Conference Call

Conference Call Replay: Italian Elections—Non-Event or Risk Event?

Meeting date: February 20th, 2013
Start time: 09:00 AM EST
Duration: 1 Hour
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RGE Chairman Nouriel Roubini and the RGE Macro Strategy team discuss the upcoming Italian elections. General discussions cover:
  • Current polling, which shows Pier Luigi Bersani's coalition in the lead, but Silvio Berlusconi catching up: Might this election prompt renewed market volatility?
  • Analysis on how the electoral system works and the probabilities of various scenarios, from a clear victory for Bersani and his coalition to the possibility of an ungovernable country.
  • What Italy would look like under a Bersani/Monti government, and what difficulties may emerge for the coalition in the near future.
  • The impact on financial markets of the various scenarios, in particular but not exclusively for BTPs and EZ peripheral debt, and the implication for wider market sentiment.

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