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Market Strategy
Featured
Finance and Banking Monthly: Are Financials the New Utilities?
Feb 16, 2012
A significant change in ECB rhetoric and policy has driven a more constructive view on the financial sector as the discount of a major bank failure is progressively unwound.
2012 RGE Market Portfolio Study
Feb 15, 2012
We update the RGE market portfolio market capitalization weights based on end-of-year rebalancing by each index provider.
Macro and Market Outlook: February 2012
Feb 13, 2012
Ongoing balance-sheet repair in DMs, particularly U.S., and sovereign debt/financial issues in EZ will bring down global growth in near/medium term.
Market Research Fixtures
February 2012 Cross Asset Monthly
Kick the Can, Buy Some Time
—But Can They Go the Distance?
January 2012 Emerging Markets Quarterly
2012—A Year to Look
Over Your Shoulder
Forecast Center
Commodities
Recent Strategy:
Taking Hard Profits on Soft Commodities
Commodity Risks in 2012: Upsides, Downsides and Taking Sides
RGE Agriculture Sensitivity Index (RASI): Impacts on Individual Economies
Gold Breaks 200-Day Moving Average
Current Cross Asset Monthly Chapter:
Commodities: Will Liquidity Injections Boost Demand?
Current EM Quarterly Chapter:
Commodities: Oil—Global Trade’s Life Support
Currencies
Recent Strategy:
G10 FX Outlook Q1 2012: A Breather, Not a Sea Change
Scope and Limits of ECB Purchases: Does Central Bank Capital Matter?
G10 FX Outlook Q4 2011: Deeper Into the Woods
Global Factors in Emerging Markets’ FX Risk Premia Point to Asia’s FX Outperformance When Risk Is Off
Current Cross Asset Monthly Chapter:
Currencies: Can the Good Times Last?
Current EM Quarterly Chapter:
Rates/Currencies: Inflation Pressures Finally Ease
*Currencies and Fixed Income share EMQ chaptersGovernment Bonds/Rates
Recent Strategy:
Emerging Markets: Some IRS Curves Are Still Too Flat
Mapping the Possibilities: Using Options to Derive Probability Distributions for Traded Markets
Australian Rates: RBA Cuts Aren't a Good Bet
Monetary Policy to the Rescue: Don't Expect Miracles
Current Cross Asset Monthly Chapter:
Governnment Bonds/Rates: A Bull Long in the Tooth
Current EM Quarterly Chapter:
Rates/Currencies: Inflation Pressures Finally Ease
*Currencies and Fixed Income share EMQ chaptersEmerging Markets
Recent Strategy:
Conference Call Replay—2012 Prospects and Risks: Pernicious or Manageable?
Hungarian Rates: Sell into Rallies for Now
Asset Allocation: Long VIX Positioning and Alternative Volatility Strategies
Commodity Risks in 2012: Upsides, Downsides and Taking Sides
Current Cross Asset Monthly Chapter:
Emerging Markets: Reality vs. Exuberance
Current EM Quarterly Chapter:
Growing Pains
Credit
Recent Strategy:
What Would it Take to Make a State Go Bust?
Are CDS Worthless Because Greece's Exchange Won't Trigger a Credit Event?
EFSF Proposals: Guarantees Don’t Guarantee Success
U.S. Investment Grade Bonds Will Outperform Cash Under 'Operation Twist'
Current Cross Asset Monthly Chapter:
Credit: Liquidity Isn't Everything, But We'll Take It
Current EM Quarterly Chapter:
Credit: Take Advantage of Contagion
Global Equity
Recent Strategy:
Equities: The Rally Is Real, but Risks Remain
The Day After Tomorrow: With or Without Europe
The Role of MLPs in a Portfolio
Global Equity Quarterly: Risk Sets Up Camp—Strategies for Uncertainty
Current Cross Asset Monthly Chapter:
Global Equity: Enjoy the Liquidity but Try to Stay Sober!
Current EM Quarterly Chapter:
Equity: Credit Growth Boosts Earnings
Financials
Recent Strategy:
Finance and Banking Monthly: Are Financials the New Utilities?
LTROs: Where to Next?
Finance and Banking Monthly: Year of the Financial Transaction Tax?
European Banks: Waiting for Sovereigns
Finance and Banking Monthly: EZ Crisis Goes Viral—Exploring Trade Finance Links
U.S. Banks and Credit: The EZ Outbreak
Global Financials Quarterly: Deleveraging—Onward and Downward
Cross Asset Model Portfolio
Recent Strategy:
2012 RGE Market Portfolio Study
Asset Allocation: Long VIX Positioning and Alternative Volatility Strategies
Market Portfolio Study:
Click here to view. The market portfolio is a market-capitalization-weighted portfolio of all reasonably liquid tradable assets, which forms the RGE benchmark.
Asset Allocation Overview Call:
Click here to download the MP3.