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April 23, 2024
April 22, 2024
April 19, 2024
April 18, 2024
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March 13, 2024
Country Insights: Human Resource Potential
March 13, 2024 11:30 AM UTC
The most recent update of our Country Insights model places Ireland, China and Belarus as strong performers in the Human Resource Potential factor. In contrast, Iraq, Equatorial Guinea and Congo rank at the top bottom of the ranking.
March 12, 2024
March 11, 2024
Country Insights: Demography
March 11, 2024 11:27 AM UTC
The most recent update of our Country Insights model places several African countries at the top of the Demography factor ranking, including Zambia, Uganda, Tanzania and others. In contrast, some European countries such as Croatia, Italy and Greece rank at the bottom of the list.
March 08, 2024
March 07, 2024
March 06, 2024
February 28, 2024
February 13, 2024
BJP's Political Confidence Shines Through in India's FY25 Interim Budget
February 13, 2024 10:44 AM UTC
India's interim budget for FY25 presented ahead of the upcoming general election, reflects the government's commitment to economic growth, infrastructure development, and fiscal responsibility. Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman highlighted key aspects of the budget, emphasizing a multi-pronged app
January 25, 2024
January 22, 2024
January 19, 2024
January 18, 2024
January 17, 2024
January 16, 2024
December 07, 2023
MENA: Human Resource Potential
December 7, 2023 3:18 PM UTC
The Human Resource Potential factor measures the extent to which the country's economy is able to make use of its human resources. It assesses levels of education, employment, labor force participation, and labor market rigidity. In our latest update for the third quarter of 2023 (here), the UAE, Ba
LATAM: Health Scores
December 7, 2023 1:55 PM UTC
The Health factor measures the basic health of the population, as reflected by mortality levels (infant, child, maternal), current life expectancy at birth, and the ability of the health system to deliver vaccinations. In our latest update for the third quarter of 2023 (here), Chile, Uruguay, and Co
December 06, 2023
Global Country Strength Index Scores
December 6, 2023 4:24 PM UTC
The Country Strength Index reflects a country’s macroeconomic, growth potential, political, and social strength. In particular, it is based on the four model’s pillars – external adjustment capacity, institutional robustness, medium-term growth potential, and social inclusion. In our latest up
November 30, 2023
2023 Q3 Shadow Credit Ratings to download in Excel
November 30, 2023 11:18 AM UTC
We produce Shadow Credit Ratings for 162 countries, comparable to official credit rating agencies.
The ratings are based on our Country Strength Index, which is our most comprehensive assessment across our full range of Country Insights data. The ratings are consistent with our 2023-Q3 Country Insigh
October 23, 2023
Asia and Elections: Country Risk
October 23, 2023 7:29 AM UTC
Asia Regional Overview
India continues to be an investor haven supported by strong economic growth and stable policy guidance. The political environment is heating up in India as well, as the country prepares for regional elections in five states in end-2023 and then for the larger general elections
October 20, 2023
Asia Country Risk Ratings
October 20, 2023 3:21 PM UTC
Cambodia
Cambodia’s overall risk level remains medium high. Samdech Hun Sen remains the prime minister of the country and leader of Cambodia’s People Party (CPP) and has been since 1985. Hun Sen won the 2023 election with a 76.85%, winning 120 out of the 125 seats. The leader of the Cambodia Nati
Middle East and North Africa: Country Risk Ratings
October 20, 2023 3:18 PM UTC
Algeria
Algeria’s overall risk remains medium high. Since Abdelmadjid Tebboune assumed office in December 2019, a series of popular policies have been implemented, contributing to an enhancement of government and political stability. Notwithstanding, a number of challenges persist, making political
Middle East and North Africa: Country Risk Grows
October 20, 2023 8:49 AM UTC
It is also feasible that Hezbollah in South Lebanon could be drawn into the conflict depending on how the situation in Gaza and Israel develops. Israel is also likely to retaliate against Iran at a later date, due to intense political pressures in Israel. This is most probably to involve attacks o
October 19, 2023
EM Europe/CIS: Country Risk Ratings
October 19, 2023 10:33 AM UTC
Armenia
Armenia’s overall risk level remains medium high. Vahagn Khachaturyan continues to be the president of Armenia after being in elected in March 2022, after the resignation of his predecessor. Political violence remains medium high and political interference and legal & regulatory risk at a m
Africa: Country Risk Ratings
October 19, 2023 9:19 AM UTC
Angola
Angola’s overall risk has decreased to a medium high level. In 2022 Lourenco was re-elected, after the previous presidency of Jose dos Santos that had lasted 38 years up to 2017. The new government has tried to increase investment from abroad through various policies, such as fiscal consolid
Eastern Europe and CIS: Country Risk
October 19, 2023 9:02 AM UTC
Eastern Europe and CIS Regional Overview
The main issue across the Eastern Europe and CIS region is still the Russia - Ukraine war, which remains deadlocked. Taking into account that the winter is arriving (as Russia prefers to keep low level activity during the winter time), in addition to Russia’
October 18, 2023
Latin and Central America: Country Risk
October 18, 2023 9:23 AM UTC
Latin and Central America Regional Overview
During the last quarter, Brazil experienced a period of relative stability with no major significant events. President Lula has maintained his position of authority, while the opposition forces remain comparatively subdued. Some changes in the cabinet were
October 17, 2023
Sub Sahara Africa: Country Risk
October 17, 2023 2:19 PM UTC
South Africa economic problems remain acute with large power cuts during the winter season and the logistic and transport crisis restraining production and exports. The government is trying to make progress on both fronts, but progress remains slow. Though the G7 and China has separately offered hel
September 01, 2023
Investment Attractiveness in European Countries
September 1, 2023 12:59 PM UTC
Source: Continuum Economics
The Investment Attractiveness Index weights three pillars of our Country Insights model; namely, external adjustment capacity, institutional robustness, and medium-term growth potential. In our latest update for the second quarter of 2023 (here), Denmark, Poland, and Norwa
August 31, 2023
Export Diversification: Africa in Focus
August 31, 2023 2:00 PM UTC
Source: Continuum Economics
Consistent with a United Nations (UN) report on export diversification in Africa (here), our Country Insights model (here) suggests the need of countries in this continent to diversify their economies. Targeted trade policies aiming to achieve diversification will likely r
Country Strength Index: LATAM Under Review
August 31, 2023 12:55 PM UTC
Source: Continuum Economics
The Country Strength Index weights the four pillars of our Country Insights model, which include external adjustment capacity, institutional robustness, medium-term growth potential, and social inclusion. In our latest update for the second quarter of 2023 (here), Uruguay,
August 29, 2023
2023 Q2 Shadow Credit Ratings to download in Excel
August 29, 2023 4:26 PM UTC
We produce Shadow Credit Ratings for 162 countries, comparable to official credit rating agencies.
The ratings are based on our Country Strength Index, which is our most comprehensive assessment across our full range of Country Insights data. The ratings are consistent with our 2023 Q2 Country Insigh
July 21, 2023
Asia: Election Fever and High Inflation Impact
July 21, 2023 7:26 AM UTC
Alongside India, its neighbor Pakistan’s elections are due in October, which will likely stoke violence there. Indonesia too is gearing up for elections in early 2024 and the political landscape there is also tense. In the past quarter, political risks were elevated in Asia given unpopular policie
Asia Country Risk Ratings
July 21, 2023 7:15 AM UTC
Afghanistan
Afghanistan has a very-high overall risk. The Islamic Emirate of Afghanistan (ruling political entity) is under the leadership of the Taliban, a predominantly Pashtun, and Islamic fundamentalist political movement. The presence of ethnic fragmentation, Islamic terrorist movement and human
July 20, 2023
Africa: Politics and Reform
July 20, 2023 1:02 PM UTC
South Africa remains in the spotlight, both due to problems relating to the Ukraine war and also the approaching 2024 general election (scheduled between May and August). The government is investigating U.S. claims that arms were shipped to Russia from a naval base, though the U.S. has downplayed th
Ukraine War Dominates the Region
July 20, 2023 7:31 AM UTC
Eastern Europe and CIS Regional Overview
In Russia, Wagner Group’s mutiny on June 23, which involved Wagner forces marching towards Moscow and taking control of military facilities in two Russian cities, tipped the scales and weakened President Putin’s authority. Despite Putin announcing on July
EM Europe/CIS Country Risk Ratings
July 20, 2023 7:29 AM UTC
Albania
Albania has a medium overall risk. Political leadership is stable in Albania, with the Socialist Party of Albania retaining election for the third consecutive term in April 2021. The government are expected to serve its term in its entirety, with the next election in 2025. However, high food