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April 23, 2024
U.S. March New Home Sales - Gain may not be sustained in Q2
April 23, 2024 2:16 PM UTC
March new home sales at 693k are stronger than expected, up 8.8% from a downwardly revised February to their highest level since September, though still moving in quite a narrow range with Q2 sales vulnerable to higher mortgage rates.
Preview: Due April 24 - U.S. March Durable Goods Orders - HInts of underlying improvement
April 23, 2024 11:55 AM UTC
We expect March durable goods orders to rise by 2.5%, with most of the gain coming from transport, aircraft in particular, but we expect a 0.5% increase ex transport to show some hints of underlying improvement.
Indonesia: MPC Preview: Bank Indonesia to Hold Rate Despite Currency Volatility
April 23, 2024 11:12 AM UTC
With inflation within target range and the need to defend the currency amid global uncertainties and US dollar strength, Bank Indonesia (BI) is likely to extend its pause on rate adjustments in the upcoming monetary policy meeting on April 24. BI remains committed to stabilising the Indonesian rupia
EZ HICP Preview (Apr 30): Core Disinflation Signs to Flatten Out Further?
April 23, 2024 9:43 AM UTC
Very much having affected ECB thinking, there has been repeated positive EZ news in the form of falling EZ HICP inflation and somewhat broadly so. This continued in the March HICP numbers, with the 0.2 ppt drops in both headline and core being a notch more sizeable than most anticipated. Regardless,
FX Daily Strategy: N America, April 23rd
April 23, 2024 9:08 AM UTC
European currencies firme rafter better PMIs...
...but little scope for further gains unless US data is surprisingly weak
GBP may rise further unless chief economist Pill sounds dovish
USD/JPY still playing grandmother’s footsteps with the BoJ
April 22, 2024
Preview: Due May 1 - U.S. April ADP Employment - Underperforming payrolls
April 22, 2024 6:40 PM UTC
We expect a 150k increase in April’s ADP estimate for private sector employment growth, which would be in line with recent trend, but continuing to underperform private sector non-farm payrolls, which we expect to rise by 195k. We expect overall payrolls to rise by 255k.
Indonesian Court Delivers Verdict: Prabowo prevails
April 22, 2024 3:18 PM UTC
The Constitutional Court dismissed cases against Vice President Gibran Rakabuming Raka and President Joko Widodo. In Gibran's case, the court didn't disqualify him from running for president but sanctioned the election committee for not amending regulations following a previous ruling. This ruling l