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Market Strategy
Featured
Equity Strategy Weekly: S&P Bounces Off Our Target; What Next?
May 22, 2012
Markets sold off heavily last week, taking the S&P 500 to slightly below our target of 1300, before a rebound on May 21.
Energy Weekly: Oil Prices—Subdued Now and Rising Into the Summer
May 22, 2012
Macro factors should continue to exert modest downside pressures to oil prices from current levels.
Credit Dashboard
May 18, 2012
Concern mounts that Europe’s intensifying debt crisis may infect the financial system and curb global growth, forcing weaker borrowers to miss payments.
Market Research Fixtures
January 2012 Emerging Markets Quarterly
2012—A Year to Look
Over Your Shoulder
Summary of Key Views
View our key views, global scenarios and most important forecasts in a condensed format.
Commodities
Recent Strategy:
Energy Weekly: Oil Prices—Subdued Now and Rising Into the Summer
Whither the Gold Safe Haven?
Energy Weekly: Natural Gas on the Rebound
Energy Weekly: U.S. Energy Policy After the Election
Current Cross Asset Monthly Chapter:
Commodities: Will QE3 Mitigate Near-Term Downsides?
Current EM Quarterly Chapter:
Commodities: Oil—Global Trade’s Life Support
Currencies
Recent Strategy:
Greater CNY Volatility: What’s Really Behind It and What to Expect?
How to Trade a China Slowdown
JPY: Not Quite Ready to Crack
G10 FX Outlook Q1 2012: A Breather, Not a Sea Change
Current Cross Asset Monthly Chapter:
Currencies: Après Nous, le 'Money' Déluge?
Current EM Quarterly Chapter:
Rates/Currencies: Inflation Pressures Finally Ease
*Currencies and Fixed Income share EMQ chaptersGovernment Bonds/Rates
Recent Strategy:
How to Trade a China Slowdown
Ratings and Defaults: Easy Come, Easy Go
Greek Exchange: A New Paradigm for European Sovereign Debt
Emerging Markets: Some IRS Curves Are Still Too Flat
Current Cross Asset Monthly Chapter:
Government Bonds/Rates: QE Now, Later, Never?
Current EM Quarterly Chapter:
Rates/Currencies: Inflation Pressures Finally Ease
*Currencies and Fixed Income share EMQ chaptersEmerging Markets
Recent Strategy:
Whither the Gold Safe Haven?
Greater CNY Volatility: What’s Really Behind It and What to Expect?
How to Trade a China Slowdown
Taking Profit on Short MYR/RUB Recommendation
Current Cross Asset Monthly Chapter:
Emerging Markets: On the Verge of Defensive
Current EM Quarterly Chapter:
Growing Pains
Credit
Recent Strategy:
Credit Dashboard
Ratings and Defaults: Easy Come, Easy Go
What Would it Take to Make a State Go Bust?
Are CDS Worthless Because Greece's Exchange Won't Trigger a Credit Event?
Current Cross Asset Monthly Chapter:
Credit: U.S. and EMs Trump Eurozone
Current EM Quarterly Chapter:
Credit: Take Advantage of Contagion
Global Equity
Recent Strategy:
Equity Strategy Weekly: S&P Bounces Off Our Target; What Next?
Equity Strategy Weekly: ‘Merhollande’ Renew Vows but Valuations Belie Fundamentals
Global Equity Quarterly: A Rally and Missing Volume
How to Trade a China Slowdown
Current Cross Asset Monthly Chapter:
Equity: Wimpier Easing, Even Less Reflation
Current EM Quarterly Chapter:
Equity: Credit Growth Boosts Earnings
Financials
Recent Strategy:
Finance and Banking Monthly: Manufacturing Hope—Fed vs. ECB Policies
Finance and Banking Monthly: Are Financials the New Utilities?
LTROs: Where to Next?
Finance and Banking Monthly: Year of the Financial Transaction Tax?
European Banks: Waiting for Sovereigns
Finance and Banking Monthly: EZ Crisis Goes Viral—Exploring Trade Finance Links
U.S. Banks and Credit: The EZ Outbreak
Cross Asset Model Portfolio
Recent Strategy:
2012 RGE Market Portfolio Study
Asset Allocation: Long VIX Positioning and Alternative Volatility Strategies
Market Portfolio Study:
Click here to view. The market portfolio is a market-capitalization-weighted portfolio of all reasonably liquid tradable assets, which forms the RGE benchmark.
Asset Allocation Overview Call:
Click here to download the MP3.