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Middle East and North Africa Outlook: Buoyed by Oil, but Political Strains Linger

Stronger oil prices fuel oil exports and facilitate more spending, but overseas demand destruction is a risk for 2013. Government stimulus will support domestic demand, particularly consumption, in the GCC, while the slower pace of EZ deleveraging leaves regional financial centers less exposed. Middle East and North Africa (MENA) oil importers will grow below potential as they face political transition (Egypt, Tunisia), are exposed to strife on their borders (Morocco, Jordan, Syria) and/or are suffering from lower demand from Europe (the Maghreb), with limited ability to stimulate.

Read the latest Middle East and North Africa Outlook

Market Strategy

Emerging Markets Quarterly

Israel: Q1 2012

By Ayah El Said and Natalia Gurushina Jan 26, 2012

Emerging Markets Quarterly

South Africa: Q1 2012

By Maya Senussi, Natalia Gurushina and Ibrahim Gassambe Jan 26, 2012

Market Strategy

The Drive for New Oil: Unconventional Becomes Conventional

By Gary Clark, Rachel Ziemba and Shelley Goldberg Nov 22, 2011

Market Strategy

Emerging Market Crude Oil Demand Unlikely to Wane

By Gary Clark, Shelley Goldberg and Rachel Ziemba Nov 16, 2011

Emerging Markets Quarterly

The Here and Now: Catching Up Is Hard to Do

By Arnab Das, Rachel Ziemba and Christian Menegatti Oct 24, 2011

Emerging Markets Quarterly

Equity: Beware of Momentum

By Gina Sanchez Oct 24, 2011

Emerging Markets Quarterly

Rates/Currencies: In Defense of the Defensive

By Natalia Gurushina Oct 24, 2011

Emerging Markets Quarterly

MENA: Arab Spring Amplifies Vulnerabilities

By Ayah El Said and Rachel Ziemba Oct 24, 2011

Emerging Markets Quarterly

Sub-Saharan Africa: Sheltering From the Storm

By Maya Senussi and Rachel Ziemba Oct 24, 2011

Emerging Markets Quarterly

MENA: Government-Led Credit

By Ayah El Said and Rachel Ziemba Jul 28, 2011

Emerging Markets Quarterly

Sub-Saharan Africa: Crowded Out

By Maya Senussi and Rachel Ziemba Jul 28, 2011

Market Strategy

Measuring EM FX Appreciation Pressures (Part I)

By Natalia Gurushina and Tsolmon Enkhbayar Jul 14, 2011

Market Strategy

Q3 2011 Global Scenario Analysis: HeatMap

By the RGE Market Strategy Team Jul 6, 2011

Cross Asset Monthly

Emerging Markets: Searching for Direction

By Natalia Gurushina Jul 5, 2011

Market Strategy

The Boxing Match of IEA and OPEC: IEA Opens Crude Coffers in 60-Million-Barrels Punch

By Shelley Goldberg and Gary Clark Jun 23, 2011

Cross Asset Monthly

Executive Summary: Know What You Did Last Summer

By Arnab Das Jun 6, 2011

Market Strategy

Orange Juice Shorts Get Squeezed

By Shelley Goldberg May 17, 2011

Market Strategy

The Commodity Defensive Line

By Shelley Goldberg May 5, 2011

Emerging Markets Quarterly

The Here and Now: Finding the Right Middle Ground

By Arnab Das Apr 21, 2011

Emerging Markets Quarterly

MENA: Bump From High Oil Prices Overshadowed

By Ayah El Said and Rachel Ziemba Apr 21, 2011

Emerging Markets Quarterly

Sub-Saharan Africa: Food Pressures

By Maya Senussi and Rachel Ziemba Apr 21, 2011

Emerging Markets Quarterly

Emerging Market Scorecard

By the RGE Economic Research Team Apr 21, 2011

Emerging Markets Quarterly

Fixed Income/Foreign Exchange: Taming Inflation—Mission Impossible?

By Natalia Gurushina Apr 21, 2011

Market Strategy

Uranium: Enhanced Nuclear Oversight Paves the Path to Profits

By Shelley Goldberg Mar 25, 2011

Market Strategy

RGE Oil Sensitivity Index: Outlook Not ROSI for Many EMs

By Natalia Gurushina, David Nowakowski and Tsolmon Enkhbayar Mar 15, 2011

Market Strategy

Crude Oil Price Scenario Analysis

By Shelley Goldberg and Rachel Ziemba Mar 15, 2011

Cross Asset Monthly

Commodities: Oil Supply Shocks—The Crude Facts

By Shelley Goldberg Mar 1, 2011

Cross Asset Monthly

Currencies: Rattling On

By Michael Hart Mar 1, 2011

Cross Asset Monthly

Emerging Markets: There May Be Trouble Ahead

By Natalia Gurushina Mar 1, 2011

Cross Asset Monthly

Global Equity: Balancing Risks With Fundamentals

By Gina Sanchez & Ibrahim Gassambe Mar 1, 2011

Market Strategy

FX Positioning Amid Middle East Turmoil

By Michael Hart Feb 24, 2011

Market Strategy

Is the Brent Premium the New Normal?

By Shelley Goldberg Feb 14, 2011

Market Strategy

Egypt: 'Underweight' as Macro Outlook Remains Problematic

By Natalia Gurushina, Ayah El Said and Rachel Ziemba Feb 14, 2011

Cross Asset Monthly

The Big Picture: It's All Relative

By Arnab Das Feb 8, 2011

Cross Asset Monthly

Commodities: There's No Such Thing as a Free Lunch

By Shelley Goldberg Feb 8, 2011

Cross Asset Monthly

Cross Asset Model Portfolio

By Dayna Goodwin Feb 8, 2011

Market Strategy

Grain Prices: Growing to New Heights

By Shelley Goldberg Feb 1, 2011

Emerging Markets Quarterly

Appendix: Correlations and Volatility in 2010

By David Nowakowski and Tsolmon Enkhbayar Jan 19, 2011

Emerging Markets Quarterly

Commodities: Food and Energy Are in the Driver's Seat on the Road to EM Inflation

By Shelley Goldberg Jan 19, 2011

Emerging Markets Quarterly

Middle East and North Africa: Relying on Fiscal Policy

By Ayah El Said and Rachel Ziemba Jan 19, 2011

Emerging Markets Quarterly

Egypt: Far From Policy Normalization on the Nile

By Rachel Ziemba and Ayah El Said Jan 19, 2011

Emerging Markets Quarterly

Africa: Accommodative Policy Brings Growth

By Rachel Ziemba and Kavitha Cherian Jan 19, 2011

Emerging Markets Quarterly

South Africa: Still Searching for Stimulus

By Kavitha Cherian and Rachel Ziemba Jan 19, 2011

Cross Asset Monthly

Commodities: The Trend is Your Friend—But Beware of the Renegade

By Shelley Goldberg Jan 11, 2011

Market Strategy

Crude Oil: Black Gold?

By Shelley Goldberg, Rachel Ziemba and Gary Clark Dec 8, 2010

Cross Asset Monthly

Commodities: Plant, Dig, Drill, Pray

By Shelley Goldberg Oct 29, 2010

Market Strategy

Emerging Markets Quarterly, October 2010: A Tale of Two Worlds

By the RGE Macroeconomics and Strategy Teams Oct 22, 2010

Emerging Markets Quarterly

Sub-Saharan Africa: Still Struggling to Attract Capital

By Rachel Ziemba and Kavitha Cherian Oct 22, 2010

Emerging Markets Quarterly

Equity: Liquidity Creates Bigger Imbalances

By Gina Sanchez Oct 22, 2010

Emerging Markets Quarterly

Middle East and North Africa: Dominated by Economies on Cusp Between Frontier and Emerging Markets

By Rachel Ziemba and Ayah El Said Oct 22, 2010

Emerging Markets Quarterly

South Africa: Bond Inflows Impair Competitiveness

By Kavitha Cherian Oct 22, 2010

Emerging Markets Quarterly

Appendix: Emerging Markets Scorecard

By The RGE Strategy Team Oct 22, 2010

Market Strategy

Cotton: The Next 'Luxury' Fiber?

By Shelley Goldberg Sep 21, 2010

Cross Asset Monthly

The Big Picture: It Will Get Worse Before it Gets Better

By Arnab Das Aug 31, 2010

Cross Asset Monthly

Credit: Who Gets Their Pound of Flesh?

By David Nowakowski Aug 31, 2010

Cross Asset Monthly

Commodities: No Pain, No Grain

By Shelley Goldberg Aug 31, 2010

Cross Asset Monthly

Emerging Markets: At the Cross Roads

By Natalia Gurushina Aug 31, 2010

Cross Asset Monthly

Fixed Income: Unconventional Policies Create Uncertainty

By Arun Motianey Aug 31, 2010

Cross Asset Monthly

Equities: Über Competitive Germany

By Gina Sanchez Aug 31, 2010

Cross Asset Monthly

Executive Summary: States of Flux: Stay Risk Averse

By Arnab Das Aug 31, 2010

Cross Asset Monthly

Financial Institutions: Cracks in the EZ Façade

By Jennifer Kapila Aug 31, 2010

Market Strategy

Struggling to Break Free: Rising Correlations Part II

By David Nowakowski and Natalia Gurushina Aug 25, 2010

Market Strategy

The History of Risk—Correlations, Volatilities and Z-Scores

By David Nowakowski and Natalia Gurushina Aug 25, 2010

Market Strategy

Q3 2010 Scenario Analysis: Macroeconomic Factors & Asset Class Investment Implications

By Christian Menegatti, Rachel Ziemba, Arnab Das, Arun Motianey, Gina Sanchez, Natalia Gurushina and David Nowakowski Aug 2, 2010

Economic Research

Economic Research

Iran and Oil Scenarios Update: Cooling for Now

By Rachel Ziemba and Gary Clark May 11, 2012

Economic Research

South Africa Policy Debate to Amplify Economic Risks

By Maya Senussi and Rachel Ziemba Apr 30, 2012

Central Bank Watch

Bank of Israel: Rethinking Another Cut

By Rachel Ziemba Apr 19, 2012

Mena Focus

MENA Domestic Divides Raise Risks to Growth—and Oil Prices

By Maya Senussi, Rachel Ziemba, Amir Kamel and Sara Bazoobandi Apr 5, 2012

Central Bank Watch

Central Bank of Egypt: Easing Up

By Maya Senussi Mar 23, 2012

Global Economic Outlook

Gulf Cooperation Council Outlook: Still Booming, Multispeed

By Rachel Ziemba and Maya Senussi Mar 21, 2012

Global Economic Outlook

United Arab Emirates Outlook: Liquidity Helps

By Rachel Ziemba Mar 20, 2012

Global Economic Outlook

Israel Outlook: Political Hot Seat

By Rachel Ziemba Mar 20, 2012

Global Economic Outlook

Sub-Saharan Africa Outlook: Another Strong Year in the Cards

By Maya Senussi and Rachel Ziemba Mar 20, 2012

Global Economic Outlook

Middle East and North Africa Outlook: Buoyed by Oil, but Political Strains Linger

By Rachel Ziemba and Maya Senussi Mar 19, 2012

Global Economic Outlook

Egypt Outlook: It’s All About the Politics

By Maya Senussi and Rachel Ziemba Mar 14, 2012

Global Economic Outlook

Saudi Arabia Outlook: Pumping While the Sun Still Shines

By Rachel Ziemba Mar 13, 2012

Global Economic Outlook

South Africa Outlook: Slightly More Sanguine

By Maya Senussi Mar 9, 2012

Economic Research

Africa’s Balance Sheets: Strong for Now, But Don’t Ignore the Warning Signs

By Maya Senussi and Rachel Ziemba Mar 8, 2012

Economic Research

Syrian Conflict: A Very Ugly Power Struggle

By Maya Senussi Feb 23, 2012

Economic Research

Iran Scenario Analysis: Crude Posturing

By Rachel Ziemba, Shelley Goldberg, and the RGE Economic Research and Market Strategy Teams Feb 22, 2012

Central Bank Watch

South African Reserve Bank: Maintaining Accommodative Stance

By Maya Senussi Feb 9, 2012

Central Bank Watch

Bank of Israel: Room to Cut Rates

By Ayah El Said Feb 9, 2012

Central Bank Watch

Central Bank of Egypt: Rate Hikes Likely in 2012

By Ayah El Said Feb 9, 2012

Economic Research

Crude Oil Scenarios: Iran and the Risks Ahead

By Shelley Goldberg, Gary Clark and Rachel Ziemba Feb 7, 2012

Mena Focus

A Year of Diverging Credit

By Rachel Ziemba, Ayah El Said and Maya Senussi Feb 7, 2012

Economic Research

Egypt’s Reprieve Short-Lived

By Ayah El Said and Rachel Ziemba Feb 2, 2012

Conference Call

Conference Call Replay: Crude Oil—Conflicting Macroeconomic and Geopolitical Forces

By Rachel Ziemba, Shelley Goldberg, Gary Clark and the RGE Market Strategy and Economic Research Teams Jan 18, 2012

Economic Research

Iranian Oil Scenarios: Too Hot to Handle?

By Gary Clark Jan 17, 2012

Economic Research

One Year After the Arab Spring: Assessing the Vulnerable

By Maya Senussi, Ayah El Said, Amir Kamel and Rachel Ziemba Jan 13, 2012

Mena Focus

One Year After the Arab Spring: What Lies Ahead?

By Rachel Ziemba, Maya Senussi and Ayah El Said Jan 13, 2012

Economic Research

Geopolitical Risks Expose Oil Market Stress Points

By Rachel Ziemba Jan 6, 2012

Economic Research

Cabinet Crisis Threatens Iraq's Political and Economic Stability

By Rachel Ziemba and Maya Senussi Dec 22, 2011

Central Bank Watch

Central Bank of Egypt: December Update

By Ayah El Said Dec 15, 2011

Central Bank Watch

South African Reserve Bank: December Update

By Maya Senussi Dec 15, 2011

Central Bank Watch

Bank of Israel: December Update

By Ayah El Said Dec 15, 2011

Global Economic Outlook

Egypt Outlook: Transition of Power Is Key to Recovery

By Ayah El Said Dec 13, 2011

Global Economic Outlook

United Arab Emirates Outlook: Cracks in the Safe Haven

By Rachel Ziemba Dec 12, 2011

Global Economic Outlook

Gulf Cooperation Council Outlook: Weaker Oil Brings Slowdown

By Rachel Ziemba Dec 12, 2011

Global Economic Outlook

Middle East and North Africa Outlook: After the Spring, a Harsh Winter

By Rachel Ziemba, Maya Senussi and Ayah El Said Dec 9, 2011

Global Economic Outlook

Saudi Arabia Outlook: Oil Production Cuts Looming

By Rachel Ziemba Dec 9, 2011

Global Economic Outlook

Sub-Saharan Africa Outlook: Shifting Into a Lower Gear

By Maya Senussi and Rachel Ziemba Dec 9, 2011

Global Economic Outlook

Israel Outlook Update: A Proactive BoI Amid a Slowdown

By Ayah El Said and Rachel Ziemba Dec 7, 2011

Global Economic Outlook

South Africa Outlook: Sub-Par Recovery Hit By Global Woes

By Maya Senussi Dec 2, 2011

Mena Focus

Arab Autumn?

By John Prosser, Rachel Ziemba, Maya Senussi and Ayah El-Said Nov 22, 2011

Economic Research

BRICs in Africa: After More Than Just Resources

By Maya Senussi and Rachel Ziemba Nov 22, 2011

Central Bank Watch

Central Bank of Egypt: November Update

By Ayah El Said Nov 17, 2011

Central Bank Watch

Bank of Israel: November Update

By Ayah El Said Nov 17, 2011

Central Bank Watch

South African Reserve Bank: November Update

By Maya Senussi Nov 17, 2011

Global Economic Outlook

Egypt Outlook Update: Clouded by Political Setbacks

By Ayah El Said Nov 16, 2011

Mena Focus

Arab Spring Turns to Autumn as Elections Begin

By Maya Senussi, Ayah El Said and Rachel Ziemba Nov 3, 2011

Economic Research

Saudi Succession: Preparing for a Tougher Future

By John Prosser and Rachel Ziemba Oct 28, 2011

Economic Research

Sub-Saharan Africa's Vulnerabilities to EZ Crisis: Beyond Trade and Aid

By Maya Senussi and Rachel Ziemba Oct 26, 2011

Economic Research

Conference Call Replays: Regional Outlook Updates

By the RGE Economic Research Team Oct 6, 2011

Mena Focus

Nine Months On: Unresolved Conflicts of the Arab Spring

By Ayah El Said, John Prosser, Maya Senussi and Rachel Ziemba Sep 29, 2011

Global Economic Outlook

Middle East and North Africa Outlook Update: Global Storm Exacerbates Transition

By Rachel Ziemba, Ayah El Said and Maya Senussi Sep 21, 2011

Global Economic Outlook

Gulf Cooperation Council Outlook Update: Governments Cannot Buy Enough Growth

By Rachel Ziemba Sep 20, 2011

Global Economic Outlook

United Arab Emirates Outlook Update: Recovery Stalling

By Rachel Ziemba Sep 20, 2011

Global Economic Outlook

Sub-Saharan Africa Outlook Update: Resiliency Tested

By Maya Senussi and Rachel Ziemba Sep 19, 2011

Global Economic Outlook

Israel Outlook Update: Global Headwinds Bring Growth Back to Earth

By Ayah El-Said and Rachel Ziemba Sep 16, 2011

Global Economic Outlook

South Africa Outlook Update: Ailing Recovery

By Maya Senussi Aug 30, 2011

Mena Focus

Europe’s Woes Threaten MENA's Recovery

By Maya Senussi, Ayah El Said and Rachel Ziemba Aug 24, 2011

Economic Research

Libya: Checkmate for Qadhafi?

By Maya Senussi, Gary Clark and Rachel Ziemba Aug 22, 2011

Central Bank Watch

South African Reserve Bank: August Update

By Maya Senussi and Rachel Ziemba Aug 19, 2011

Mena Focus

Impact of U.S. Growth and Credit Downgrades on MENA

By Ayah El Said, Maya Senussi and Rachel Ziemba Aug 10, 2011

Mena Focus

MENA Looks for New Markets: Trade Ties Shifting Slowly

By Maya Senussi, Rachel Ziemba and John Prosser Aug 5, 2011

Economic Research

Sub-Saharan Africa Monetary Dynamics: Balancing Growth and Inflation

By Maya Senussi and Rachel Ziemba Jul 26, 2011

Economic Research

Venezuela’s Oil Reserves Power Play: Saudi Arabia Production Still Trumps

By Rachel Ziemba and Gary Clark Jul 20, 2011

Mena Focus

Uprisings Not On the Backburner

By Ayah El Said, Maya Senussi, Rachel Ziemba and John Prosser Jul 14, 2011

Economic Research

Sudan: Navigating the Choppy Waters of Secession

By Corinna Bordewieck and Rachel Ziemba Jul 13, 2011

Economic Research

Floating Crude Not Quite Profitable

By Gary Clark and Edward Joseph Jul 8, 2011

Economic Research

Egypt Shuns IMF: What Are the Economic Implications?

By Ayah El Said and Rachel Ziemba Jun 30, 2011

Economic Research

Regional Outlook Conference Calls

By the RGE Economic Research Team Jun 30, 2011

Mena Focus

MENA Real Estate: Fallout From the Arab Spring

By Ayah El Said, Maya Senussi and Rachel Ziemba Jun 29, 2011

Economic Research

Iran Plays Regional Chess, Amid Power Struggles at Home

By Maya Senussi and Rachel Ziemba Jun 28, 2011

Global Economic Outlook

Middle East and North Africa Outlook Update: Politics Breed Divergence

By Ayah El Said and Rachel Ziemba Jun 17, 2011

Global Economic Outlook

Gulf Cooperation Council Outlook Update: Stability Focus Brings Economic Boom

By Ayah El Said and Rachel Ziemba Jun 17, 2011

Global Economic Outlook

United Arab Emirates Outlook Update: How Much of a Haven?

By Ayah El Said and Rachel Ziemba Jun 17, 2011

Global Economic Outlook

Israel Outlook Update: Continued Resilience

By Ayah El Said and Rachel Ziemba Jun 17, 2011

Global Economic Outlook

Egypt Outlook Update: Struggling to Make Ends Meet

By Ayah El Said Jun 17, 2011

Global Economic Outlook

South Africa Outlook Update: Focus on Growth

By Maya Senussi Jun 16, 2011

Global Economic Outlook

Levant Outlook Update: Threatened by Political Turmoil

By Maya Senussi Jun 15, 2011

Global Economic Outlook

Saudi Arabia Outlook Update: Government Spending Boom

By Rachel Ziemba and Ayah El Said Jun 15, 2011

Global Economic Outlook

Maghreb Outlook Update: Still Uncertain

By Maya Senussi and Rachel Ziemba Jun 15, 2011

Global Economic Outlook

Nigeria Outlook Update: Hard Work Ahead

By Corinna Bordewieck and Rachel Ziemba Jun 13, 2011

Economic Research

Saudi Arabia Holds Key to OPEC Production

By Gary Clark and Rachel Ziemba Jun 13, 2011

Mena Focus

Political Struggles and Stalemates

By Ayah El Said, Maya Senussi and Rachel Ziemba May 26, 2011

Mena Focus

Meeting MENA Financing Gaps

By Rachel Ziemba, Ayah El Said and Maya Senussi May 18, 2011

Global Economic Outlook

Gulf Cooperation Council Outlook Update: Governments Loosen the Taps

By Rachel Ziemba and Ayah El Said May 17, 2011

Economic Research

Crude Oil Supply and Demand: Where Do the Fundamentals Lie?

By Gary Clark May 6, 2011

Economic Research

SSA Watch: Food Prices Breed Political Stress

By Rachel Ziemba, Maya Senussi and Corinna Bordewieck May 6, 2011

Global Economic Outlook

South Africa Outlook Update: Still No Hurry to Tighten

By Maya Senussi and Rachel Ziemba May 4, 2011

Mena Focus

Desperately Seeking New Political Stabilities

By Maya Senussi, Ayah El Said and Rachel Ziemba Apr 21, 2011

Mena Focus

Monetary Dilemmas in MENA

By Ayah El Said and Rachel Ziemba Apr 14, 2011

Economic Research

South Africa: When BRIC Became BRICS…

By Maya Senussi and Rachel Ziemba Apr 12, 2011

Mena Focus

Tough Choices for MENA

By Maya Senussi, Ayah El Said and Rachel Ziemba Mar 29, 2011

Global Economic Outlook

Gulf Cooperation Council Outlook: Expenditures Drive Growth

By Ayah El Said and Rachel Ziemba Mar 18, 2011

Global Economic Outlook

Middle East and North Africa Outlook: Dampened by Regional Unrest

By Ayah El Said and Rachel Ziemba Mar 18, 2011

Global Economic Outlook

United Arab Emirates Outlook: Not Quite a Safe Haven?

By Ayah El Said and Rachel Ziemba Mar 18, 2011

Global Economic Outlook

Egypt Outlook: Weak Until Further Notice

By Ayah El Said Mar 18, 2011

Global Economic Outlook

Saudi Arabia Outlook: A Tougher Neighborhood

By Rachel Ziemba and Ayah El Said Mar 17, 2011

Global Economic Outlook

Sub-Saharan Africa Outlook: Strong Recovery

By Maya Senussi and Rachel Ziemba Mar 17, 2011

Global Economic Outlook

Levant Outlook: Resilient to Regional Upheaval

By Maya Senussi and Rachel Ziemba Mar 17, 2011

Global Economic Outlook

South Africa Outlook: Slowly but Surely

By Kavitha Cherian and Rachel Ziemba Mar 17, 2011

Global Economic Outlook

Israel Outlook: Robust Despite Uncertainties

By Ayah El Said Mar 17, 2011

Global Economic Outlook

Maghreb Outlook: Strong Headwinds

By Maya Senussi and Rachel Ziemba Mar 16, 2011

Mena Focus

The Fiscal Side of Upheaval

By Rachel Ziemba, Ayah El Said and Maya Senussi Mar 10, 2011

Economic Research

GCC: Regional Solidarity Pact

By Rachel Ziemba and Ayah El Said Mar 10, 2011

Economic Research

Saudi Arabia: Pulling Out the Stops

By Rachel Ziemba Mar 10, 2011

Economic Research

Egypt: Financing Strains Mount

By Ayah El Said Mar 10, 2011

Economic Research

Libya’s Fiscal Position at Risk

By Maya Senussi and Rachel Ziemba Mar 10, 2011

Economic Research

High Oil Prices Ring Alarm Bells for Oil Importers

By Maya Senussi Mar 10, 2011

Economic Research

If Libya Goes South: Weighing the International Options

By Michael Moran Mar 9, 2011

Mena Focus

Economic Fallout From the MENA Days of Rage

By Rachel Ziemba, Maya Senussi and Ayah El Said Feb 23, 2011

Economic Research

Libya: A Bloody Crackdown

By Maya Senussi and Rachel Ziemba Feb 23, 2011

Economic Research

Bahrain: Still on Edge

By Rachel Ziemba and Ayah El Said Feb 23, 2011

Economic Research

Egypt: Uncertainties Cloud Economic Activity

By Ayah El Said Feb 23, 2011

Economic Research

Tunisia: Hard Work Ahead

By Maya Senussi Feb 23, 2011

Economic Research

Morocco: Subsidy Bill Doubles

By Maya Senussi Feb 23, 2011

Economic Research

Saudi Arabia: Geriatric Rulers Bestow Gifts

By Rachel Ziemba Feb 23, 2011

Economic Research

Gulf Cooperation Council: Watching, But Not Immune

By Rachel Ziemba Feb 23, 2011

Economic Research

Jordan: More of the Same, Though Protests Continue

By Rachel Ziemba Feb 23, 2011

Economic Research

Syria: Stable for Now, But Not Immune

By Maya Senussi Feb 23, 2011

Economic Research

Iraq: Desperately Seeking Power

By Rachel Ziemba Feb 23, 2011

Economic Research

Iran: Green Revanche?

By Rachel Ziemba Feb 23, 2011

Economic Research

Coming Soon: An Egypt That Can Say 'No'

By Michael Moran Feb 11, 2011

Economic Research

A New Normal for Egypt?

By Rachel Ziemba and Ayah El Said Feb 9, 2011

Economic Research

Political Upheaval on the Nile: Four Risk-Laden Outcomes

By Michael Moran Feb 1, 2011

Economic Research

Egypt: Assessing the Ripple Effect

By Rachel Ziemba and Ayah El Said Feb 1, 2011

Economic Research

Mass Protests in Egypt Challenge the Regime and Shake Markets

By Ayah El Said and Rachel Ziemba Jan 28, 2011

Mena Focus

A Memo From Tunisia

By Ayah El Said, Maya Rusinowicz and Rachel Ziemba Jan 18, 2011

Economic Research

Tunisia: Economic and Political Grievances Topple Leadership

By Ayah El Said, Maya Senussi and Rachel Ziemba Jan 18, 2011

Economic Research

Egypt: On Guard

By Ayah El Said and Rachel Ziemba Jan 18, 2011

Economic Research

Morocco: Buoyed by Agriculture?

By Maya Senussi Jan 18, 2011

Economic Research

Jordan: Back to Loans Amid Protests

By Maya Senussi and Rachel Ziemba Jan 18, 2011

Economic Research

Oil Exporters: Not Immune, But With Greater Resources

By Rachel Ziemba Jan 18, 2011

Economic Research

Lebanon: An Uncertain Future

By Maya Senussi Jan 18, 2011

Mena Focus

Fiscal Divergence Coming to MENA

By Rachel Ziemba, Maya Rusinowicz and Ayah El Said Jan 6, 2011

Economic Research

Saudi Arabia and the GCC: Cooler Spending?

By Rachel Ziemba Jan 6, 2011

Economic Research

Iran: Subsidy Cuts May Fuel Inflation and Civil Unrest

By Maya Senussi and Rachel Ziemba Jan 6, 2011

Economic Research

Egypt: Pulling Another Stimulus Out of the Toolbox

By Ayah El Said Jan 6, 2011

Economic Research

Levant: Slowly Consolidating

By Maya Senussi Jan 6, 2011

Mena Focus

Political Cycles Bring More of the Same?

By Ayah El Said, Maya Rusinowicz and Rachel Ziemba Dec 16, 2010

Economic Research

Policy Uncertainty in Egypt: Scaring Foreign Investors?

By Ayah El Said Dec 16, 2010

Economic Research

How Stable Is Lebanon’s Political Situation?

By Maya Senussi and Rachel Ziemba Dec 16, 2010

Economic Research

Iraq: Nearing a Breakthrough on Politics, Oil Output Gains Far Off

By Rachel Ziemba Dec 16, 2010

Economic Research

Kuwait: Parliamentary Jockeying

By Rachel Ziemba Dec 16, 2010

Economic Research

Bahrain: Election Smoothes Over Sectarian Tensions…For Now?

By Rachel Ziemba Dec 16, 2010

Economic Research

Dim Prospects for Political Pluralism in Tunisia

By Maya Senussi Dec 16, 2010

Economic Research

Jordan Elections Unlikely to Bring Meaningful Change

By Maya Senussi Dec 16, 2010

Economic Research

Simmering Peace Talks Chill the Regional Atmosphere

By Maya Senussi Dec 16, 2010

Global Economic Outlook

Global Overview: 2011 Outlook

By Christian Menegatti, Nouriel Roubini and the RGE Macroeconomics Team Dec 7, 2010

Global Economic Outlook

Middle East and North Africa: 2011 Outlook

By Ayah El Said and Rachel Ziemba Dec 7, 2010

Global Economic Outlook

Israel: 2011 Outlook

By Ayah El Said Dec 7, 2010

Global Economic Outlook

Maghreb: 2011 Outlook

By Maya Senussi and Rachel Ziemba Dec 7, 2010

Global Economic Outlook

Gulf Cooperation Council: 2011 Outlook

By Maya Senussi, Rachel Ziemba and Ayah El Said Dec 7, 2010

Global Economic Outlook

Egypt: 2011 Outlook

By Ayah El Said Dec 7, 2010

Global Economic Outlook

United Arab Emirates: 2011 Outlook

By Ayah El Said and Rachel Ziemba Dec 7, 2010

Global Economic Outlook

Levant: 2011 Outlook

By Maya Senussi, Ayah El Said and Rachel Ziemba Dec 7, 2010

Global Economic Outlook

Saudi Arabia: 2011 Outlook

By Rachel Ziemba and Ayah El Said Dec 7, 2010

Global Economic Outlook

Sub-Saharan Africa: 2011 Outlook

By Kavitha Cherian and Rachel Ziemba Dec 7, 2010

Global Economic Outlook

Macro Forecasts: 2011 Outlook

By the RGE Macroeconomics Team Dec 7, 2010

Economic Research

South African Labor Market: Holding Back Growth?

By Kavitha Cherian and Rachel Ziemba Oct 29, 2010

Mena Focus

Slow Growth in Sovereign Assets Ahead?

By Rachel Ziemba Sep 30, 2010

Global Economic Outlook

Middle East and North Africa: September 2010 Outlook Update

By Rachel Ziemba and Ayah El Said Sep 10, 2010

Global Economic Outlook

Saudi Arabia: September 2010 Outlook Update

By Rachel Ziemba and Ayah El Said Sep 10, 2010

Global Economic Outlook

Iraq: September 2010 Outlook Update

By Rachel Ziemba Sep 10, 2010

Global Economic Outlook

Iran: September 2010 Outlook Update

By Rachel Ziemba Sep 10, 2010

Global Economic Outlook

Kuwait: September 2010 Outlook Update

By Rachel Ziemba and Ayah El Said Sep 10, 2010

Global Economic Outlook

Oman: September 2010 Outlook Update

By Ayah El Said and Maya Senussi Sep 10, 2010

Global Economic Outlook

United Arab Emirates: September 2010 Outlook Update

By Rachel Ziemba and Ayah El Said Sep 10, 2010

Global Economic Outlook

Egypt: September 2010 Outlook Update

By Ayah El Said Sep 10, 2010

Global Economic Outlook

Israel: September 2010 Outlook Update

By Ayah El Said and Rachel Ziemba Sep 10, 2010

Global Economic Outlook

Qatar: September 2010 Outlook Update

By Rachel Ziemba and Ayah El Said Sep 10, 2010

Global Economic Outlook

Bahrain: September 2010 Outlook Update

By Rachel Ziemba and Ayah El Said Sep 10, 2010

Global Economic Outlook

Maghreb: September 2010 Outlook Update

By Maya Senussi and Rachel Ziemba Sep 10, 2010

Global Economic Outlook

Levant: September 2010 Outlook Update

By Maya Senussi, Rachel Ziemba and Ayah El Said Sep 10, 2010

Global Economic Outlook

Global Overview: September 2010 Outlook Update

By Nouriel Roubini, Christian Menegatti and the RGE Macroeconomic Team Sep 10, 2010

Global Economic Outlook

Sub-Saharan Africa: September 2010 Outlook Update

By Kavitha Cherian and Rachel Ziemba Sep 10, 2010

Global Economic Outlook

Nigeria: September 2010 Outlook Update

By Kavitha Cherian and Rachel Ziemba Sep 10, 2010

Global Economic Outlook

South Africa: September 2010 Outlook Update

By Kavitha Cherian Sep 10, 2010

Mena Focus

Power Shortages Plague MENA

By Maya Rusinowicz and Rachel Ziemba Sep 1, 2010

Economic Research

Strength in Numbers: How Export Diversification Can Help African Economies

By Jennifer Livingstone and Kavitha Cherian Aug 24, 2010

Economic Research

MENA Focus: Fearing a Food Crisis

By Ayah El Said, Maya Senussi and Rachel Ziemba Aug 18, 2010

Economic Research

MENA Focus: Grasping for a New Normal for MENA Credit

By Rachel Ziemba, Ayah El Said and Maya Senussi Aug 4, 2010

Economic Research

MENA Focus: Impact of the Eurozone Debt Crisis

By Ayah El Said and Rachel Ziemba Jul 26, 2010

Global Economic Outlook

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Qatar: Q3 2010 Outlook

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Economic Research

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Economic Research

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Economic Research

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What Happens When a Nation Gets Nukes? Sixty Years of History Suggests an Answer.

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Prelude to a Shooting War

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Have Iran’s Leaders Vowed to Destroy Israel?

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Syria: From Friend to Foe

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The Middle East Is Boiling and Everything Is Connected to Everything!

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Food Prices and the Seven Billionth Baby

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What the Arab Spring Has Taught Us

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The End of Our Expedition to Iraq: War-Boosters Cheer Despite Its Long-Predicted Failure

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Geostrategy Channel

Occupy Wall Street, Social Unrest and Income Inequality

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Shared Frustrations: How to Make Economic Growth in Sub-Saharan Africa More Inclusive

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Efraim Chalamish's Economic Development and Security Blog

Libya’s Shadow on Sovereign Wealth Funds

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The Iranian Assassination Caper Was a Complete Success!

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The Hidden Story About Libya, Hidden Behind the Veil of the U.S. News Media

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Why the Syrian Army Kills for the Assad Clan

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Efraim Chalamish's Economic Development and Security Blog

The Economic Reality of Unilateral Declaration of Independence

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Geostrategy Channel

The Significance of OPEC Announcements

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Inflation in the Middle East—Looking at the Right Numbers

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A Marshall Plan for Egypt

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Saudi-Led GCC Aims to Spread Regional Influence

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Capital Flows to the Final Frontier

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EconoMonitor

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Obama Speaks: Who’s Listening? Answer: The Saudis and Israelis and Palestinians

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Subsidies—Love Them or Hate Them, It’s Better to Target Them

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Confessions of a Dismal Scientist—Africa’s Resilience

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Nature and Politics: Global Consequences of Japanese and Arab Tremors

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A Status Report on Our Intervention in Libya. Historians Will Find this Farce Fascinating

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The Spring of Nations

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MENA: If Not Now, When?

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Secularism Is Out; Islam Is In

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Yemen in Tatters: Political Risk to Make Your Hair Stand on End!

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MENA/Kuwait: Not All Cabinet Shuffles Are Alike…

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Emerging Markets Channel

South Africa’s Unemployment Puzzle

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Who Are We Helping in Libya? Here Are Some Answers

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What Will the World’s Tyrants Learn from the Libyan War? Get Nukes!

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Raising Government Revenue in Africa: A Road out of Poverty

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The Middle East Scorecard

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Nouriel Roubini's Global EconoMonitor

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More About Saudi Arabia and the Future Days of Rage

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Nouriel Roubini's Global EconoMonitor

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Red Alert: Friday’s “Day of Rage” in Saudi Arabia Could Rock the World

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What Will Saudi Arabia Do?

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RGE’s Wednesday Note - Fallout From the MENA Days of Rage

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The Old Timers of the Middle East

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Political Uncertainty Across the MENA Region

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The Age of Uncertainty, Part II

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Egypt on the Brink: Who Will Get the Final Say?

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Nouriel Roubini's Global EconoMonitor

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The Wilder View

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Geostrategy Channel

Geopolitical Unrest and World Oil Markets

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Geostrategy Channel

Important Information About the Riots in Egypt

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Geostrategy Channel

Today’s Bounty, Tomorrow’s Promise: Better Policies to Manage Natural Resources

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Is There a Silver Lining to Sluggish Credit Growth in the Gulf Countries?

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Geostrategy Channel

African Poverty Is Falling…Much Faster Than You Think

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Can World Cup Frenzy Keep Qatar Growing After Gas Momentum Fades?

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Geostrategy Channel

MENA: More than 18 Million Jobs Needed!

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Raising Competitiveness: Recipe for Tapping into the Middle East’s Growth Potential

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Emerging Markets Channel

Quo Vadis Credit Growth in the MENA Region?

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RGE Analysts

Happy Belated Birthday OPEC?

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Nouriel Roubini's Global EconoMonitor

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RGE Analysts

Foreign Credit for MENA?

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Geostrategy Channel

A Look Back at Our Time from the 2100 A.D. Edition of the Encyclopedia Britannica

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The Kapali Carsi

For South Africa, the Vuvuzelas Blow

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Global Macro Channel

Lowering Public Debt

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Gulf Cooperation Council Local Currency Bond Markets and Lessons from East Asia

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Finance & Markets Channel

Debriefing Nakheel - Wider Implications for the Sukuk Market

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Nouriel Roubini's Global EconoMonitor

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Acting Nigerian President Moves Quickly, Decisively to Get Country Back on Track

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Fate of Foreign Oil Investors In Limbo Amid Ghana-Côte d’Ivoire Border Dispute

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Something New Out of Africa: A Global Player

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Damage Done by Nigeria’s Contentious Oil Bill May Be Tough to Undo

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RGE Analysts

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Iraqi Elections Likely to Fuel Ethnic Tensions, Further Delay Access to Kirkuk's Reserves

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Geostrategy Channel

Yemen’s Push into the Gas Sector Fails to Stimulate Great Excitement and Raises Disturbing Questions

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Iran Will have the Bomb in 5 Years (Again)

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Latin America Channel

Don't Blame Mother Nature

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Iraq Oil Output to Rival Saudi Arabia, if…

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Europe Channel

Bank Collapse in Austria Brings Debt in Eastern Europe Center Stage

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Nouriel Roubini's Global EconoMonitor

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Don't Shoot the Messenger

Total Eclipse at the Heart of Dubai's World

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China Lambastes Dollar “Carry Trade,” Diverting Attention from Its Currency Manipulation

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Oil Prices and Bank Profitability: Evidence from Major Oil-Exporting Countries in the Middle East and North Africa

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Small Countries, Small Problems?

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The End of the Beginning

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Five Simple Principles for Scaling up in Aid

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Daily Digest

News

South Africa/ZA Data Release - Retail sales remained encouraging in March

Standard Bank  Tebogo Mosepele May 16, 2012

News

South Africa: Car sales skyrocket by 10%

iafrica  May 16, 2012

News

South Africa’s Retail Sales Decline in First Quarter

Bloomberg  Franz Wild and Andres R. Martinez May 16, 2012

Blogs

Want a stable cash flow? Invest in Africa’s energy sector, says US firm

How We Made it in Africa  Dinfin Mulupi May 16, 2012

News

Africa may struggle to extract groundwater, experts say

Science and Development Network (SciDev Net)  Hichem Boumedjout May 15, 2012

Blogs

Stalemate in Sudan as neither North nor South can make decisive move

African Arguments  Nanne op’t Ende May 16, 2012

News

S.Sudan says aims to obtain anti-aircraft missiles

Reuters  Hereward Holland May 16, 2012

News

Angola's crude exports set to fall in July

Reuters  May 16, 2012

News

Tanzania: Private sector borrowing up 25pc, says BoT

The Citizen (Dar es Salaam)  Alawi Masare May 15, 2012

News

Tanzania: Budget hit hard by shortfall

The Citizen (Dar es Salaam)  Veneranda Sumila May 15, 2012

News

Tanzania gold production up 13 pct in 2011

Reuters  May 16, 2012

Analysis

Rwanda: Consumer Price Index (CPI) April 2012

National Institute of Statistics of Rwanda  May 16, 2012

News

Rwanda: Inflation drops to 6.95%

New Times (Rwanda)  Ivan R. Mugisha and Saul Butera May 16, 2012

News

Kenya: Sovereign bond money to pay off international debt

Business Daily  George Ngigi May 15, 2012

News

Kenya: CBK steps in as shilling drops to 84

Business Daily  Rawlings Otini May 15, 2012

News

Kenya: Private sector jobs dip as growth declines to 4.4 pc

Business Daily  Geoffrey Irungu May 15, 2012

Blogs

Stock Showdown: Ranking Kenya’s Best Banks

Investing in Africa  Ryan Hoover May 16, 2012

News

Kenya near to sealing more offshore oil search deals

Reuters  Kelly Gilblom May 16, 2012

News

Somalia: Range Sees Oil in Puntland’s Deeper Sandstones

Petroleum Africa  May 15, 2012

News

Huge finds make East Africa the next big gas source

Reuters  Sarah Young May 16, 2012

News

Uganda's Museveni: The longer you stay, the lonelier it gets

The Africa Report  Tabu Butagira May 14, 2012

News

Uganda's planned investment more than triples Q1 2012

Reuters  Elias Biryabarema May 16, 2012

Analysis

Qatar: reviving a Tunisia refinery plan

The Financial Times  Borzou Daragahi May 14, 2012

Gov. Sites

Jordan: 3.8% the Inflation Rate for the first third of 2012

Jordan Department of Statistics  May 14, 2012

Blogs

Morocco secures $250m loan to upgrade phosphate industry

Financial Times  Borzou Daragahi May 15, 2012

News

S.Africa to help banks meet Basel liquidity

Reuters  Helen Nyambura-Mwaura May 15, 2012

Blogs

Thinking about the African middle class

How We Made it in Africa  Mike Moon May 15, 2012

Blogs

International retailers becoming more dependent on African produce

How We Made it in Africa  Jaco Maritz May 15, 2012

Analysis

Africa Human Development Report 2012: Towards a Food Secure Future

United Nations Development Programme  May 15, 2012

News

Mozambique and Malawi agree Cahora Bassa energy deal

Africa Review  May 14, 2012

News

Zimbabwe: ZANU-PF disengaging from Constitution Parliamentary Select Committee (COPAC)

Financial Gazette (Harare)  Tinashe Madava May 11, 2012

News

Zambia targets 8 p.c. economic growth

Times of Zambia  May 15, 2012

News

Tanzania: Current account shortfall widens by $2.7bn – BoT

The Citizen (Dar es Salaam)  Felix Lazaro May 14, 2012

News

Kenya lags behind EAC peers in FDIs

Nairobi Star  Solomon Kirimi May 14, 2012

News

Kenya: Petrol price rise fuels fresh inflation fears

Business Daily  Zeddy Sambu May 14, 2012

News

Kenya Power in fresh push to increase electricity bills

Business Daily  Zeddy Sambu May 14, 2012

News

Kenya cuts 2012 growth forecast on high lending rates, polls

Reuters  George Obulutsa May 15, 2012

News

EU force hits Somali pirate targets on land

Reuters  Yara Bayoumy May 15, 2012

News

Kenyan signs $600 mln loan, eyes sovereign bond

Reuters  Beatrice Gachenge May 15, 2012

Analysis

Tanzania: National Consumer Price Index (NCPI) for April 2012

National Bureau of Statistics (Tanzania)  May 15, 2012

Analysis

Nigeria: Consumer Price Index April 2012

National Bureau of Statistics (Nigeria)  May 15, 2012

News

Nigeria inflation rises, driven by non-food

Reuters  May 15, 2012

Analysis

Botswana Consumer Price Index-April 2012

Botswana Central Statistics Office  May 15, 2012

News

North Lebanon calm after Syria spillover clashes

Associated Press  Hussein Malla May 15, 2012

Blogs

S Africa: mining safety debate masks deeper problems

beyond brics (FT)  Andrew England May 14, 2012

Blogs

Rising tribalism in South Africa - Issue 584

Pambazuka  William Gumede May 09, 2012

News

South Sudan Hunts for Loans as Oil-Output Halt Dents Economy

Bloomberg  Jared Ferrie May 11, 2012

News

SA aims to lift savings, cut budget strain

Business Day  Xola Potelwa May 14, 2012

Blogs

Africa’s real estate and construction opportunities cannot be ignored

How We Made it in Africa  Imara Africa Securities Team May 11, 2012

Blogs

Africa and the Great Recession: Changing Times

IMF  Antoinette Sayeh May 14, 2012

News

IMF cuts sub-Saharan Africa 2012 growth forecasts

Reuters  Helen Nyambura-Mwaura May 14, 2012

News

Africa Finance Corp eyeing $3 bln deals in a year

Reuters  Duncan Miriri May 14, 2012

News

Mali crisis needs to be resolved fast: African Development Bank

Reuters  David Clarke May 11, 2012

Blogs

Al-Qaeda draws Maghreb militants to Mali

Magharebia  Jemal Oumar May 11, 2012

News

Capital main constraint for Africa investment

Reuters  David Clarke May 11, 2012

News

Zimbabwe: Army plots Zanu's election offensive

Times Live (South Africa)  Jama Majola May 13, 2012

News

Botswana to open bids for coal-fired plants: official

Reuters  Agnieszka Flak May 10, 2012

Analysis

Angola: Índice de Preços no Consumidor [CPI] de Luanda April 2012

Instituto Nacional de Estatistica (Angola)  May 14, 2012

News

Mozambique farming project launched

Financial Times  Andrew England May 13, 2012

Analysis

Harnessing Mozambique’s Mineral Wealth

Chatham House  Transcript: Armando Emílio Guebuza May 2012

News

Mozambique govt gives Shell nod to buy Cove

Reuters  May 10, 2012

News

Thousands flee heavy fighting in eastern Congo

Deutsche Welle  May 14, 2012