum

Christian Menegatti Apr 24, 2008

How Exposed is Canada to the U.S. Economy?

Rachel Ziemba Apr 08, 2008

NATO; U.S. Employment; Peru Investment Grade; Hungary Political Turmoil

Christian Menegatti Apr 03, 2008

Ten Fundamental Issues in Reforming Financial Regulation and Supervision in a World of Financial Innovation and Globalization

Nouriel Roubini Mar 31, 2008

Solutions for the Mortgage Crisis

Christian Menegatti Mar 25, 2008

Fed in Action: The Bear Stearns Aftermath

Christian Menegatti Mar 18, 2008

Overview of Fed's New Lending Facilities

Elisa Parisi-Capone Mar 17, 2008

U.S. Retail Sales Drop; Eurozone; BoJ Standoff; Iran Elections

Christian Menegatti Mar 13, 2008

Can the Fed and Policy Makers Avoid a Systemic Financial Meltdown? Most Likely Not.

Nouriel Roubini Feb 08, 2008

The Rising Risk of a Systemic Financial Meltdown: The Twelve Steps to Disaster

Nouriel Roubini Feb 05, 2008

A Fiscal Solution to Cope with the U.S. Slowdown?

Arpitha Bykere Jan 01, 2008

Obama Tours Asia with a Full Agenda

RGE Analysts Nov 18, 2007

Responses to Sovereign Wealth Funds: Are 'Draconian' Measures on the Way?

Rachel Ziemba Nov 15, 2007

The Risk of a U.S. Hard Landing and Implications for the Global Economy and Financial Markets

Nouriel Roubini Sep 13, 2007

World Map of the U.S. Subprime Fallout

Mikka Pineda Aug 01, 2007

The Instability of the Bretton Woods 2 Regime

Rachel Ziemba Jul 15, 2007

The Direct Link Between Housing and Consumption: Wealth Effect and Home Equity Withdrawal

Nouriel Roubini and Christian Menegatti Apr 14, 2007

Mortgage-Backed Securities, Derivatives, and Indexes: An Introduction

Elisa Parisi-Capone Mar 27, 2007

The U.S. Housing Recession is Still Far from Bottoming Out

Nouriel Roubini and Christian Menegatti Mar 15, 2007

Why China Should Abandon Its Dollar Peg

Nouriel Roubini Jan 14, 2007

Eight Market Spins About Housing by Perma-Bull Spin-Doctors... and the Reality of the Coming Ugliest Housing Bust Ever

Nouriel Roubini Aug 26, 2006

The Biggest Slump in U.S. Housing in the Last 40 Years... or 53 Years?

Nouriel Roubini Aug 23, 2006

Global Imbalances and Risks of a U.S. and Global Slowdown in 2006

Nouriel Roubini Jun 01, 2006

The Unsustainability of the U.S. Twin Deficits: Risks and Vulnerabilities in the Global Economy

Nouriel Roubini Apr 01, 2006

Trends and Forecasts for the U.S. and Global Economy in 2006

Nouriel Roubini Jan 08, 2006

The Sustainability of the U.S. External Imbalances (Revisited)

Nouriel Roubini and Brad Setser May 01, 2005

Will the Bretton Woods 2 Regime Unravel Soon? The Risk of a Hard Landing in 2005-2006

Nouriel Roubini and Brad Setser Feb 01, 2005

The U.S. as a Net Debtor: The Sustainability of the U.S. External Imbalances

Nouriel Roubini and Brad Setser Nov 17, 2004

EconoMonitors

Finance & Markets Monitor

Bank Securitization Woes Only the Beginning

Yves Smith Feb 8, 2010

Finance & Markets Monitor

Goldman Sachs vs AIG

Barry Ritholtz Feb 8, 2010

US EconoMonitor

Who's Killing Financial Reform

Robert Reich Feb 8, 2010

Nouriel Roubini's EconoMonitor

Roubini Bloomberg Interview on Sovereign Debt and U.S. Outlook

Nouriel Roubini Feb 6, 2010

Finance & Markets Monitor

Another View: Looking Beyond the Volcker Rule

Daniel Alpert Feb 5, 2010

Finance & Markets Monitor

Debunking Some AIG/FED/CDO Theories

Yves Smith Feb 5, 2010

Finance & Markets Monitor

Causation Analysis: What “But Fors” Caused the Crisis ?

Barry Ritholtz Feb 5, 2010

Nouriel Roubini's EconoMonitor

Sovereign Risk Meets Sovereign Reality

Ian Bremmer and Nouriel Roubini Feb 5, 2010

Global Macro EconoMonitor

Impulse and Propagation Mechanisms and Regulatory Reform

Joseph Mason Feb 3, 2010

RGE Analysts' EconoMonitor

RGE's Wednesday Note - Obama’s Recent Regulatory and Fiscal Proposals

Elisa Parisi-Capone, Parul Walia, and Arpitha Bykere Feb 3, 2010

Emerging Markets Monitor

Stiglitz’s New Book and the Developing Countries

Otaviano Canuto Feb 2, 2010

US EconoMonitor

Budget Sense and Nonsense

James Kwak Feb 2, 2010

Peterson Institute for International Economics Monitor

How the United States Can Become an Export Giant

Steve Weisman and Howard F. Rosen Feb 2, 2010

Finance & Markets Monitor

Where’s the Bubble: Stocks or Bonds?

Barry Ritholtz Feb 2, 2010

US EconoMonitor

Volcker Rule: Dead on Arrival? And is Obama a Lame Duck?

Yves Smith Feb 2, 2010

Global Macro EconoMonitor

Global Consumer Confidence is Currently Less than Stellar

Rebecca Wilder Feb 2, 2010

US EconoMonitor

Fischisms: The Economic Bandwagon - Potholes Could Make for an Uncomfortable Derailment

Gene Fisch, Jr. and Archana Sivadasan Feb 1, 2010

Global Macro EconoMonitor

Despite Strong GDP Growth Energy Prices Sink Lower

Darrell Delamaide Feb 1, 2010

Finance & Markets Monitor

Populism

Simon Johnson Jan 31, 2010

Finance & Markets Monitor

Volcker Rule Chatter

Barry Ritholtz Jan 31, 2010

US EconoMonitor

GDP up 5.7%, Fastest Rate Since 2003

Edward Harrison Jan 31, 2010

US EconoMonitor

Hearts and Minds

Mark Thoma Jan 31, 2010

Global Macro EconoMonitor

Unemployment Rates: U.S. Versus the Rest of the World

Rebecca Wilder Jan 31, 2010

US EconoMonitor

Obama Needs to Teach the Public how to Get Out of the Mess We're in, But He's Not

Robert Reich Jan 29, 2010

Finance & Markets Monitor

The CEO Pay Slice

Lucian Bebchuk Jan 29, 2010

Peterson Institute for International Economics Monitor

The Financial System: Heading for More Trouble

Steve Weisman and Simon Johnson Jan 28, 2010

RGE Analysts' EconoMonitor

Fake Left, Cut Right, Drive Down the Middle

Michael Moran Jan 28, 2010

US EconoMonitor

Obama's Tiny Jobs Ideas for Main Street, a Big Spending Freeze for Wall Street

Robert Reich Jan 27, 2010

Nouriel Roubini's EconoMonitor

Roubini CNN Money, Forbes.com, CNBC, and Bloomberg Interviews at Davos

Nouriel Roubini Jan 27, 2010

Nouriel Roubini's EconoMonitor

Nouriel Roubini on the 2010 Economy: NEWSWEEK & YouTube

Nouriel Roubini Jan 27, 2010

US EconoMonitor

Letter to Ben Bernanke

Joseph Mason Jan 26, 2010

US EconoMonitor

It's about the Money...Really

James Picerno Jan 26, 2010

US EconoMonitor

The Good, the Bad and the Irrelevant

Models & Agents Jan 26, 2010

US EconoMonitor

Obama Wants to Limit Government Spending Despite High Unemployment and a Fragile Economy

Mark Thoma Jan 26, 2010

Finance & Markets Monitor

Bailouts: Catching a Falling Knife

Edward Harrison Jan 25, 2010

Global Macro EconoMonitor

Botox Cures – Part 1

Satyajit Das Jan 25, 2010

Finance & Markets Monitor

Is the “Volcker Rule” More than a Marketing Slogan?

Simon Johnson Jan 24, 2010

US EconoMonitor

What the "I'm Mad-As-Hell" Party Could Do

Robert Reich Jan 24, 2010

Finance & Markets Monitor

Did Brown’s Win Spark Obama’s War on Wall Street?

Edward Harrison Jan 22, 2010

Nouriel Roubini's EconoMonitor

Roubini Bloomberg Video and Report from the Asian Financial Forum in Hong Kong

Nouriel Roubini Jan 22, 2010

Finance & Markets Monitor

Clearly this is Their First Rodeo

Mark Thoma Jan 22, 2010

Finance & Markets Monitor

Secretary Geithner Needs to Get with the Program

Simon Johnson Jan 22, 2010

Finance & Markets Monitor

Please, Listen to the Man

Daniel Alpert Jan 21, 2010

Finance & Markets Monitor

Why Obama is Now (finally) Getting Tough on Wall Street

Robert Reich Jan 21, 2010

Finance & Markets Monitor

Obama to Propose Rules to Restrict Proprietary Trading

Yves Smith Jan 21, 2010

Finance & Markets Monitor

Obama Proposes Volcker-Style Financial Reform

Mark Thoma Jan 21, 2010

US EconoMonitor

The Frequency of Economic Statistics Matters at Turning Points

Rebecca Wilder Jan 21, 2010

US EconoMonitor

Iran Will have the Bomb in 5 Years (Again)

Fabius Maximus Jan 21, 2010

US EconoMonitor

Grading Obama’s Economic Policy after One Year

Edward Harrison Jan 20, 2010

US EconoMonitor

The Election of Scott Brown

James Picerno Jan 20, 2010

Global Macro EconoMonitor

EMH Funeral Oration

Satyajit Das Jan 20, 2010

US EconoMonitor

Who Bears the Costs of Post-Crisis Recovery ?

Barry Ritholtz Jan 20, 2010

Finance & Markets Monitor

Taxing Bailed-Out Financial Institutions

Mark Thoma Jan 20, 2010

Finance & Markets Monitor

Breaking the Banks

Rick Bookstaber Jan 20, 2010

US EconoMonitor

Bernanke’s Sorcery Will Fail

Arun Motianey Jan 19, 2010

Peterson Institute for International Economics Monitor

Will Sanctions Against Iran Work This Time?

Jeffrey J. Schott and Steve Weisman Jan 19, 2010

US EconoMonitor

Government Payroll across U.S. Presidencies

Rebecca Wilder Jan 19, 2010

US EconoMonitor

The Outlook for 2010: A Critique of Modern Monetary Policy

Joseph Mason Jan 19, 2010

Finance & Markets Monitor

Why Banks Should Clean up their House and How they Can Take Advantage of the Opportunity of Modern Times

Carlo Resta Jan 18, 2010

Nouriel Roubini's EconoMonitor

The Risky Rich

Nouriel Roubini Jan 18, 2010

US EconoMonitor

It's Not about Interest Rates Yet

Tim Duy Jan 15, 2010

Finance & Markets Monitor

Does Conventional Wisdom Miss the Boat on Banker Bonuses?

Rene Stulz Jan 15, 2010

Peterson Institute for International Economics Monitor

A Growing US-China Rift

Nicholas R. Lardy and Steve Weisman Jan 14, 2010

RGE Analysts' EconoMonitor

Risk of a Chinese Bust?

Rachel Ziemba Jan 14, 2010

Peterson Institute for International Economics Monitor

Monetary Policy and Asset Bubbles in 2010

Joseph E. Gagnon Jan 13, 2010

RGE Analysts' EconoMonitor

Nigeria’s Presidency: Fallout Scenarios from Yar’Adua Health Scare?

Lee Hudson Teslik Jan 13, 2010

US EconoMonitor

Why Obama Must Take On Wall Street

Robert Reich Jan 13, 2010

US EconoMonitor

Will We Get ''Sensible, Comprehensive Financial Reform"?

Mark Thoma Jan 13, 2010

RGE Analysts' EconoMonitor

RGE's Wednesday Note - Sovereign Debt: The Developed World’s Next Big Problem?

Arpitha Bykere Jan 13, 2010

Finance & Markets Monitor

The Outlook for 2010: Bank Failures and Bank Losses Ahead

Joseph Mason Jan 12, 2010

Finance & Markets Monitor

More from "The Lion"

James Kwak Jan 12, 2010

Finance & Markets Monitor

The Financial Crisis Inquiry Commission: Ready For A Breakthrough

Simon Johnson Jan 12, 2010

Latin America Economonitor

Peru: Hands across the Amazon

Walter Molano Jan 12, 2010

Emerging Markets Monitor

East vs. West

Walter Molano Jan 11, 2010

US EconoMonitor

It's All about Jobs...and Interest Rates

James Picerno Jan 11, 2010

Emerging Markets Monitor

Everyone Wants to Talk about Currencies

Michael Pettis Jan 11, 2010

US EconoMonitor

The Most Stunning (and Uncommented on) Revelation in Too Big Too Fail

Yves Smith Jan 11, 2010

US EconoMonitor

The Case for a Supertax on Big Bank Bonuses

Simon Johnson Jan 11, 2010

US EconoMonitor

More Employment Charts

Barry Ritholtz Jan 11, 2010

Finance & Markets Monitor

Regulators Seek to Throw Light on Hedge Fund Impact in Energy Trading

Darrell Delamaide Jan 11, 2010

US EconoMonitor

The Bad Job Numbers and the Secret Second Stimulus

Robert Reich Jan 11, 2010

US EconoMonitor

The Letter and the Spirit of Monetary Policy

Models & Agents Jan 11, 2010

US EconoMonitor

A Job-Rich US Recovery is Still Plausible

Mark Thoma Jan 11, 2010

Finance & Markets Monitor

Error vs. Fraud

Alex Pollock Jan 8, 2010

Finance & Markets Monitor

An Entente Cordiale for the Big Banks?

Roy C. Smith and Ingo Walter Jan 8, 2010

Finance & Markets Monitor

Don’t Forget Financial Sector Reform

John Lipsky Jan 7, 2010

Global Macro EconoMonitor

World Income Distribution: Not Normal

Rebecca Wilder Jan 7, 2010

RGE Analysts' EconoMonitor

Dodd Unbound

Michael Moran Jan 6, 2010

US EconoMonitor

A Look at Our Government’s Debt – Rising Because We Like to Spend

Fabius Maximus Jan 6, 2010

US EconoMonitor

Let Them Eat Lobster!

Yves Smith Jan 6, 2010

US EconoMonitor

Bernanke Grades the Fed

James Hamilton Jan 6, 2010

US EconoMonitor

Controlled-Burn Inflation

Rick Bookstaber Jan 6, 2010

Global Macro EconoMonitor

"All Serious Economists Agree"

Simon Johnson Jan 6, 2010

US EconoMonitor

Chart du Jour: No Signs of Imminent Rate Hike

Prieur du Plessis Jan 6, 2010

RGE Analysts' EconoMonitor

Could Capital Inflows to EM be Slowing?

Rachel Ziemba and Christian Menegatti Jan 5, 2010

US EconoMonitor

52% of Small Businesses See Conditions Worsening in Next Six Months

Yves Smith Jan 5, 2010

Finance & Markets Monitor

Yet More Financial Innovation

James Kwak Jan 5, 2010

Europe EconoMonitor

A Decade to Tip the World to the East

David Smith Jan 5, 2010

US EconoMonitor

Stopping Counter-Productive Mortgage Mods and Foreclosure Abatements

Barry Ritholtz Jan 5, 2010

US EconoMonitor

Pension Disaster Makes States and Cities into Financial Basket Cases

Edward Harrison Jan 5, 2010

US EconoMonitor

Out of the Gate with a Bang

Tim Duy Jan 5, 2010

US EconoMonitor

Picture du Jour: The Lost Decade for the U.S. Economy

Prieur du Plessis Jan 4, 2010

US EconoMonitor

What's Ahead for the Economy and Politics in 2010

Robert Reich Jan 4, 2010

US EconoMonitor

No to Bernanke

James Kwak Jan 4, 2010

US EconoMonitor

Bernanke Still Does Not Understand Credit Crisis

Barry Ritholtz Jan 4, 2010

Finance & Markets Monitor

Are the Easy Gains Behind Us?

James Picerno Jan 4, 2010

Emerging Markets Monitor

Inflation in China

James Hamilton Jan 4, 2010

Global Macro EconoMonitor

Asia Tells the West to Get Off its High Horse

Edward Harrison Jan 4, 2010

Emerging Markets Monitor

China New Year, and One More Vote for GDP-Adjusted Bonds

Michael Pettis Jan 4, 2010

Global Macro EconoMonitor

Why Economists Failed to Anticipate the Financial Crisis

Edward Harrison Jan 3, 2010

Nouriel Roubini's EconoMonitor

Why Japan Needs a 'Hatobama'

Nouriel Roubini Dec 31, 2009

Finance & Markets Monitor

On Goldman’s (and Now Morgan Stanley’s) Deceptive Synthetic CDO Practices

Yves Smith Dec 30, 2009

US EconoMonitor

The Power of Conventional Wisdom

James Kwak Dec 30, 2009

Peterson Institute for International Economics Monitor

A Jobless Recovery?

Steve Weisman and Michael Mussa Dec 29, 2009

Global Macro EconoMonitor

How Important Is Structural Unemployment in the Current Recession/Recovery?

Menzie Chinn Dec 29, 2009

Finance & Markets Monitor

The Fairness of Financial Rescue

Mark Thoma Dec 29, 2009

US EconoMonitor

What Happened to the Fiscal Stimulus Multiplier

Edward Harrison Dec 29, 2009

US EconoMonitor

Case Shiller Home Prices: Improvement Moderating

Barry Ritholtz Dec 29, 2009

US EconoMonitor

Why Christmas Eve?

Tim Duy Dec 29, 2009

Global Macro EconoMonitor

The Prospects for Global Imbalances: A View from the IMF

Menzie Chinn Dec 28, 2009

Finance & Markets Monitor

Lost Decade for Stocks

James Hamilton Dec 28, 2009

Finance & Markets Monitor

Change the Bathwater, Keep the Baby

David E. Altig Dec 28, 2009

US EconoMonitor

Government Economic Stimulus is Financial Heroin

Fabius Maximus Dec 28, 2009

Finance & Markets Monitor

Pomboy: A Looming New Credit-Bust

Barry Ritholtz Dec 28, 2009

US EconoMonitor

Will a New Year Bring New Jobs?

James Picerno Dec 28, 2009

US EconoMonitor

Double Dip Recession and the Perverse Math of GDP Reporting

Edward Harrison Dec 28, 2009

Emerging Markets Monitor

The Pace of Change

Michael Pettis Dec 28, 2009

US EconoMonitor

2009: The Year Wall Street Bounced Back and Main Street Got Shafted

Robert Reich Dec 28, 2009

US EconoMonitor

Recession Slammed Domestic Migration

Rebecca Wilder Dec 26, 2009

Finance & Markets Monitor

Should Investment Firms Bet Against Their Clients?

Barry Ritholtz Dec 24, 2009

Emerging Markets Monitor

China Secures Gas Supply From Turkmenistan: Who’s the True Winner?

Philip H. de Leon Dec 23, 2009

US EconoMonitor

Gravity will Drag the $U.S.

Rebecca Wilder Dec 23, 2009

Nouriel Roubini's EconoMonitor

Roubini's Latest Project Syndicate Op-Ed: The Gold Bubble and the Gold Bugs

Nouriel Roubini Dec 23, 2009

RGE Analysts' EconoMonitor

Collateral Damage

Nouriel Roubini and Arpitha Bykere Dec 23, 2009

RGE Analysts' EconoMonitor

RGE's Wednesday Note - Energy Insecurity in 2010 and Beyond?

Rachel Ziemba Dec 23, 2009

US EconoMonitor

If Wall Street Ran the Airlines...

James Kwak Dec 22, 2009

Finance & Markets Monitor

The Asset Allocation Challenge Springs Eternal

James Picerno Dec 22, 2009

Finance & Markets Monitor

As Financials Fade, S&P500 Loses Momentum

Barry Ritholtz Dec 21, 2009

Finance & Markets Monitor

Who Should be Bailed Out?

Lucian Bebchuk Dec 21, 2009

US EconoMonitor

Is Investment Depressed by an "Anti-Business" Climate?

Jeffrey Frankel Dec 21, 2009

US EconoMonitor

It’s Certainly Not for a Lack of Effort

Simon Johnson Dec 21, 2009

Finance & Markets Monitor

Ben and his Avatar

Models & Agents Dec 21, 2009

US EconoMonitor

Moving Away from Stimulus Happy Talk to Focus on Malinvestment

Edward Harrison Dec 21, 2009

US EconoMonitor

How Bad Biology Killed the Economy

Mark Thoma Dec 21, 2009

US EconoMonitor

The 2010 Census: Economic Impact Probably Overrated

Rebecca Wilder Dec 21, 2009

US EconoMonitor

Slouching Toward Health Care Reform

Robert Reich Dec 18, 2009

US EconoMonitor

Small Steps and Health Care Costs

James Kwak Dec 18, 2009

Global Macro EconoMonitor

Economy Slowly Improving but Risks Posed by Weak Employment and Tight Credit Remain

John Graham and Kate O'Sullivan Dec 18, 2009

Global Macro EconoMonitor

Exit Strategy? Eastbound

Roberto Tamborini Dec 17, 2009

Global Macro EconoMonitor

Progress on Global Warming is not yet in Evidence in Copenhagen

Jeffrey Frankel Dec 16, 2009

US EconoMonitor

Better News on the Jobs Front: Layoffs Down, Temp Hiring Up

Laurel Graefe and Menbere Shiferaw Dec 16, 2009

US EconoMonitor

The Final Days of the Great Liquidity?

James Picerno Dec 16, 2009

US EconoMonitor

Should the Fed be the Nation's Bubble Fighter?

James Hamilton Dec 16, 2009

US EconoMonitor

The House Solution to Private Firms that are Too-big-to-fail is to make them Public Government Sponsored Enterprises

Joseph Mason Dec 16, 2009

Nouriel Roubini's EconoMonitor

Wednesday Note - Deja Vu: Will the U.S. Undergo a Reprise of 1937?

Mikka Pineda Dec 16, 2009

US EconoMonitor

Should Taxes be Progressive?

Mark Thoma Dec 15, 2009

Finance & Markets Monitor

Wake Up, Gentlemen

Simon Johnson Dec 15, 2009

Finance & Markets Monitor

Investors Should Control Financial Regulation

Ann Lee Dec 15, 2009

US EconoMonitor

Obama and the Fat Cat Bankers

Edward Harrison Dec 14, 2009

Finance & Markets Monitor

Too Big to File Suit?

Mark Thoma Dec 14, 2009

Finance & Markets Monitor

FDIC Bank Failures

Barry Ritholtz Dec 13, 2009

US EconoMonitor

We Face a Real Challenge in Dealing with that Feeling that the Crisis is Over

Mark Thoma Dec 13, 2009

US EconoMonitor

U.S. FDI, Growth, and the Capital Stock Abroad

Rebecca Wilder Dec 13, 2009

Nouriel Roubini's EconoMonitor

The New Bubble in the Barbarous Relic that Is Gold

Nouriel Roubini Dec 11, 2009

US EconoMonitor

Matt Taibbi: Obama’s Big Sellout

Edward Harrison Dec 11, 2009

US EconoMonitor

A Few Words on Health Care Reform and Medicare Buy-In

James Kwak Dec 11, 2009

US EconoMonitor

How a Few Private Health Insurers Are on the Way to Controlling Health Care

Robert Reich Dec 11, 2009

Finance & Markets Monitor

Too Important to Fail?

Jose Vinals Dec 9, 2009

Global Macro EconoMonitor

Buiter: “It’s Five Minutes to Midnight for Greece”

Edward Harrison Dec 9, 2009

Peterson Institute for International Economics Monitor

The Dollar and the Deficits: How Washington Can Prevent the Next Crisis

C. Fred Bergsten Dec 9, 2009

Global Macro EconoMonitor

Global Growth Forecasts - Seeing is Believing?

Claus Vistesen Dec 9, 2009

US EconoMonitor

Another Rescue Plan Comes in Below the Original Price Tag

David E. Altig Dec 9, 2009

US EconoMonitor

The President's Jobs Initiative Doesn't Measure Up

Robert Reich Dec 9, 2009

Finance & Markets Monitor

Gerry Corrigan’s Case for Large Integrated Financial Groups

Simon Johnson Dec 9, 2009

US EconoMonitor

Average Weekly Hours Worked, NFP Changes

Barry Ritholtz Dec 8, 2009

US EconoMonitor

Non-Reform of Rating Agencies

Yves Smith Dec 8, 2009

US EconoMonitor

Deficit Links

James Hamilton Dec 8, 2009

Global Macro EconoMonitor

Carbon: The New Financial Frontier

Joseph Mason Dec 8, 2009

RGE Analysts' EconoMonitor

CoCos: No Antidote to Go-Go Boom-Bust Cycles

Jennifer Kapila and Arnab Das Dec 8, 2009

Finance & Markets Monitor

Stiglitz: Too Big to Live

Mark Thoma Dec 8, 2009

Finance & Markets Monitor

Too Efficient NOT to Consolidate

Rebecca Wilder Dec 7, 2009

Emerging Markets Monitor

The Difficult Arithmetic of Chinese Consumption

Michael Pettis Dec 7, 2009

US EconoMonitor

Structural and Cyclical

Tim Duy Dec 7, 2009

US EconoMonitor

Ten Ways to Move the Budget Back Toward a Sustainable Path

Jeffrey Frankel Dec 7, 2009

US EconoMonitor

The Drop in Unemployment is Give Back from the Prior Month

Edward Harrison Dec 7, 2009

Finance & Markets Monitor

Bankers had Cashed in Before the Music Stopped

Lucian Bebchuk Dec 7, 2009

Finance & Markets Monitor

The Importance of Capital Requirements

James Kwak Dec 7, 2009

Finance & Markets Monitor

Measuring the Fiscal Costs of Not Fixing the Financial System

Simon Johnson Dec 7, 2009

Finance & Markets Monitor

Did Bank Executives Lose Enough to Learn their Lesson?

Mark Thoma Dec 7, 2009

Finance & Markets Monitor

What is the Rally Telling Us?

Barry Ritholtz Dec 6, 2009

US EconoMonitor

Deposits in Failed Banks as a Percent of GDP

Mark Thoma Dec 6, 2009

US EconoMonitor

Worrisome Thoughts on the Way to the Jobs Summit

Robert Reich Dec 4, 2009

US EconoMonitor

Reaching for Yield in the Post-TARP Era

Edward Harrison Dec 4, 2009

Global Macro EconoMonitor

Savings Gluts and Bubbles

Mark Thoma Dec 4, 2009

Nouriel Roubini's EconoMonitor

Senator Chris Dodd Raises Roubini Predictions at Bernanke Confirmation Hearings

Nouriel Roubini Dec 3, 2009

Emerging Markets Monitor

Parting the Bamboo Curtain Part 2 - Rescuing the Dragon

Satyajit Das Dec 2, 2009

US EconoMonitor

University Bonds: Are the Ties that Bind Too Long?

Melissa Fabros Dec 2, 2009

Finance & Markets Monitor

Prompt Corrective Action for All is Unnecessary and Unworkable

Joseph Mason Dec 1, 2009

US EconoMonitor

The Housing Crisis and Wall Street Shame

Robert Reich Nov 30, 2009

Global Macro EconoMonitor

Historical Rhymes

James Picerno Nov 30, 2009

Daily Digest

Analysis

Q4 2009 Preliminary Bank Stress Ratings; OTC Derivatives: Is the DTCC Too Big To Fail?

Institutional Risk Analyst  Feb 9, 2010

Research

The Financial Crisis: Causes and Lessons - Ending Government Bailouts as We Know Them Part I – The Crisis

SSRN  Kenneth E. Scott Dec 10, 2009

Research

It Pays to Violate: How Effective are the Basel Accord Penalties in Encouraging Risk Management?

SSRN  Michael McAleer, Bernardo Da Veiga and Felix Chan Jan 12, 2010

Analysis

Half-Speed Recovery after the “Great Recession”

PNC  Stuart G. Hoffman, Robert A. Dye and Craig F. Thomas Feb 9, 2010

Analysis

Muddling Out of Freefall

Project Syndicate  Joseph E. Stiglitz Feb 5, 2010

Blogs

Reactions to last week's economic data

Econbrowser  Feb 9, 2010

Analysis

Mergers & Acquisitions in the Aerospace and Defense Industry: What’s Next?

Deloitte  Feb 5, 2010

Analysis

United States: Substantial gains in the short and intermediate part of the curve and little change at the long end caused the Treasury yield curve to steepen back to near record levels

Morgan Stanley  Ted Wieseman Feb 9, 2010

Analysis

The Regulatory Muddle Continues

Lord Abbett  Feb 9, 2010

Analysis

Policy Uncertainty Clouds the Outlook

Morgan Stanley  Feb 9, 2010

Blogs

What Changes Are Needed in the U.S. Financial System? - a “pseudo-interview” with William Dudley

Maximum Utility  Feb 8, 2010

Analysis

2009 Private Equity Real Estate Fundraising at a Five-Year Low

Preqin  Preqin Research Feb 5, 2010

News

Is the Market ‘Priced for Perfection’?

New York Times  Paul Lim Feb 6, 2010

Analysis

United States: Q1 2010 Outlook

RGE  Christian Menegatti, Mikka Pineda, Arpitha Bykere and Prajakta Bhide Feb 9, 2010

News

Nasdaq critical of trading proposals

FT  Feb 9, 2010

News

Shorting of European ETFs doubles

FT Fund Management  Steve Johnson Feb 7, 2010

Analysis

Hedge Funds: 2009 Review and 2010 Outlook

Moody's  Moody's Global Credit Research Jan 29, 2010

Analysis

Private Equity Fundraising Results: 2009

Preqin  Preqin Research Feb 1, 2010

Analysis

U.S. Job Openings and Labor Turnover December 2009

U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics  Feb 9, 2010

News

Clinton presses European Parliament to back terror data deal

EU Business  Feb 9, 2010

Analysis

Why Obama Is Ignoring Europe

  Feb 9, 2010

News

Greek rescue hopes help bourses regain their poise

FT  Jamie Chisholm Feb 9, 2010

Analysis

U.S. Monthly Wholesale Trade: Sales and Inventories December 2009

U.S. Census Bureau  Feb 9, 2010

News

U.S. Small Businesses Remain Pessimistic Over Economy

National Federation of Independent Business  Feb 9, 2010

Analysis

Interest Rates Following Financial Re-regulation

Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago  Jeffrey R. Campbell and Zvi Hercowitz Feb 8, 2010

Analysis

Percentage of Oversold Stocks At Highest Level Since March 2009

Bespoke Investment Group  Feb 9, 2010

Analysis

Big Trouble With Big China

Foreign Policy  John Lee Feb 2, 2010

News

Wall Street sinks on sovereign debt fears

FT  Samantha Pearson Feb 8, 2010

Blogs

Up On Earnings And Down Since

Bespoke Investment Group  Feb 8, 2010

Analysis

Fed`s MBS exit could lift US Treasury yields

Money Control  Jennifer Ablan Jan 21, 2010

News

Credit Fears Keep a Lid on Stocks

Wall Street Journal  Peter A. Mckay and Kristina Peterson Feb 8, 2010

News

UPDATE: Fed's Dudley: 'Prudent' To Reduce MBS Program - PBS

Wall Street Journal  Michael Casey Jan 13, 2010

Analysis

Bernanke's Exit Strategy: Tighter Reserve Requirements

Wall Street Journal  Andy Kessler Feb 3, 2010

Blogs

S&P increases loss assumptions for mortgage securities, downgrades 12,000+ RMBS

Research Recap  Feb 2, 2010

News

China Barely Tops U.S. in Smart Grid Stimulus Spending

Environmental Leader  Jan 27, 2010

News

Geothermal Power Projects Grow 46% in 2009

Environmental Leader  Jan 27, 2010

News

China Edges U.S. in 2009 Wind Installations

Environmental Leader  Feb 4, 2010

Analysis

Regulators take aim at unrealised derivatives profits

Risk.net  Duncan Wood Feb 8, 2010

Analysis

Quarterly Survey of Commercial/Multifamily Mortgage Bankers Originations, Fourth Quarter 2009

Mortgage Bankers Association  Feb 2, 2010

Blogs

S&P: US banks back from the brink but mortgages still a problem

Research Recap / S&P  Feb 3, 2010

Blogs

Hedge Fund Industry 2010 Outlook: The Bull Case

Zero Hedge  Feb 8, 2010

Blogs

Upgrade Monday Falls To Boost Stocks

The Pragmatic Capitalist  Feb 8, 2010

Analysis

EPA Issues Renewable Fuel Standards: What It Means for 1st and 2nd Generation Biofuels

Greentech Media  Joshua Kagan Feb 5, 2010

Analysis

It’s a V-Shaped Recovery: Not “Trudging”

First Trust  Robert Stein and Brian Wesbury Feb 8, 2010

News

Obama may drop cap and trade to squeeze climate bill through congress

Business Green  Danny Bradbury Feb 5, 2010

News

U.S. Wind Energy Breaks Record in 2009: Can Wind Power Continue to Grow?

Seeking Alpha  John Addison Feb 3, 2010

Analysis

China/USA politics: Permafrost?

Economist Intelligence Unit  Feb 5, 2010

Blogs

Moody’s continues to have longer term concerns about banks with outsized CRE concentrations

Research Recap / Moody's  Feb 5, 2010

Blogs

US CMBS delinquency rate hits 6%, and is headed higher

Research Recap  Feb 5, 2010

News

Jumbo Mortgage ‘Serious Delinquencies’ Rise to 9.6%, Fitch Says

Bloomberg  Jody Shenn Feb 8, 2010

Blogs

Bank Securitization Woes Only Beginning

naked capitalism  Feb 8, 2010

Blogs

Lag in Job Numbers Behind GDP Growth is No Worse than in Past Recoveries

Jeffrey Frankel's Blog  Jeffey Frankel Feb 5, 2010

News

Moody’s warns US of credit rating fears

Financial Times  Gillian Tett and Michael Mackenzie Feb 3, 2010

Analysis

Germany: Facing the crisis | South Korea: The banking system has well withstood the crisis | United States: Job report (January)

BNP Paribas  Eric Vergnaud et al and Equipe Economies OCDE Feb 8, 2010

News

S&P 500 Plunge Fails to Shake Gabelli on Technology

Bloomberg  Lynn Thomasson, Jeff Kearns and Rita Nazareth Feb 8, 2010

News

US links EU security partnership to bank data deal

EU Observer  Valentina Pop Feb 8, 2010

Opinions

US: Why Politics Is Stuck in the Middle

New York Times  Tyler Cowen Feb 6, 2010

Blogs

Federal Debt: More Time Series

Econbrowser  Menzie Chinn Feb 6, 2010

Blogs

Euro Falling, US Recovery Under Threat

The Baseline Scenario  Simon Johnson Feb 7, 2010

Blogs

Fiscal Death Spiral

Daily Beast  Edward Alden Feb 1, 2010

Blogs

Jobs and the Unemployment Rate

Calculated Risk  Feb 6, 2010

Blogs

Jobs and the Unemployment Rate

Calculated Risk  Feb 6, 2010

Blogs

Credit Risk Chronicles: FDIC Proposes Tough-Minded Securitization Reforms; Industry Howls

Credit Risk Chronicles  Cormick Grimshaw Feb 2, 2010

Research

Constant Proportion Debt Obligations: A Post-Mortem Analysis of Rating Models

Federal Reserve Board  Michael B. Gordy and Sren Willemann Feb 6, 2010

Analysis

SIFMA SmartBrief Special Report: Derivatives Clearing and Settlement

Credit Risk Chronicles  Feb 6, 2010

Analysis

Securitisation's existential crisis puts growth at risk

Financial Times  Aline van Duyn Feb 6, 2010

News

Weekly Natural Gas Storage Report

U.S. Energy Information Administration  EIA Feb 4, 2010

Blogs

Is Good News Hidden in Bad Employment Numbers?

macroblog  David Altig Feb 5, 2010

Analysis

Governors’ New Budgets Indicate Loss of Many Jobs if Federal Aid Expires

Center on Budget and Policy Priorities  Nicholas Johnson, Phil Oliff and Erica Williams Feb 5, 2010

News

Global Financial Stability Report:Navigating the Financial Challenges Ahead

IMF  Oct 9, 2010

News

U.S. Stock-Index Futures Fluctuate; CIT, Home Depot Advance

Bloomberg  Daniela Silberstein and Rita Nazareth Feb 8, 2010

Analysis

S&P 500: Four Sectors Down 10% Since 1/19

Bespoke Investment Group  Feb 5, 2010

Blogs

S&P 500 Now 3 Standard Deviations Below 50-DMA

Bespoke Investment Group  Feb 5, 2010

Analysis

Credit Markets Continue To Wave The Warning Flag

The Pragmatic Capitalist  Feb 5, 2010

News

More Common Sense from Jack Bogle

Morningstar  Jan 5, 2010

Analysis

David Rosenberg: S&P 900 Here We Come!

The Pragmatic Capitalist  Feb 5, 2010

Analysis

The Weekly Bottom Line February 05, 2010: ISM index; U.S. non-farm payrolls; U.S. unemployment rate falls; Canadian financial markets; Canadian labor market

TD Bank Economics  James Marple et al Feb 5, 2010

News

Risk Aversion Could Yet Reverse

Wall Street Journal  Richard Barley Feb 5, 2010

Analysis

U.S. Consumer Credit December 2009

Federal Reserve Board  Feb 5, 2010

Opinions

Bond ETFs: Beware of a Bubble

ETF Trends  Tom Lydon Jan 28, 2010

Opinions

Are Nuclear ETFs the Wave of the Future?

Seeking Alpha  Tom Lydon Feb 4, 2010

News

U.S. Mortgage-Bond Market May Revive, Executives Say

Bloomberg  Jody Shenn Feb 5, 2010

Analysis

Renewables: Crafting national standards

Commodities Now  Feb 3, 2010

News

Obama announces steps to boost biofuels, clean coal

Commodities Now  Feb 3, 2010

News

Cooler climate for Federal C-and-T legislation

Commodities Now  Feb 5, 2010

News

Feed-in tariffs legal in U.S. when certain conditions met

Grist  Paul Gipe Feb 4, 2010

News

How much will nuclear cost U.S. citizens?

Grist  Sue Sturgis Feb 4, 2010

News

Obama seeks to boost nuclear power in new budget

CNET  Jan 31, 2010

News

Fitch: Leveraged Loan Market Rebound Expected to Continue in 2010 But Challenges Remain

BusinessWire  Jan 25, 2010

Analysis

U.S. High Yield Default and Recovery Rates 2009 Review and Outlook

Fitch  Verde and Rosenthal Feb 4, 2010

News

Budget 2011: Investing in Infrastructure

Brookings  Robert Puentes Feb 4, 2010

Opinions

ETF Market Trends: Genuine Dollar Rally Could Be Real Game Changer

Seeking Alpha  J Clinton Hill Jan 31, 2010

Analysis

Green Jobs: Environmental Red Tape Cancels Out Job Creation

Heritage Foundation  Feb 4, 2010

News

Guess Who's Bullish On Mortgages?

CNBC  Bob Pisani Jan 29, 2009

Analysis

Will Fed’s Exit Strategy Bury MBS ETFs?

ETFdb  Eric Dutram Dec 2, 2009

Opinions

Five ETFs for a Recovery in Housing

Seeking Alpha  Eric Dutram Dec 24, 2009

News

Home-Ownership Level Falls to 67.3%

Wall Street Journal  Jeff Bater and Sara Murray Feb 3, 2010

Analysis

Floating – but plain sailing cannot be guaranteed

FT Lex  Jennifer Hughes Feb 2, 2010

Analysis

Is the International Role of the Dollar Changing?

Federal Reserve Bank of New York  Linda S. Goldberg Feb 5, 2010

News

U.S. Renewable Credit Market May Pass Before Carbon, Group Says

Bloomberg  Simon Lomax Feb 5, 2010

RGE GLOBAL ECONOMIC OUTLOOK

Table of Contents

Economic Outlooks:
Global | U.S. | Japan | China | Eurozone
Germany | France | UK | India | Brazil

Global Issues
Growth and CPI | Commodities | Trade | Imbalances

FEATURED ISSUE

U.S. Labor Markets

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Featured Analysis

On the Verge of Job Creation

Christian Menegatti and Arpitha Bykere Feb 05, 2010

“RGE forecasts that payrolls will turn positive in Q1 2010 as the government hires workers for the Census and the private sector, after cutting workforce aggressively during recession, also begins hiring.”

Featured EconoMonitor Post

Europe EconoMonitor

The Option of Last Resort: A Two-Currency EMU

Michael G. Arghyrou and John Tsoukalas Feb 7, 2010

First, we would like to clarify that we are

[...]

FEATURED @ RGE

Canada: Real Estate Sector

Do Vulnerabilities Loom as Canadian Housing Revives?

United States: Industrial and Corporate Sector

U.S. Inventories: Has the Drawdown Come to a Close?

China: Fiscal Policy

Crouching Local Debts, Hidden Risks

Ukraine: Domestic Politics

Ukraine’s Presidential Runoff: Uncertainty Lingers as Prime Minister Refuses to Concede Defeat

United States: Labor Market

Job Losses in the U.S. Bottoming Out: Has the Unemployment Rate Peaked?