Finance and Banking
Given the ad-hoc reactive nature of eurozone crisis management thus far, market participants are eager to identify a systematic approach to properly price bank risk.
Jennifer Kapila May 16, 2013
North America
The RGE U.S. Economic Activity Index (EAI) helps paint a cohesive picture of activity; while recent activity has pared back, there is no suggestion that a sharp slowdown is underway.
Prajakta Bhide May 14, 2013
Asia/Pacific
Whereas Japan delayed writing down corporate debts until 1997, China’s policy makers look to be more proactive.
http://www.roubini.com/img/hp-feature-asset/ChinaBoom_May2013C.jpgAdam Wolfe May 13, 2013
Emerging Europe and CIS
Our baseline assumes the 2014 vote will usher in a new leftist government set on scrapping controversial policy changes that eroded the country’s investment environment and democratic credentials.
Jelena Vukotic May 6, 2013
Monetary Policy and Infation
Markets most prone to bubbles in upcoming years in our view are DM and EM equities, EM currencies and EM corporate debt, and real estate.
David Nowakowski, Gary Clark, Ibrahim Gassambe, Jennifer Kapila, Brunello Rosa and Rachel Ziemba May 2, 2013
Commodities
Demand will likely unwind and force gold prices down as real rates gradually rise and “risk-free” assets resume their place as a store of value rather than an instrument of financial repression.
Gary Clark Apr 22, 2013
Asia/Pacific
For the most part, we expect 2013 to be a soft year for Asian property markets, despite an expansion of the extraordinarily easy global monetary conditions that have helped to fuel rapid price increases in the past.
http://www.roubini.com/img/hp-feature-asset/AsiaPropDemand_AprilB.jpgAyoti Mittra, Adam Wolfe and Michael Manetta Apr 22, 2013
Latin America
Looking at events to come and incentives in play, the ultimate result is likely to be a default and/or rerouting of debt payments by Argentina, if Judge Griesa’s ruling is upheld in its current form.
Juan Lorenzo Maldonado Apr 19, 2013
Emerging Markets
Our risk scorecard identifies countries that are well positioned to absorb and deploy capital, and should be able to transform it into higher cash flows and returns.
Mike Liu, Paul Domjan, Rachel Ziemba and Evghenia Sleptsova Apr 5, 2013
