Economic Research
This year’s World Economic Forum at Davos comes at what could be a defining moment in 2012: the ECB is grinding into action, the Fed has opened the door to more easing, and EMs and DMs teeter on the brink of a significant slowdown. Nouriel offers thematic and policy insight from the conference.
Nouriel Roubini Jan 30, 2012
Market Strategy
In Europe, tail risks persist. Major debt restructurings, EMU exits and fragmentation of the currency area are real risks with significant consequences for solvency and credit expansion.
Jennifer Kapila and Parul Walia Jan 10, 2012
Cross Asset Monthly
2012 looks to be at least as difficult for global macro and markets as 2011.
the RGE Market Strategy Team Jan 11, 2012
Economic Research
Not only is our baseline for global growth below consensus, but we see risks pointed to the downside, particularly in 2013, as limited policy space vies with ongoing balance sheet repair to hinder growth prospects, particularly in the eurozone, and bring down global potential growth.
Rachel Ziemba, Prajakta Bhide, Shelley Goldberg, Juan Lorenzo Maldonado, Michael Manetta, Christian Menegatti, Elisa Parisi-Capone and Adam Wolfe Jan 5, 2012
Market Strategy
A one-page snapshot of the key cross-asset market developments impacted by the crisis in 20 charts, updated every week.
Michael Hart Jan 25, 2012
Market Strategy
The RASI captures, in a simplified sense, how painful (or beneficial) high agricultural prices are for a given economy, by including impacts on consumer spending, terms of trade and inflation.
Gary Clark, Shelley Goldberg and Natalia Gurushina Jan 2, 2012
China Monthly
Our forecasts for growth and monetary policy appear to have been highly accurate for 2011, though a change in the relationship between money supply and inflation impacted baseline inflation.
Adam Wolfe Jan 4, 2012
Global Economic Outlook
Not only are PMIs pointing to contraction in the EZ and deceleration in Asia and other EMs, but hard data have confirmed a stall in some DMs, an outright recession in others and a slowdown in EMs already underway.
the RGE Economic Research Team Dec 11, 2011