USD/CAD-Commentary

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May 10, 2024

CAD flows: CAD firmer after stronger employment data
Paying Article

May 10, 2024 1:12 PM UTC

Strogner employment data pushes CAD yields up and USD/CAD lower. But still a good chance of a June rate cut so risks may be to the CAD downside

April 23, 2024

USD, EUR, JPY, AUD, CAD flows: PMIs awaited, AUD and CAD rallies look fragile
Paying Article

April 23, 2024 6:44 AM UTC

PMIs awaited with mild downside bias for European currencies. AUD and CAD gains looks suspect given yield spread picture

April 16, 2024

CAD flows: CAD softer after weaker CPI
Paying Article

April 16, 2024 12:57 PM UTC

All CPI measures below expectations, widening spreads with the US and suggesting USD/CAD scope above 1.38

April 10, 2024

CAD flows: Scope for CAD to weaken further after BoC
Paying Article

April 10, 2024 2:26 PM UTC

BoC suggest June rate cut still very likely. Upside risks for USD/CAD

April 09, 2024

USD, EUR, JPY flows: Market static ahead of US CPI
Paying Article

April 9, 2024 6:47 AM UTC

Little change in the main FX pairs. European bank lending survey and NFIB survey may be of interest today

April 08, 2024

EUR, JPY, CHF flows: Better risk tone, EUR has scope for recovery
Paying Article

April 8, 2024 6:52 AM UTC

Risk appetite reocverign, EUR may get support from better German production

April 05, 2024

USD, CAD flows: Employment data USD positive, CAD negative
Paying Article

April 5, 2024 12:52 PM UTC

USD up on a stornger than expected employment report, CAD down as Canadian data disappoints

March 28, 2024

USD, CAD flows: CAD up as GDP outperforms expectations
Paying Article

March 28, 2024 12:39 PM UTC

USD/CAD drops 20 pips as January GDP comes in at 0.6% - above the 0.4% consensus.

March 19, 2024

CAD flows: USD/CAD higher as Canadian CPI comes in softer than expected
Paying Article

March 19, 2024 12:44 PM UTC

All the core measures monitored by the BoC saw a 0.2% drop in the y/y rate. Front end CAD yields have dropped sharply, suggesting scope for further USD/CAD gains. 

March 08, 2024

USD flows: USD softer after employment data
Paying Article

March 8, 2024 1:55 PM UTC

US labour market data seen as slightly weaker, with strong February employmet offset buy downward revisions to previous months, weaker earnings data and higher unemplyoment. USD/JPY continues to look the most vulnerable. 

March 06, 2024

CAD flows: CAD firmer after BoC
Paying Article

March 6, 2024 3:15 PM UTC

BoC indicating no rate cut on the agenda supports CAD

March 04, 2024

USD/CAD flows: Gap Filled
Paying Article

March 4, 2024 5:04 AM UTC

OPEC+ extends output cuts by three months

February 20, 2024

CAD flows: CAD weakens on soft CPI
Paying Article

February 20, 2024 1:53 PM UTC

Canadian January CPI weak across the board, suggesting USD/CAD has scope to 1.3550

February 09, 2024

CAD flows: CAD makes modest gains on employment report
Paying Article

February 9, 2024 2:03 PM UTC

USD/CAD edged lower after better headline data, but downside limited

January 24, 2024

CAD flows: CAD dips as BoC loses tightening bias
Paying Article

January 24, 2024 3:00 PM UTC

Less hawkish BoC justifies some CAD losses with CAD already a little stretched based on current yield spreads

January 16, 2024

CAD flows: CAD gains after stronger core CPI numbers
Paying Article

January 16, 2024 1:41 PM UTC

USD/CAD edges lower after core CPI measures come in above consensus in December

January 02, 2024

USD, EUR,JPY, CAD, NOK flows: USD firm, CAD vulnerable, EUR money data in focus
Paying Article

January 2, 2024 7:40 AM UTC

The USD is starting the year slightly firm, but is still essentially following the playbook from last year and moving in line with yield spreads against the EUR and JPY. EUR/USD continues to be most closely correlated with 2 year spreads, while USD/JPY is moving more consistently with 10 year spread

December 29, 2023

USD/JPY, EUR/USD flows: Divergence Today
Paying Article

December 29, 2023 2:16 PM UTC

Traders indicate that this is flow related and not a wider view of divergence that will last into the first week of 2024.  
As well as data, the FX market is focused on clues over policy, with some wanting to see if the Dec FOMC minutes on Jan 3 provide hints on timing.  However, in reality money m

December 27, 2023

EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/CAD flows: NY USD Decline
Paying Article

December 27, 2023 4:55 PM UTC

The USD has lost ground in North American trading against most currencies.  The move was flow and sentiment driven rather than new news, with EUR and GBP/NOK and SEK gaining a similar percentage and AUD and JPY somewhat less.  However, traders indicate that the difference is not major and the key

December 19, 2023

USD/CAD, EUR/CAD flows: CAD gains modest after stronger CPI
Paying Article

December 19, 2023 2:21 PM UTC

Canadian CPI was on the strong side of expectations, with only the common CPI measure coming in slightly on the weak side. Headline, core, median and trimmed measures were all on the strong side. The CAD is higher in response, although only modestly. Canadian front end yields are little changed on t